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Bo3  ·  Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · 2026-08-09
9INE
vs
HOTU ✓
43%
57%
Series win probability
HOTU 2–0 30%
HOTU 2–1 27%
9INE 2–1 23%
9INE 2–0 20%
Actual result
Nuke 16–13 HOTU
Dust2 13–2 HOTU
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — HOTU is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#35 vs #63), a strong cache (62% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 36% Dust2 · Cache · Ancient
Scenario 2 33% Dust2 · Cache · Anubis
Scenario 3 31% Dust2 · Cache · Nuke
Dust2
9INE 11 – 13 HOTU
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Opening Kills
9INE
HOTU
Map Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Dust2
9INE
10-13 vs BRUTE Aug 2
13-10 vs Inner Circle Jun 25
10-13 vs Sashi Jun 23
14-16 vs Walczaki May 8
HOTU
13-4 vs GenOne Aug 7
13-1 vs XCLAN Jul 31
6-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 31
13-11 vs GamerLegion Jul 22
13-8 vs HEROIC Jul 21
Cache
9INE 9 – 13 HOTU
38%
62%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Round Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Map Player Rating
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Cache
9INE
4-13 vs Liquid Aug 4
9-13 vs BRUTE Aug 2
HOTU
13-6 vs GenOne Aug 7
13-2 vs XCLAN Jul 31
17-19 vs EAC Jul 31
11-13 vs Aurora Jul 26
1-13 vs Astralis Jul 25
Ancient
9INE 11 – 13 HOTU
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
T 5v4
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Round Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Ancient
9INE
13-10 vs ABT Aug 8
10-13 vs ABT Aug 7
13-10 vs HEROIC Aug 7
13-16 vs Inner Circle Jun 25
16-14 vs GamerLegion Jun 24
HOTU
13-8 vs EAC Jul 31
10-13 vs Astralis Jul 25
13-8 vs GamerLegion Jul 22
16-13 vs Astralis Jul 22
0-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
Dust2
9INE 11 – 13 HOTU
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Opening Kills
9INE
HOTU
Map Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Dust2
9INE
10-13 vs BRUTE Aug 2
13-10 vs Inner Circle Jun 25
10-13 vs Sashi Jun 23
14-16 vs Walczaki May 8
HOTU
13-4 vs GenOne Aug 7
13-1 vs XCLAN Jul 31
6-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 31
13-11 vs GamerLegion Jul 22
13-8 vs HEROIC Jul 21
Cache
9INE 9 – 13 HOTU
38%
62%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Round Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Map Player Rating
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Cache
9INE
4-13 vs Liquid Aug 4
9-13 vs BRUTE Aug 2
HOTU
13-6 vs GenOne Aug 7
13-2 vs XCLAN Jul 31
17-19 vs EAC Jul 31
11-13 vs Aurora Jul 26
1-13 vs Astralis Jul 25
Anubis
9INE 10 – 13 HOTU
47%
53%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
Round Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Map Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Anubis
9INE
13-2 vs ABT Aug 7
6-13 vs Liquid Aug 4
8-13 vs Walczaki May 8
HOTU
13-1 vs Galactik rebels Aug 7
10-13 vs EAC Jul 31
13-9 vs Aurora Jul 26
13-5 vs INFINITE Jul 25
13-9 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
Dust2
9INE 11 – 13 HOTU
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Opening Kills
9INE
HOTU
Map Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Dust2
9INE
10-13 vs BRUTE Aug 2
13-10 vs Inner Circle Jun 25
10-13 vs Sashi Jun 23
14-16 vs Walczaki May 8
HOTU
13-4 vs GenOne Aug 7
13-1 vs XCLAN Jul 31
6-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 31
13-11 vs GamerLegion Jul 22
13-8 vs HEROIC Jul 21
Cache
9INE 9 – 13 HOTU
38%
62%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Round Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Map Player Rating
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Cache
9INE
4-13 vs Liquid Aug 4
9-13 vs BRUTE Aug 2
HOTU
13-6 vs GenOne Aug 7
13-2 vs XCLAN Jul 31
17-19 vs EAC Jul 31
11-13 vs Aurora Jul 26
1-13 vs Astralis Jul 25
Nuke
9INE 14 – 16 HOTU
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Pistol Rounds
9INE
HOTU
Round Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Nuke
9INE
13-10 vs ABT Aug 8
13-8 vs ABT Aug 7
6-13 vs HEROIC Aug 7
13-6 vs 6666 Aug 2
13-3 vs BRUTE Aug 2
HOTU
13-1 vs Galactik rebels Aug 7
13-7 vs Astralis Jul 25
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 14
13-6 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-7 vs Rune Eaters May 31
Recent Results last 11 matches
9INE
HOTU
W 2-0 vs ABT AncientNuke Aug 8 5d ago
W 2-1 vs ABT AnubisAncientNuke Aug 7 6d ago
L 1-2 vs HEROIC AncientMirageNuke Aug 7 6d ago
L 0-2 vs Liquid CacheAnubis Aug 4 9d ago
L 0-2 vs BRUTE Dust2Cache Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs 6666 InfernoNuke Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs BRUTE MirageNuke Aug 2 11d ago
L 1-2 vs Inner Circle NukeDust2Ancient Jun 25 49d ago
W 2-0 vs GamerLegion NukeAncient Jun 24 50d ago
L 1-2 vs Sashi Dust2NukeAncient Jun 23 51d ago
L 1-2 vs Walczaki InfernoDust2Anubis May 8 97d ago
W 2-0 vs Galactik rebels AnubisNuke Aug 7 6d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne Dust2Cache Aug 7 6d ago
W 2-0 vs XCLAN CacheDust2 Jul 31 13d ago
L 0-2 vs G2 Ares MirageDust2 Jul 31 13d ago
L 1-2 vs EAC AncientAnubisCache Jul 31 13d ago
L 1-2 vs Aurora CacheAnubisMirage Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs Astralis CacheNukeAncient Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs INFINITE MirageAnubis Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs GamerLegion Dust2Ancient Jul 22 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Astralis CacheAncient Jul 22 22d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC MirageCacheDust2 Jul 21 23d ago
Player Matchups
9INE
Ratings
HOTU
FL
flayy
AWPADR 81.8KAST 75%
1.22 vs 1.22
MI
mizu
EntryADR 82.3KAST 72%
B1
b1elany
EntryADR 76.4KAST 74%
1.14 vs 0.95
KA
kade0
AWPADR 67.7KAST 69%
RA
raalz
RiflerADR 69.2KAST 70%
0.97 vs 1.00
N0
n0rb3r7
Rifler
KR
kraghen
Rifler
1.00 vs 1.00
DW
dwushka
Rifler
RI
rim3
Rifler
1.00 vs 1.00
FR
frontales
Rifler
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
9INE 13 – 10 HOTU
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Map Player Rating
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Round Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Inferno
9INE
13-7 vs 6666 Aug 2
16-13 vs Walczaki May 8
HOTU
no data
Mirage
9INE 11 – 13 HOTU
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
Map Player Rating
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Opening Kills
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Mirage
9INE
3-13 vs HEROIC Aug 7
13-3 vs BRUTE Aug 2
HOTU
8-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 31
9-13 vs Aurora Jul 26
13-9 vs INFINITE Jul 25
10-13 vs HEROIC Jul 21
13-9 vs Entropy Jul 13
Anubis
9INE 10 – 13 HOTU
47%
53%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
Round Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
Map Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Anubis
9INE
13-2 vs ABT Aug 7
6-13 vs Liquid Aug 4
8-13 vs Walczaki May 8
HOTU
13-1 vs Galactik rebels Aug 7
10-13 vs EAC Jul 31
13-9 vs Aurora Jul 26
13-5 vs INFINITE Jul 25
13-9 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
Nuke
9INE 14 – 16 HOTU
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
9INE
HOTU
After First Kill
9INE
HOTU
Ranking
9INE
HOTU
Pistol Rounds
9INE
HOTU
Round Win Rate
9INE
HOTU
Recent on Nuke
9INE
13-10 vs ABT Aug 8
13-8 vs ABT Aug 7
6-13 vs HEROIC Aug 7
13-6 vs 6666 Aug 2
13-3 vs BRUTE Aug 2
HOTU
13-1 vs Galactik rebels Aug 7
13-7 vs Astralis Jul 25
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 14
13-6 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-7 vs Rune Eaters May 31
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier 19 matches
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