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Bo3  ·  Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · 2026-08-09
100 Thieves
vs
BC.Game ✗
46%
54%
Series win probability
BC.G 2–0 30%
100T 2–1 26%
BC.G 2–1 24%
100T 2–0 20%
Actual result
Inferno 13–7 BC.G
Nuke 16–12 100T
Anubis 13–11 100T
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — BC.Game is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#54 vs #39). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 36% Inferno · Cache · Dust2
Scenario 2 34% Inferno · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 3 29% Inferno · Dust2 · Nuke
Inferno
100T 11 – 13 BC.G
40%
60%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Map Player Rating
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
T 5v4
100T
BC.G
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 23
13-10 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 22
14-16 vs TDK Jun 21
13-6 vs GenOne Jun 20
13-11 vs Ursa Jun 4
BC.Game
13-8 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 7
Cache
100T 10 – 13 BC.G
44%
56%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Round Win Rate
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
Map Win Rate
100T
BC.G
Recent on Cache
100 Thieves
no data
BC.Game
13-6 vs 1win Aug 7
13-10 vs SINQU Aug 1
13-5 vs ROUNDS Jul 31
Dust2
100T 13 – 10 BC.G
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Map Win Rate
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
Round Win Rate
100T
BC.G
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-8 vs INFINITE Aug 9
13-6 vs NADE Aug 8
13-2 vs SadFamous Aug 7
0-13 vs Spirit Jul 26
13-7 vs Falcons Jul 22
BC.Game
13-5 vs 1win Aug 7
8-13 vs paiN May 20
11-13 vs Falcons May 19
10-13 vs Vitality May 11
Inferno
100T 11 – 13 BC.G
40%
60%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Map Player Rating
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
T 5v4
100T
BC.G
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 23
13-10 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 22
14-16 vs TDK Jun 21
13-6 vs GenOne Jun 20
13-11 vs Ursa Jun 4
BC.Game
13-8 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 7
Dust2
100T 13 – 10 BC.G
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Map Win Rate
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
Round Win Rate
100T
BC.G
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-8 vs INFINITE Aug 9
13-6 vs NADE Aug 8
13-2 vs SadFamous Aug 7
0-13 vs Spirit Jul 26
13-7 vs Falcons Jul 22
BC.Game
13-5 vs 1win Aug 7
8-13 vs paiN May 20
11-13 vs Falcons May 19
10-13 vs Vitality May 11
Mirage
100T 16 – 14 BC.G
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
BC.G
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
Map Player Rating
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
Opening Kills
100T
BC.G
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
13-2 vs NADE Aug 8
13-4 vs Spirit Jul 26
13-8 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 23
13-10 vs Johnny Speeds Jun 6
4-13 vs Nemesis May 30
BC.Game
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 7
13-11 vs ENCE Aug 1
13-9 vs HAVU Jul 31
13-4 vs Trainwrecks Jul 31
11-13 vs B8 May 12
Inferno
100T 11 – 13 BC.G
40%
60%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Map Player Rating
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
T 5v4
100T
BC.G
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 23
13-10 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 22
14-16 vs TDK Jun 21
13-6 vs GenOne Jun 20
13-11 vs Ursa Jun 4
BC.Game
13-8 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 7
Dust2
100T 13 – 10 BC.G
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Map Win Rate
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
Round Win Rate
100T
BC.G
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-8 vs INFINITE Aug 9
13-6 vs NADE Aug 8
13-2 vs SadFamous Aug 7
0-13 vs Spirit Jul 26
13-7 vs Falcons Jul 22
BC.Game
13-5 vs 1win Aug 7
8-13 vs paiN May 20
11-13 vs Falcons May 19
10-13 vs Vitality May 11
Nuke
100T 14 – 16 BC.G
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
Opening Kills
100T
BC.G
T 5v4
100T
BC.G
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
13-5 vs INFINITE Aug 9
13-3 vs SadFamous Aug 7
4-13 vs Falcons Jul 22
9-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 22
5-13 vs Leo Jun 18
BC.Game
10-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 7
13-2 vs SINQU Aug 1
16-13 vs ENCE Aug 1
Recent Results last 11 matches
100 Thieves
BC.Game
W 2-0 vs NADE MirageDust2 Aug 8 5d ago
W 2-0 vs SadFamous NukeDust2 Aug 7 6d ago
L 1-2 vs Spirit AnubisMirageDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AncientMirageInferno Jul 23 21d ago
W 2-1 vs Falcons NukeDust2Anubis Jul 22 22d ago
L 1-2 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas InfernoNukeAnubis Jul 22 22d ago
L 0-2 vs TDK AnubisInferno Jun 21 53d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne InfernoDust2 Jun 20 54d ago
W 2-1 vs Leo NukeDust2Ancient Jun 18 56d ago
L 0-2 vs K27 Dust2Ancient Jun 16 58d ago
W 2-0 vs Betclic NukeDust2 Jun 15 59d ago
W 2-1 vs BASEMENT BOYS InfernoNukeMirage Aug 7 6d ago
W 2-0 vs 1win CacheDust2 Aug 7 6d ago
W 2-0 vs SINQU NukeCache Aug 1 12d ago
W 2-0 vs ENCE MirageNuke Aug 1 12d ago
W 1-0 vs ROUNDS Cache Jul 31 13d ago
W 1-0 vs HAVU Mirage Jul 31 13d ago
W 1-0 vs Trainwrecks Mirage Jul 31 13d ago
L 0-2 vs paiN Dust2Anubis May 20 85d ago
L 0-1 vs Falcons Dust2 May 19 86d ago
L 0-2 vs B8 OverpassMirage May 12 93d ago
L 0-2 vs Vitality MirageDust2 May 11 94d ago
Player Matchups
100 Thieves
Ratings
BC.Game
RA
rain
EntryADR 73.4KAST 76%
1.07 vs 1.30
SE
Senzu
RiflerADR 83.7KAST 76%
GI
Gizmy
AWPADR 72.0KAST 70%
0.99 vs 1.17
S1
s1mple
AWPADR 77.9KAST 73%
DE
device
Rifler
1.00 vs 1.07
MA
Magisk
RiflerADR 75.4KAST 78%
SI
sirah
Rifler
1.00 vs 1.06
MZ
mzinho
RiflerADR 73.1KAST 71%
PO
poiii
Rifler
1.00 vs 0.98
EL
electroNic
EntryADR 68.7KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
100T 13 – 10 BC.G
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Ban Rate
100T
BC.G
Map Player Rating
100T
BC.G
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
T 5v4
100T
BC.G
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
15-19 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 23
16-12 vs Leo Jun 18
13-16 vs K27 Jun 16
13-9 vs ex-RUBY Jun 6
8-13 vs Johnny Speeds Jun 6
BC.Game
no data
Anubis
100T 13 – 11 BC.G
56%
44%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Map Player Rating
100T
BC.G
Opening Kills
100T
BC.G
T 5v4
100T
BC.G
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
11-13 vs Spirit Jul 26
13-11 vs Falcons Jul 22
10-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 22
13-16 vs TDK Jun 21
11-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 25
BC.Game
4-13 vs paiN May 20
Nuke
100T 14 – 16 BC.G
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
After First Death
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
Opening Kills
100T
BC.G
T 5v4
100T
BC.G
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
13-5 vs INFINITE Aug 9
13-3 vs SadFamous Aug 7
4-13 vs Falcons Jul 22
9-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 22
5-13 vs Leo Jun 18
BC.Game
10-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 7
13-2 vs SINQU Aug 1
16-13 vs ENCE Aug 1
Mirage
100T 16 – 14 BC.G
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
BC.G
After First Kill
100T
BC.G
Map Player Rating
100T
BC.G
Ranking
100T
BC.G
Opening Kills
100T
BC.G
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
13-2 vs NADE Aug 8
13-4 vs Spirit Jul 26
13-8 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 23
13-10 vs Johnny Speeds Jun 6
4-13 vs Nemesis May 30
BC.Game
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 7
13-11 vs ENCE Aug 1
13-9 vs HAVU Jul 31
13-4 vs Trainwrecks Jul 31
11-13 vs B8 May 12
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier 19 matches
EYEBALLERS over SINNERS 56% HEROIC over ASTRAL 54% fnatic over Fluxo 56% Virtus.pro over Sashi 55% GenOne over Echo 50% BIG over Eternal Fire 56% NRG over Phantom 55% JiJieHao over DENDELE 52% HOTU over 9INE 57% FOKUS over Acend 56% Liquid over 1win 70% BC.Game over OG 59% 100 Thieves over INFINITE 52% fnatic over HEROIC 52% BIG over GenOne 54% 1win over Acend 52% Phantom over JiJieHao 58% BIG over Sashi 53% 1win over 100 Thieves 55%