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Bo3  ·  Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · 2026-08-09
Fluxo
vs
fnatic ✓
44%
56%
Series win probability
FNAT 2–0 30%
FNAT 2–1 26%
FLUX 2–1 24%
FLUX 2–0 20%
Actual result
Inferno 13–10 FNAT
Anubis 13–10 FNAT
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — fnatic is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.16 vs 1.07).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 44% Dust2 · Cache · Anubis
Scenario 2 30% Dust2 · Cache · Mirage
Scenario 3 26% Dust2 · Cache · Ancient
Dust2
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Map Player Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Map Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Dust2
Fluxo
13-7 vs DUSTY Aug 8
9-13 vs BESTIA Aug 1
5-13 vs Imperial Jul 31
6-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
19-17 vs Imperial Jul 19
fnatic
13-4 vs 6666 Aug 7
10-13 vs Liquid Aug 5
5-13 vs BRUTE Jul 14
13-3 vs HOTU Jul 14
13-8 vs SPARTA Jul 13
Cache
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Map Player Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Map Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
After First Kill
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Cache
Fluxo
13-7 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
8-13 vs Isurus Jul 26
13-3 vs paiN Academy Jul 23
16-13 vs Imperial Jul 19
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 16
fnatic
13-3 vs FKOMAR Aug 7
16-13 vs EAC Aug 4
13-7 vs Lilmix Aug 3
13-9 vs BRUTE Jul 14
16-19 vs Misa Jul 12
Anubis
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Round Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
Map Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Pistol Rounds
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Anubis
Fluxo
13-11 vs Imperial Jul 19
10-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 9
1-13 vs paiN Academy Jul 6
13-8 vs UNO MILLE Jun 28
10-13 vs Galorys May 31
fnatic
13-5 vs 6666 Aug 7
5-13 vs Liquid Aug 5
13-8 vs Metizport Aug 3
13-11 vs BRUTE Jul 14
13-8 vs Misa Jul 12
Dust2
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Map Player Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Map Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Dust2
Fluxo
13-7 vs DUSTY Aug 8
9-13 vs BESTIA Aug 1
5-13 vs Imperial Jul 31
6-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
19-17 vs Imperial Jul 19
fnatic
13-4 vs 6666 Aug 7
10-13 vs Liquid Aug 5
5-13 vs BRUTE Jul 14
13-3 vs HOTU Jul 14
13-8 vs SPARTA Jul 13
Cache
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Map Player Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Map Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
After First Kill
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Cache
Fluxo
13-7 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
8-13 vs Isurus Jul 26
13-3 vs paiN Academy Jul 23
16-13 vs Imperial Jul 19
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 16
fnatic
13-3 vs FKOMAR Aug 7
16-13 vs EAC Aug 4
13-7 vs Lilmix Aug 3
13-9 vs BRUTE Jul 14
16-19 vs Misa Jul 12
Mirage
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Round Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
T 5v4
FLUX
FNAT
Opening Score
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Mirage
Fluxo
13-1 vs DUSTY Aug 7
8-13 vs BIG Aug 7
13-6 vs Keyd Stars Jul 25
3-13 vs Imperial Jul 19
13-6 vs RUSH Jul 15
fnatic
13-4 vs Metizport Aug 3
6-13 vs Metizport Jun 14
13-3 vs Minkens finest Jun 13
13-11 vs aimclub Jun 13
Dust2
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Map Player Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Map Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Dust2
Fluxo
13-7 vs DUSTY Aug 8
9-13 vs BESTIA Aug 1
5-13 vs Imperial Jul 31
6-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
19-17 vs Imperial Jul 19
fnatic
13-4 vs 6666 Aug 7
10-13 vs Liquid Aug 5
5-13 vs BRUTE Jul 14
13-3 vs HOTU Jul 14
13-8 vs SPARTA Jul 13
Cache
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Map Player Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Map Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
After First Kill
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Cache
Fluxo
13-7 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
8-13 vs Isurus Jul 26
13-3 vs paiN Academy Jul 23
16-13 vs Imperial Jul 19
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 16
fnatic
13-3 vs FKOMAR Aug 7
16-13 vs EAC Aug 4
13-7 vs Lilmix Aug 3
13-9 vs BRUTE Jul 14
16-19 vs Misa Jul 12
Ancient
FLUX 8 – 13 FNAT
35%
65%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
FNAT
Ban Rate
FLUX
FNAT
Map Player Rating
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Ancient
Fluxo
8-13 vs Galorys May 31
fnatic
13-5 vs FKOMAR Aug 7
13-5 vs EAC Aug 4
13-9 vs Lilmix Aug 3
2-13 vs Metizport Aug 3
13-0 vs HOTU Jul 14
Recent Results last 11 matches
Fluxo
fnatic
W 2-0 vs DUSTY Dust2Inferno Aug 8 5d ago
W 2-0 vs DUSTY MirageNuke Aug 7 6d ago
L 0-2 vs BIG MirageInferno Aug 7 6d ago
L 0-2 vs BESTIA NukeDust2 Aug 1 12d ago
W 2-1 vs Imperial Dust2InfernoNuke Jul 31 13d ago
W 2-1 vs Bounty Hunters CacheDust2Nuke Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs MIBR NukeInferno Jul 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs Isurus InfernoNukeCache Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-0 vs Keyd Stars NukeMirage Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs paiN Academy CacheNuke Jul 23 21d ago
W 3-2 vs Imperial NukeCacheDust2MirageAnubis Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-0 vs FKOMAR AncientCache Aug 7 6d ago
W 2-0 vs 6666 Dust2Anubis Aug 7 6d ago
L 0-2 vs Liquid Dust2Anubis Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-0 vs EAC CacheAncient Aug 4 9d ago
W 2-0 vs Lilmix CacheAncient Aug 3 10d ago
W 2-1 vs Metizport AncientAnubisMirage Aug 3 10d ago
W 2-1 vs BRUTE Dust2CacheAnubis Jul 14 30d ago
W 2-0 vs HOTU AncientDust2 Jul 14 30d ago
W 2-0 vs SPARTA Dust2Ancient Jul 13 31d ago
W 2-1 vs Misa Dust2CacheAnubis Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs The Last Resort AncientCache Jul 12 32d ago
Player Matchups
Fluxo
Ratings
fnatic
DA
dav1deuS
EntryADR 83.1KAST 73%
1.13 vs 1.23
JA
jambo
AWPADR 79.8KAST 75%
ZE
zevy
AWPADR 67.1KAST 73%
1.02 vs 1.20
CA
cairne
EntryADR 79.3KAST 76%
EX
exit
Rifler
1.00 vs 1.13
MA
mazay
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 73%
KY
kye
Rifler
1.00 vs 1.00
FE
fEAR
Rifler
LT
Ltz
Rifler
1.00 vs 1.00
JA
jackasmo
Rifler
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Ancient
FLUX 8 – 13 FNAT
35%
65%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
FNAT
Ban Rate
FLUX
FNAT
Map Player Rating
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Ancient
Fluxo
8-13 vs Galorys May 31
fnatic
13-5 vs FKOMAR Aug 7
13-5 vs EAC Aug 4
13-9 vs Lilmix Aug 3
2-13 vs Metizport Aug 3
13-0 vs HOTU Jul 14
Mirage
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Round Win Rate
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
T 5v4
FLUX
FNAT
Opening Score
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Mirage
Fluxo
13-1 vs DUSTY Aug 7
8-13 vs BIG Aug 7
13-6 vs Keyd Stars Jul 25
3-13 vs Imperial Jul 19
13-6 vs RUSH Jul 15
fnatic
13-4 vs Metizport Aug 3
6-13 vs Metizport Jun 14
13-3 vs Minkens finest Jun 13
13-11 vs aimclub Jun 13
Inferno
FLUX 14 – 16 FNAT
49%
51%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
FNAT
After First Death
FLUX
FNAT
Map Player Rating
FLUX
FNAT
Overall Rating
FLUX
FNAT
T 5v4
FLUX
FNAT
Recent on Inferno
Fluxo
13-11 vs DUSTY Aug 8
6-13 vs BIG Aug 7
13-9 vs Imperial Jul 31
8-13 vs MIBR Jul 28
13-9 vs Isurus Jul 26
fnatic
13-5 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jun 13
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