Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-09
1win
vs
Liquid
✗
30%
70%
Series win probability
LIQU
2–0
40%
LIQU
2–1
31%
1WIN
2–1
16%
1WIN
2–0
14%
Actual result
Dust2
13–5
1WIN
Anubis
13–6
LIQU
Cache
13–7
1WIN
Model Insights
Liquid is strongly favored at 70%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#18 vs #51), a strong cache (70% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
56%
Dust2 · Anubis · Cache
Scenario 2
25%
Dust2 · Anubis · Inferno
Scenario 3
18%
Dust2 · Anubis · Mirage
Dust2
1WIN
10
–
13
LIQU
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Round Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Dust2
1win
16-12
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
5-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 7
12-16
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Liquid
13-4
vs Dhala
Aug 7
13-10
vs fnatic
Aug 5
7-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
Anubis
1WIN
9
–
13
LIQU
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Round Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Anubis
1win
16-19
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
Liquid
13-5
vs fnatic
Aug 5
10-13
vs Betclic
Aug 5
13-6
vs 9INE
Aug 4
13-8
vs Betclic
Aug 1
5-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
Cache
1WIN
8
–
13
LIQU
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Kill
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Cache
1win
13-4
vs Citron
Aug 7
6-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 7
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
Liquid
13-9
vs Metizport
Aug 8
13-11
vs Betclic
Aug 5
13-4
vs 9INE
Aug 4
12-16
vs Betclic
Aug 1
Dust2
1WIN
10
–
13
LIQU
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Round Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Dust2
1win
16-12
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
5-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 7
12-16
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Liquid
13-4
vs Dhala
Aug 7
13-10
vs fnatic
Aug 5
7-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
Anubis
1WIN
9
–
13
LIQU
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Round Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Anubis
1win
16-19
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
Liquid
13-5
vs fnatic
Aug 5
10-13
vs Betclic
Aug 5
13-6
vs 9INE
Aug 4
13-8
vs Betclic
Aug 1
5-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
Inferno
1WIN
10
–
13
LIQU
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Overall Rating
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Inferno
1win
13-11
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
Liquid
13-10
vs Metizport
Aug 8
Dust2
1WIN
10
–
13
LIQU
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Round Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Dust2
1win
16-12
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
5-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 7
12-16
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Liquid
13-4
vs Dhala
Aug 7
13-10
vs fnatic
Aug 5
7-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
Anubis
1WIN
9
–
13
LIQU
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Round Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Anubis
1win
16-19
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
Liquid
13-5
vs fnatic
Aug 5
10-13
vs Betclic
Aug 5
13-6
vs 9INE
Aug 4
13-8
vs Betclic
Aug 1
5-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
Mirage
1WIN
10
–
13
LIQU
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Kill
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Overall Rating
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Mirage
1win
13-7
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Liquid
13-5
vs G2
Jul 25
Recent Results
last 9 matches
1win
Liquid
W
2-0
vs BASEMENT BOYS
AncientDust2
Aug 8
5d ago
W
2-0
vs Citron
CacheAncient
Aug 7
6d ago
L
0-2
vs BC.Game
CacheDust2
Aug 7
6d ago
W
2-1
vs INOX Division
InfernoAnubisAncient
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-1
vs ex-RUBY
CacheAnubisAncient
Aug 3
10d ago
W
2-1
vs los kogutos
Dust2AncientMirage
Jul 30
14d ago
W
2-0
vs Metizport
CacheInferno
Aug 8
5d ago
W
2-0
vs Dhala
Dust2Nuke
Aug 7
6d ago
W
2-0
vs fnatic
Dust2Anubis
Aug 5
8d ago
L
1-2
vs Betclic
CacheAnubisNuke
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-0
vs 9INE
CacheAnubis
Aug 4
9d ago
W
2-1
vs Betclic
CacheNukeAnubis
Aug 1
12d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Anubis
Jul 30
14d ago
W
2-0
vs G2
AnubisMirage
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-0
vs Vitality
AnubisNuke
Jul 24
20d ago
Player Matchups
1win
Ratings
Liquid
AX
Ax1Le
AWPADR 84.9KAST 76%
EL
EliGE
EntryADR 82.1KAST 75%
FA
fame
EntryADR 74.3KAST 75%
NA
NAF
AWPADR 75.9KAST 77%
NA
nafany
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 71%
JT
JT
RiflerADR 70.6KAST 71%
BE
BELCHONOKK
Rifler
MA
malbsMd
Rifler
AR
ArtFr0st
Rifler
JO
Jorko
Rifler
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
1WIN
10
–
13
LIQU
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Overall Rating
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Inferno
1win
13-11
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
Liquid
13-10
vs Metizport
Aug 8
Mirage
1WIN
10
–
13
LIQU
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Kill
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Overall Rating
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Mirage
1win
13-7
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Liquid
13-5
vs G2
Jul 25
Ancient
1WIN
14
–
16
LIQU
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
1WIN
LIQU
After First Death
1WIN
LIQU
After First Kill
1WIN
LIQU
Ranking
1WIN
LIQU
Ban Rate
1WIN
LIQU
Recent on Ancient
1win
13-10
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 8
13-2
vs Citron
Aug 7
13-3
vs INOX Division
Aug 5
13-5
vs ex-RUBY
Aug 3
13-10
vs los kogutos
Jul 30
Liquid
no data
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