Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-09
BIG
✓
vs
GenOne
54%
46%
Series win probability
BIG
2–0
27%
BIG
2–1
26%
GENO
2–1
24%
GENO
2–0
23%
Actual result
Dust2
13–11
BIG
Inferno
13–4
BIG
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — BIG is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 0.00), a significant ranking advantage (#20 vs #68). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
40%
Ancient · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 2
36%
Ancient · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3
24%
Ancient · Dust2 · Cache
Ancient
BIG
16
–
14
GENO
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
GENO
After First Kill
BIG
GENO
After First Death
BIG
GENO
Map Player Rating
BIG
GENO
Overall Rating
BIG
GENO
Recent on Ancient
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
GenOne
13-3
vs Galactik rebels
Aug 8
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 7
13-2
vs Nordic Partners
Aug 5
13-8
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-10
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
Dust2
BIG
13
–
11
GENO
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
BIG
GENO
After First Kill
BIG
GENO
Ranking
BIG
GENO
Round Win Rate
BIG
GENO
Map Win Rate
BIG
GENO
Recent on Dust2
BIG
8-13
vs B8
Jun 9
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
GenOne
3-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 7
13-1
vs lafox
Aug 7
4-13
vs HOTU
Aug 7
13-6
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-11
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 2
Inferno
BIG
11
–
13
GENO
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
GENO
Round Win Rate
BIG
GENO
Map Win Rate
BIG
GENO
After First Death
BIG
GENO
Opening Kills
BIG
GENO
Recent on Inferno
BIG
13-8
vs Eternal Fire
Aug 9
13-6
vs Fluxo
Aug 7
16-13
vs B8
Jul 5
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
3-13
vs G2
Jun 8
GenOne
13-5
vs Galactik rebels
Aug 8
8-13
vs Sashi
Aug 5
13-9
vs JiJieHao
Aug 1
13-11
vs BET-M
Jul 25
20-22
vs Atreides
Jul 24
Ancient
BIG
16
–
14
GENO
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
GENO
After First Kill
BIG
GENO
After First Death
BIG
GENO
Map Player Rating
BIG
GENO
Overall Rating
BIG
GENO
Recent on Ancient
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
GenOne
13-3
vs Galactik rebels
Aug 8
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 7
13-2
vs Nordic Partners
Aug 5
13-8
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-10
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
Dust2
BIG
13
–
11
GENO
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
BIG
GENO
After First Kill
BIG
GENO
Ranking
BIG
GENO
Round Win Rate
BIG
GENO
Map Win Rate
BIG
GENO
Recent on Dust2
BIG
8-13
vs B8
Jun 9
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
GenOne
3-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 7
13-1
vs lafox
Aug 7
4-13
vs HOTU
Aug 7
13-6
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-11
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 2
Nuke
BIG
13
–
10
GENO
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
GENO
After First Death
BIG
GENO
After First Kill
BIG
GENO
Map Player Rating
BIG
GENO
Experience
BIG
GENO
Recent on Nuke
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
GenOne
4-13
vs Sashi
Aug 5
13-11
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
13-11
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
5-13
vs NEW VISION
Jul 28
13-11
vs SPARTA
Jul 27
Ancient
BIG
16
–
14
GENO
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
GENO
After First Kill
BIG
GENO
After First Death
BIG
GENO
Map Player Rating
BIG
GENO
Overall Rating
BIG
GENO
Recent on Ancient
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
GenOne
13-3
vs Galactik rebels
Aug 8
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 7
13-2
vs Nordic Partners
Aug 5
13-8
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-10
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
Dust2
BIG
13
–
11
GENO
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
BIG
GENO
After First Kill
BIG
GENO
Ranking
BIG
GENO
Round Win Rate
BIG
GENO
Map Win Rate
BIG
GENO
Recent on Dust2
BIG
8-13
vs B8
Jun 9
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
GenOne
3-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 7
13-1
vs lafox
Aug 7
4-13
vs HOTU
Aug 7
13-6
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-11
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 2
Cache
BIG
13
–
10
GENO
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BIG
GENO
Ranking
BIG
GENO
Map Player Rating
BIG
GENO
T 5v4
BIG
GENO
Overall Rating
BIG
GENO
Recent on Cache
BIG
19-15
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
GenOne
6-13
vs HOTU
Aug 7
16-12
vs Enjoy
Jul 31
9-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jul 29
9-13
vs 1win
Jul 17
13-6
vs Entropy
Jul 12
Recent Results
last 11 matches
BIG
GenOne
W
2-0
vs z to forward
NukeAncient
Aug 7
6d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
MirageInferno
Aug 7
6d ago
L
1-2
vs PARIVISION
CacheMirageAncient
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
InfernoAncient
Jul 5
39d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AnubisInfernoAncient
Jul 4
40d ago
L
0-1
vs MIBR
Mirage
Jul 3
41d ago
L
0-1
vs BetBoom
Mirage
Jul 2
42d ago
W
1-0
vs Lynn Vision
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
L
1-2
vs B8
AncientOverpassDust2
Jun 9
65d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
InfernoMirage
Jun 8
66d ago
W
1-0
vs MIBR
Inferno
Jun 7
67d ago
W
2-0
vs Galactik rebels
InfernoAncient
Aug 8
5d ago
L
0-2
vs CYBERSHOKE
AncientDust2
Aug 7
6d ago
W
2-0
vs lafox
Dust2Anubis
Aug 7
6d ago
L
0-2
vs HOTU
Dust2Cache
Aug 7
6d ago
L
1-2
vs Sashi
InfernoAnubisNuke
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-0
vs Nordic Partners
AnubisAncient
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-0
vs Nemiga
Dust2Ancient
Aug 4
9d ago
W
2-0
vs UNiTY
AncientNuke
Aug 3
10d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
Dust2Ancient
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-1
vs Lazer Cats
AncientDust2Nuke
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-1
vs JiJieHao
AncientDust2Inferno
Aug 1
12d ago
Player Matchups
BIG
Ratings
GenOne
BL
blameF
EntryADR 84.2KAST 78%
KE
Keoz
AWPADR 73.6KAST 72%
JD
JDC
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 73%
DJ
Djoko
EntryADR 74.8KAST 71%
GR
gr1ks
AWPADR 71.9KAST 73%
BR
Brooxsy
Rifler
TA
tabseN
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 74%
CH
Chucky
Rifler
FA
faveN
RiflerADR 68.0KAST 75%
BL
bL4SEZ
Rifler
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Nuke
BIG
13
–
10
GENO
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
GENO
After First Death
BIG
GENO
After First Kill
BIG
GENO
Map Player Rating
BIG
GENO
Experience
BIG
GENO
Recent on Nuke
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
GenOne
4-13
vs Sashi
Aug 5
13-11
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
13-11
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
5-13
vs NEW VISION
Jul 28
13-11
vs SPARTA
Jul 27
Cache
BIG
13
–
10
GENO
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BIG
GENO
Ranking
BIG
GENO
Map Player Rating
BIG
GENO
T 5v4
BIG
GENO
Overall Rating
BIG
GENO
Recent on Cache
BIG
19-15
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
GenOne
6-13
vs HOTU
Aug 7
16-12
vs Enjoy
Jul 31
9-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jul 29
9-13
vs 1win
Jul 17
13-6
vs Entropy
Jul 12
Anubis
BIG
16
–
14
GENO
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BIG
GENO
Ranking
BIG
GENO
Round Win Rate
BIG
GENO
Sniper Score
BIG
GENO
Overall Rating
BIG
GENO
Recent on Anubis
BIG
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
GenOne
13-3
vs lafox
Aug 7
13-11
vs Sashi
Aug 5
13-11
vs Nordic Partners
Aug 5
13-3
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 30
7-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 12
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
19 matches