Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-09
Sashi
vs
BIG
✓
47%
53%
Series win probability
BIG
2–0
29%
SASH
2–1
26%
BIG
2–1
24%
SASH
2–0
21%
Actual result
Cache
13–5
BIG
Inferno
13–9
SASH
Ancient
13–8
BIG
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — BIG is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#20 vs #52). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Nuke · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 2
37%
Nuke · Ancient · Cache
Scenario 3
22%
Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
Nuke
SASH
11
–
13
BIG
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Ranking
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Opening Kills
SASH
BIG
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Recent on Nuke
Sashi
13-3
vs Virtus.pro
Aug 9
13-7
vs Orion Wanderers
Aug 7
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
13-4
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-8
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
Ancient
SASH
11
–
13
BIG
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
SASH
BIG
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Pistol Rounds
SASH
BIG
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Recent on Ancient
Sashi
8-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
16-14
vs Just Players
Aug 1
14-16
vs AM
Jun 25
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 24
13-6
vs 9INE
Jun 23
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
Inferno
SASH
14
–
16
BIG
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Ranking
SASH
BIG
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Opening Kills
SASH
BIG
Pistol Rounds
SASH
BIG
Recent on Inferno
Sashi
13-8
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-11
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
13-9
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 16
11-13
vs Walczaki
May 23
13-7
vs Oxuji
May 15
BIG
13-8
vs Eternal Fire
Aug 9
13-4
vs GenOne
Aug 9
13-6
vs Fluxo
Aug 7
16-13
vs B8
Jul 5
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
Nuke
SASH
11
–
13
BIG
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Ranking
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Opening Kills
SASH
BIG
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Recent on Nuke
Sashi
13-3
vs Virtus.pro
Aug 9
13-7
vs Orion Wanderers
Aug 7
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
13-4
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-8
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
Ancient
SASH
11
–
13
BIG
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
SASH
BIG
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Pistol Rounds
SASH
BIG
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Recent on Ancient
Sashi
8-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
16-14
vs Just Players
Aug 1
14-16
vs AM
Jun 25
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 24
13-6
vs 9INE
Jun 23
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
Cache
SASH
16
–
14
BIG
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Ranking
SASH
BIG
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Round Win Rate
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Recent on Cache
Sashi
4-13
vs Virtus.pro
Aug 9
11-13
vs FOKUS
Aug 8
13-3
vs Partizan
Aug 8
13-6
vs Phantom
Aug 4
13-6
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
BIG
19-15
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
Nuke
SASH
11
–
13
BIG
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Ranking
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Opening Kills
SASH
BIG
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Recent on Nuke
Sashi
13-3
vs Virtus.pro
Aug 9
13-7
vs Orion Wanderers
Aug 7
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
13-4
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-8
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
Ancient
SASH
11
–
13
BIG
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
SASH
BIG
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Pistol Rounds
SASH
BIG
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Recent on Ancient
Sashi
8-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
16-14
vs Just Players
Aug 1
14-16
vs AM
Jun 25
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 24
13-6
vs 9INE
Jun 23
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
Mirage
SASH
16
–
14
BIG
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SASH
BIG
Round Win Rate
SASH
BIG
Map Win Rate
SASH
BIG
Opening Kills
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Recent on Mirage
Sashi
11-13
vs FOKUS
Aug 8
9-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 1
13-11
vs Prestige
Mar 14
13-11
vs MASONIC
Mar 14
9-13
vs K27
Mar 9
BIG
13-10
vs Eternal Fire
Aug 9
13-8
vs Fluxo
Aug 7
5-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
2-13
vs MIBR
Jul 3
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jul 2
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Sashi
BIG
L
0-2
vs FOKUS
CacheMirage
Aug 8
5d ago
W
2-0
vs Partizan
Dust2Cache
Aug 8
5d ago
W
2-0
vs Orion Wanderers
Dust2Nuke
Aug 7
6d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
NukeAnubisAncient
Aug 6
7d ago
W
2-1
vs GenOne
InfernoAnubisNuke
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-0
vs Phantom
AnubisCache
Aug 4
9d ago
W
2-1
vs Black Phoenix
CacheDust2Nuke
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-1
vs SINNERS
Dust2CacheInferno
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-1
vs Just Players
CacheDust2Ancient
Aug 1
12d ago
W
2-1
vs AM
Dust2AncientNuke
Jun 25
49d ago
L
1-2
vs Inner Circle
OverpassDust2Nuke
Jun 25
49d ago
W
2-0
vs z to forward
NukeAncient
Aug 7
6d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
MirageInferno
Aug 7
6d ago
L
1-2
vs PARIVISION
CacheMirageAncient
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
InfernoAncient
Jul 5
39d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AnubisInfernoAncient
Jul 4
40d ago
L
0-1
vs MIBR
Mirage
Jul 3
41d ago
L
0-1
vs BetBoom
Mirage
Jul 2
42d ago
W
1-0
vs Lynn Vision
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
L
1-2
vs B8
AncientOverpassDust2
Jun 9
65d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
InfernoMirage
Jun 8
66d ago
W
1-0
vs MIBR
Inferno
Jun 7
67d ago
Player Matchups
Sashi
Ratings
BIG
ZY
Zyphon
EntryADR 78.0KAST 76%
BL
blameF
EntryADR 84.2KAST 78%
CA
Cabbi
AWPADR 71.3KAST 70%
JD
JDC
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 73%
AC
acoR
Rifler
GR
gr1ks
AWPADR 71.9KAST 73%
AN
Anlelele
Rifler
TA
tabseN
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 74%
MI
MistR
Rifler
FA
faveN
RiflerADR 68.0KAST 75%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Dust2
SASH
11
–
13
BIG
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Ranking
SASH
BIG
After First Death
SASH
BIG
T 5v4
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Recent on Dust2
Sashi
13-11
vs Virtus.pro
Aug 9
13-2
vs Partizan
Aug 8
13-8
vs Orion Wanderers
Aug 7
2-13
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
9-13
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
BIG
13-11
vs GenOne
Aug 9
8-13
vs B8
Jun 9
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
Mirage
SASH
16
–
14
BIG
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SASH
BIG
Round Win Rate
SASH
BIG
Map Win Rate
SASH
BIG
Opening Kills
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Recent on Mirage
Sashi
11-13
vs FOKUS
Aug 8
9-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 1
13-11
vs Prestige
Mar 14
13-11
vs MASONIC
Mar 14
9-13
vs K27
Mar 9
BIG
13-10
vs Eternal Fire
Aug 9
13-8
vs Fluxo
Aug 7
5-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
2-13
vs MIBR
Jul 3
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jul 2
Cache
SASH
16
–
14
BIG
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
Ranking
SASH
BIG
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Round Win Rate
SASH
BIG
Map Player Rating
SASH
BIG
Recent on Cache
Sashi
4-13
vs Virtus.pro
Aug 9
11-13
vs FOKUS
Aug 8
13-3
vs Partizan
Aug 8
13-6
vs Phantom
Aug 4
13-6
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
BIG
19-15
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
Anubis
SASH
14
–
16
BIG
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
SASH
BIG
After First Death
SASH
BIG
Ranking
SASH
BIG
T 5v4
SASH
BIG
Pistol Rounds
SASH
BIG
Recent on Anubis
Sashi
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
11-13
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-4
vs Phantom
Aug 4
13-6
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 16
16-19
vs Walczaki
May 23
BIG
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
19 matches