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Bo3  ·  Urban Riga Open Season 6 · 2026-07-28
ASTRAL
vs
BRUTE ✓
44%
56%
Series win probability
BRUT 2–1 32%
BRUT 2–0 25%
ASTR 2–0 25%
ASTR 2–1 19%
Actual result
Anubis 13–7 BRUT
Nuke 13–10 ASTR
Dust2 13–7 BRUT
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — BRUTE is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong nuke (62% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 50% Dust2 · Inferno · Nuke
Scenario 2 29% Inferno · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3 21% Inferno · Nuke · Cache
Dust2
ASTR 10 – 13 BRUT
41%
59%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
Map Player Rating
ASTR
BRUT
Multi-Kills
ASTR
BRUT
Opening Kills
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Dust2
ASTRAL
13-5 vs Leo Jun 29
13-6 vs Leo May 31
13-9 vs UNiTY May 31
8-13 vs ex-RUBY May 27
13-11 vs brazylijski luz May 27
BRUTE
13-5 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27
6-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 18
13-5 vs fnatic Jul 14
5-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
Inferno
ASTR 14 – 16 BRUT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
Round Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Map Player Rating
ASTR
BRUT
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
Map Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Inferno
ASTRAL
13-6 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 28
4-13 vs ARCRED Jun 6
13-11 vs UNiTY May 31
2-13 vs Rebels May 26
13-8 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
BRUTE
13-9 vs GenOne Jul 13
13-11 vs GenOne Jul 9
Nuke
ASTR 9 – 13 BRUT
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
Round Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Map Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
T 5v4
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Nuke
ASTRAL
19-15 vs NAVI Junior Jul 28
0-13 vs PURE Jul 27
13-5 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 29
8-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
9-13 vs Betclic Jun 4
BRUTE
13-11 vs LEO Jul 27
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 12
13-8 vs GenOne Jul 9
Inferno
ASTR 14 – 16 BRUT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
Round Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Map Player Rating
ASTR
BRUT
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
Map Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Inferno
ASTRAL
13-6 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 28
4-13 vs ARCRED Jun 6
13-11 vs UNiTY May 31
2-13 vs Rebels May 26
13-8 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
BRUTE
13-9 vs GenOne Jul 13
13-11 vs GenOne Jul 9
Nuke
ASTR 9 – 13 BRUT
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
Round Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Map Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
T 5v4
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Nuke
ASTRAL
19-15 vs NAVI Junior Jul 28
0-13 vs PURE Jul 27
13-5 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 29
8-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
9-13 vs Betclic Jun 4
BRUTE
13-11 vs LEO Jul 27
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 12
13-8 vs GenOne Jul 9
Anubis
ASTR 13 – 5 BRUT
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
Map Player Rating
ASTR
BRUT
T 5v4
ASTR
BRUT
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
Opening Kills
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Anubis
ASTRAL
6-13 vs Noir Verse Jul 27
13-4 vs 6666 Jun 28
13-5 vs BERG Jun 28
12-16 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
7-13 vs Lavked Jun 2
BRUTE
11-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
Inferno
ASTR 14 – 16 BRUT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
Round Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Map Player Rating
ASTR
BRUT
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
Map Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Inferno
ASTRAL
13-6 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 28
4-13 vs ARCRED Jun 6
13-11 vs UNiTY May 31
2-13 vs Rebels May 26
13-8 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
BRUTE
13-9 vs GenOne Jul 13
13-11 vs GenOne Jul 9
Nuke
ASTR 9 – 13 BRUT
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
Round Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Map Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
T 5v4
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Nuke
ASTRAL
19-15 vs NAVI Junior Jul 28
0-13 vs PURE Jul 27
13-5 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 29
8-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
9-13 vs Betclic Jun 4
BRUTE
13-11 vs LEO Jul 27
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 12
13-8 vs GenOne Jul 9
Cache
ASTR 7 – 13 BRUT
7%
93%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
Map Player Rating
ASTR
BRUT
Round Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Opening Kills
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Cache
ASTRAL
no data
BRUTE
10-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 18
9-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
1-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
6-13 vs HOTU Jul 12
Recent Results last 11 matches
ASTRAL
BRUTE
L 0-1 vs Noir Verse Anubis Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-1 vs PURE Nuke Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs atputies Ancient Jul 27 17d ago
W 2-0 vs SINQU REHTI NukeAncient Jun 29 45d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo MirageDust2 Jun 29 45d ago
W 1-0 vs 6666 Anubis Jun 28 46d ago
W 1-0 vs BERG Anubis Jun 28 46d ago
W 1-0 vs SINQU REHTI Inferno Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs KOLESIE AnubisNuke Jun 8 66d ago
L 1-2 vs ARCRED AncientInfernoMirage Jun 6 68d ago
L 0-2 vs Betclic AncientNuke Jun 4 70d ago
W 1-0 vs NAVI Junior Dust2 Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs MOUZ NXT Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs LEO Nuke Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-2 vs Eternal Fire Dust2Cache Jul 18 26d ago
L 1-2 vs fnatic Dust2CacheAnubis Jul 14 30d ago
L 0-2 vs QUAZAR Dust2Cache Jul 14 30d ago
W 2-0 vs Inner Circle Academy Dust2Nuke Jul 13 31d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne InfernoDust2 Jul 13 31d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle Academy Dust2MirageNuke Jul 12 32d ago
L 0-2 vs HOTU Dust2Cache Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne NukeInferno Jul 9 35d ago
Player Matchups
ASTRAL
Ratings
BRUTE
SW
swiz
EntryADR 84.7KAST 73%
1.16 vs 1.21
AI
aidKiT
AWPADR 83.9KAST 76%
GX
gxx-
AWPADR 75.7KAST 73%
1.09 vs 1.08
ZE
ZEDKO
EntryADR 78.1KAST 72%
RA
RaY5ive
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 72%
1.04 vs 1.07
NB
nbqq
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 72%
ME
meowpop
RiflerADR 65.2KAST 72%
0.99 vs 0.98
HF
hfah
RiflerADR 68.8KAST 70%
NE
Neqy
RiflerADR 73.2KAST 70%
0.96 vs 0.93
MA
majky
RiflerADR 64.4KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Anubis
ASTR 13 – 5 BRUT
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
Map Player Rating
ASTR
BRUT
T 5v4
ASTR
BRUT
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
Opening Kills
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Anubis
ASTRAL
6-13 vs Noir Verse Jul 27
13-4 vs 6666 Jun 28
13-5 vs BERG Jun 28
12-16 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
7-13 vs Lavked Jun 2
BRUTE
11-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
Cache
ASTR 7 – 13 BRUT
7%
93%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
Map Player Rating
ASTR
BRUT
Round Win Rate
ASTR
BRUT
Opening Kills
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Cache
ASTRAL
no data
BRUTE
10-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 18
9-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
1-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
6-13 vs HOTU Jul 12
Mirage
ASTR 10 – 13 BRUT
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
BRUT
After First Kill
ASTR
BRUT
T 5v4
ASTR
BRUT
Multi-Kills
ASTR
BRUT
Opening Kills
ASTR
BRUT
Recent on Mirage
ASTRAL
13-6 vs PURE Jul 28
13-10 vs Leo Jun 29
3-13 vs ARCRED Jun 6
6-13 vs Lavked Jun 2
11-13 vs MANA May 26
BRUTE
13-4 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 27
5-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 12
More from Urban Riga Open Season 6 4 matches
MOUZ NXT over Noir Verse 80% PURE over ASTRAL 80% BRUTE over MOUZ NXT 93% MOUZ NXT over PURE 70%