Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-09
100 Thieves
vs
1win
✗
45%
55%
Series win probability
1WIN
2–1
28%
1WIN
2–0
27%
100T
2–0
23%
100T
2–1
22%
Actual result
Ancient
16–14
100T
Anubis
13–6
100T
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — 1win is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#44 vs #35). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Inferno · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2
30%
Dust2 · Ancient · Cache
Scenario 3
27%
Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Inferno
100T
11
–
13
1WIN
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
Map Player Rating
100T
1WIN
T 5v4
100T
1WIN
After First Death
100T
1WIN
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
13-10
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
14-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
13-6
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-11
vs Ursa
Jun 4
1win
13-11
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
Dust2
100T
13
–
10
1WIN
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
1WIN
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
Round Win Rate
100T
1WIN
T 5v4
100T
1WIN
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-8
vs INFINITE
Aug 9
13-6
vs NADE
Aug 8
13-2
vs SadFamous
Aug 7
0-13
vs Spirit
Jul 26
13-7
vs Falcons
Jul 22
1win
13-5
vs Liquid
Aug 9
16-12
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
5-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 7
12-16
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Ancient
100T
10
–
13
1WIN
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
After First Death
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
Round Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Map Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
15-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
1win
13-10
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
13-2
vs Citron
Aug 7
13-3
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
13-5
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
13-10
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Dust2
100T
13
–
10
1WIN
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
1WIN
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
Round Win Rate
100T
1WIN
T 5v4
100T
1WIN
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-8
vs INFINITE
Aug 9
13-6
vs NADE
Aug 8
13-2
vs SadFamous
Aug 7
0-13
vs Spirit
Jul 26
13-7
vs Falcons
Jul 22
1win
13-5
vs Liquid
Aug 9
16-12
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
5-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 7
12-16
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Ancient
100T
10
–
13
1WIN
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
After First Death
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
Round Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Map Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
15-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
1win
13-10
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
13-2
vs Citron
Aug 7
13-3
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
13-5
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
13-10
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Cache
100T
10
–
13
1WIN
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
After First Death
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
Opening Kills
100T
1WIN
T Side
100T
1WIN
Recent on Cache
100 Thieves
no data
1win
13-7
vs Liquid
Aug 9
13-4
vs Citron
Aug 7
6-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 7
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
Dust2
100T
13
–
10
1WIN
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
1WIN
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
Round Win Rate
100T
1WIN
T 5v4
100T
1WIN
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-8
vs INFINITE
Aug 9
13-6
vs NADE
Aug 8
13-2
vs SadFamous
Aug 7
0-13
vs Spirit
Jul 26
13-7
vs Falcons
Jul 22
1win
13-5
vs Liquid
Aug 9
16-12
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
5-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 7
12-16
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Ancient
100T
10
–
13
1WIN
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
After First Death
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
Round Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Map Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
15-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
1win
13-10
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
13-2
vs Citron
Aug 7
13-3
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
13-5
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
13-10
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Anubis
100T
11
–
13
1WIN
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
After First Death
100T
1WIN
Map Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Round Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
11-13
vs Spirit
Jul 26
13-11
vs Falcons
Jul 22
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
13-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
1win
6-13
vs Liquid
Aug 9
16-19
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
Recent Results
last 11 matches
100 Thieves
1win
W
2-0
vs NADE
MirageDust2
Aug 8
5d ago
W
2-0
vs SadFamous
NukeDust2
Aug 7
6d ago
L
1-2
vs Spirit
AnubisMirageDust2
Jul 26
18d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AncientMirageInferno
Jul 23
21d ago
W
2-1
vs Falcons
NukeDust2Anubis
Jul 22
22d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
InfernoNukeAnubis
Jul 22
22d ago
L
0-2
vs TDK
AnubisInferno
Jun 21
53d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
InfernoDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-1
vs Leo
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs K27
Dust2Ancient
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-0
vs Betclic
NukeDust2
Jun 15
59d ago
W
2-0
vs BASEMENT BOYS
AncientDust2
Aug 8
5d ago
W
2-0
vs Citron
CacheAncient
Aug 7
6d ago
L
0-2
vs BC.Game
CacheDust2
Aug 7
6d ago
W
2-1
vs INOX Division
InfernoAnubisAncient
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-1
vs ex-RUBY
CacheAnubisAncient
Aug 3
10d ago
W
2-1
vs los kogutos
Dust2AncientMirage
Jul 30
14d ago
Player Matchups
100 Thieves
Ratings
1win
RA
rain
EntryADR 73.4KAST 76%
AX
Ax1Le
EntryADR 84.9KAST 76%
GI
Gizmy
AWPADR 72.0KAST 70%
FA
fame
RiflerADR 74.3KAST 75%
DE
device
Rifler
AR
ArtFr0st
AWPADR 70.3KAST 77%
SI
sirah
Rifler
NA
nafany
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 71%
PO
poiii
Rifler
BE
BELCHONOKK
RiflerADR 69.2KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Cache
100T
10
–
13
1WIN
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
After First Death
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
Opening Kills
100T
1WIN
T Side
100T
1WIN
Recent on Cache
100 Thieves
no data
1win
13-7
vs Liquid
Aug 9
13-4
vs Citron
Aug 7
6-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 7
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
Anubis
100T
11
–
13
1WIN
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
After First Death
100T
1WIN
Map Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Round Win Rate
100T
1WIN
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
11-13
vs Spirit
Jul 26
13-11
vs Falcons
Jul 22
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
13-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
1win
6-13
vs Liquid
Aug 9
16-19
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
Mirage
100T
13
–
10
1WIN
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
1WIN
After First Kill
100T
1WIN
Map Player Rating
100T
1WIN
After First Death
100T
1WIN
Opening Kills
100T
1WIN
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
13-2
vs NADE
Aug 8
13-4
vs Spirit
Jul 26
13-8
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
13-10
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
4-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
1win
13-7
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
19 matches