Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-09
Eternal Fire
vs
BIG
✓
44%
56%
Series win probability
BIG
2–0
31%
BIG
2–1
25%
EF
2–1
24%
EF
2–0
20%
Actual result
Mirage
13–10
BIG
Inferno
13–8
BIG
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — BIG is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#21 vs #85).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Cache · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 2
36%
Cache · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 3
23%
Cache · Ancient · Anubis
Cache
EF
11
–
13
BIG
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
Opponent-Rating Diff
EF
BIG
T 5v4
EF
BIG
Round Win Rate
EF
BIG
Recent on Cache
Eternal Fire
11-13
vs INOX Division
Aug 4
13-8
vs 1win
Jul 24
13-10
vs BRUTE
Jul 18
BIG
19-15
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
Ancient
EF
11
–
13
BIG
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BIG
Opponent-Rating Diff
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
Opening Kills
EF
BIG
Round Win Rate
EF
BIG
Recent on Ancient
Eternal Fire
13-4
vs NADE
Aug 8
7-13
vs NADE
Aug 7
13-7
vs 1win
Jul 24
13-11
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jul 22
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
Dust2
EF
11
–
13
BIG
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
EF
BIG
After First Kill
EF
BIG
Ranking
EF
BIG
Round Win Rate
EF
BIG
Opponent-Rating Diff
EF
BIG
Recent on Dust2
Eternal Fire
13-4
vs NADE
Aug 8
13-5
vs NADE
Aug 7
7-13
vs 1win
Jul 24
14-16
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jul 22
13-11
vs Atreides
Jul 21
BIG
8-13
vs B8
Jun 9
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
Cache
EF
11
–
13
BIG
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
Opponent-Rating Diff
EF
BIG
T 5v4
EF
BIG
Round Win Rate
EF
BIG
Recent on Cache
Eternal Fire
11-13
vs INOX Division
Aug 4
13-8
vs 1win
Jul 24
13-10
vs BRUTE
Jul 18
BIG
19-15
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
Ancient
EF
11
–
13
BIG
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BIG
Opponent-Rating Diff
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
Opening Kills
EF
BIG
Round Win Rate
EF
BIG
Recent on Ancient
Eternal Fire
13-4
vs NADE
Aug 8
7-13
vs NADE
Aug 7
13-7
vs 1win
Jul 24
13-11
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jul 22
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
Mirage
EF
16
–
14
BIG
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
EF
BIG
Ranking
EF
BIG
Opponent-Rating Diff
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
T 5v4
EF
BIG
Recent on Mirage
Eternal Fire
11-13
vs NADE
Aug 7
4-13
vs 1win
Jul 24
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jul 22
13-7
vs Atreides
Jul 21
BIG
13-8
vs Fluxo
Aug 7
5-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
2-13
vs MIBR
Jul 3
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jul 2
8-13
vs G2
Jun 8
Cache
EF
11
–
13
BIG
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
Opponent-Rating Diff
EF
BIG
T 5v4
EF
BIG
Round Win Rate
EF
BIG
Recent on Cache
Eternal Fire
11-13
vs INOX Division
Aug 4
13-8
vs 1win
Jul 24
13-10
vs BRUTE
Jul 18
BIG
19-15
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
Ancient
EF
11
–
13
BIG
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BIG
Opponent-Rating Diff
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
Opening Kills
EF
BIG
Round Win Rate
EF
BIG
Recent on Ancient
Eternal Fire
13-4
vs NADE
Aug 8
7-13
vs NADE
Aug 7
13-7
vs 1win
Jul 24
13-11
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jul 22
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
Anubis
EF
14
–
16
BIG
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EF
BIG
After First Death
EF
BIG
Ranking
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
T 5v4
EF
BIG
Recent on Anubis
Eternal Fire
16-13
vs 1win
Jul 24
BIG
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Eternal Fire
BIG
W
2-0
vs NADE
AncientDust2
Aug 8
5d ago
L
1-2
vs NADE
Dust2AncientMirage
Aug 7
6d ago
L
0-2
vs INOX Division
InfernoCache
Aug 4
9d ago
W
3-2
vs 1win
Dust2AncientMirageCacheAnubis
Jul 24
20d ago
W
2-1
vs CYBERSHOKE
AncientDust2Mirage
Jul 22
22d ago
W
2-0
vs Atreides
MirageDust2
Jul 21
23d ago
W
2-0
vs BRUTE
Dust2Cache
Jul 18
26d ago
W
2-0
vs z to forward
NukeAncient
Aug 7
6d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
MirageInferno
Aug 7
6d ago
L
1-2
vs PARIVISION
CacheMirageAncient
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
InfernoAncient
Jul 5
39d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AnubisInfernoAncient
Jul 4
40d ago
L
0-1
vs MIBR
Mirage
Jul 3
41d ago
L
0-1
vs BetBoom
Mirage
Jul 2
42d ago
W
1-0
vs Lynn Vision
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
L
1-2
vs B8
AncientOverpassDust2
Jun 9
65d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
InfernoMirage
Jun 8
66d ago
W
1-0
vs MIBR
Inferno
Jun 7
67d ago
Player Matchups
Eternal Fire
Ratings
BIG
KV
Kvem
AWPADR 93.9KAST 76%
BL
blameF
EntryADR 84.2KAST 78%
JO
jottAAA
EntryADR 84.8KAST 72%
JD
JDC
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 73%
MI
MisteM
RiflerADR 70.3KAST 70%
GR
gr1ks
AWPADR 71.9KAST 73%
BR
br0
Rifler
TA
tabseN
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 74%
RE
regali
Rifler
FA
faveN
RiflerADR 68.0KAST 75%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
EF
9
–
13
BIG
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
EF
BIG
After First Kill
EF
BIG
Ranking
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
Round Win Rate
EF
BIG
Recent on Inferno
Eternal Fire
5-13
vs INOX Division
Aug 4
BIG
13-6
vs Fluxo
Aug 7
16-13
vs B8
Jul 5
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
3-13
vs G2
Jun 8
13-8
vs MIBR
Jun 7
Nuke
EF
14
–
16
BIG
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BIG
Round Win Rate
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
After First Kill
EF
BIG
Opening Kills
EF
BIG
Recent on Nuke
Eternal Fire
no data
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
Anubis
EF
14
–
16
BIG
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EF
BIG
After First Death
EF
BIG
Ranking
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
T 5v4
EF
BIG
Recent on Anubis
Eternal Fire
16-13
vs 1win
Jul 24
BIG
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
Mirage
EF
16
–
14
BIG
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
EF
BIG
Ranking
EF
BIG
Opponent-Rating Diff
EF
BIG
Map Player Rating
EF
BIG
T 5v4
EF
BIG
Recent on Mirage
Eternal Fire
11-13
vs NADE
Aug 7
4-13
vs 1win
Jul 24
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jul 22
13-7
vs Atreides
Jul 21
BIG
13-8
vs Fluxo
Aug 7
5-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
2-13
vs MIBR
Jul 3
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jul 2
8-13
vs G2
Jun 8
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
19 matches