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Bo3  ·  Urban Riga Open Season 6 · 2026-07-28
BRUTE
vs
MOUZ NXT
93%
7%
Series win probability
BRUT 2–0 80%
BRUT 2–1 12%
MN 2–1 6%
MN 2–0 1%
Actual result
Nuke 13–10 BRUT
Dust2 13–9 BRUT
Model Insights
BRUTE is strongly favored at 93%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.05 vs 0.93), a significant ranking advantage (#97 vs #150), a strong dust2 (93% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 50% Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 2 43% Dust2 · Nuke · Cache
Scenario 3 7% Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Dust2
BRUT 13 5 MN
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
Map Player Rating
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Round Win Rate
BRUT
MN
Recent on Dust2
BRUTE
13-5 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27
6-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 18
13-5 vs fnatic Jul 14
5-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
MOUZ NXT
1-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
3-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
1-13 vs TDK May 14
13-2 vs Lavked May 12
4-13 vs INOX Division May 11
Mirage
BRUT 13 6 MN
86%
14%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
After First Kill
BRUT
MN
Round Win Rate
BRUT
MN
Map Player Rating
BRUT
MN
Recent on Mirage
BRUTE
13-4 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 27
5-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 12
MOUZ NXT
4-13 vs BRUTE Jul 27
2-13 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27
4-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
5-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
13-8 vs TDK May 14
Nuke
BRUT 13 5 MN
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
After First Kill
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Round Win Rate
BRUT
MN
Recent on Nuke
BRUTE
13-11 vs LEO Jul 27
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 12
13-8 vs GenOne Jul 9
MOUZ NXT
13-7 vs LEO Jul 27
13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
11-13 vs Lavked May 12
13-11 vs AM May 8
1-13 vs Ursa May 4
Dust2
BRUT 13 5 MN
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
Map Player Rating
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Round Win Rate
BRUT
MN
Recent on Dust2
BRUTE
13-5 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27
6-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 18
13-5 vs fnatic Jul 14
5-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
MOUZ NXT
1-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
3-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
1-13 vs TDK May 14
13-2 vs Lavked May 12
4-13 vs INOX Division May 11
Nuke
BRUT 13 5 MN
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
After First Kill
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Round Win Rate
BRUT
MN
Recent on Nuke
BRUTE
13-11 vs LEO Jul 27
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 12
13-8 vs GenOne Jul 9
MOUZ NXT
13-7 vs LEO Jul 27
13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
11-13 vs Lavked May 12
13-11 vs AM May 8
1-13 vs Ursa May 4
Cache
BRUT 13 11 MN
59%
41%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
After First Kill
BRUT
MN
Round Win Rate
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Recent on Cache
BRUTE
10-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 18
9-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
1-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
6-13 vs HOTU Jul 12
MOUZ NXT
16-14 vs SPARTA Jul 13
13-11 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Dust2
BRUT 13 5 MN
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
Map Player Rating
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Round Win Rate
BRUT
MN
Recent on Dust2
BRUTE
13-5 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27
6-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 18
13-5 vs fnatic Jul 14
5-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
MOUZ NXT
1-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
3-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
1-13 vs TDK May 14
13-2 vs Lavked May 12
4-13 vs INOX Division May 11
Nuke
BRUT 13 5 MN
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
After First Kill
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Round Win Rate
BRUT
MN
Recent on Nuke
BRUTE
13-11 vs LEO Jul 27
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 13
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 12
13-8 vs GenOne Jul 9
MOUZ NXT
13-7 vs LEO Jul 27
13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
11-13 vs Lavked May 12
13-11 vs AM May 8
1-13 vs Ursa May 4
Anubis
BRUT 16 14 MN
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Kill
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
Map Player Rating
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Recent on Anubis
BRUTE
11-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
MOUZ NXT
9-13 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Recent Results last 11 matches
BRUTE
MOUZ NXT
W 1-0 vs NAVI Junior Dust2 Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs MOUZ NXT Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs LEO Nuke Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-2 vs Eternal Fire Dust2Cache Jul 18 26d ago
L 1-2 vs fnatic Dust2CacheAnubis Jul 14 30d ago
L 0-2 vs QUAZAR Dust2Cache Jul 14 30d ago
W 2-0 vs Inner Circle Academy Dust2Nuke Jul 13 31d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne InfernoDust2 Jul 13 31d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle Academy Dust2MirageNuke Jul 12 32d ago
L 0-2 vs HOTU Dust2Cache Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne NukeInferno Jul 9 35d ago
W 1-0 vs LEO Nuke Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-1 vs BRUTE Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-1 vs NAVI Junior Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
L 1-2 vs SPARTA CacheDust2Mirage Jul 13 31d ago
L 1-2 vs Bushido Wildcats Dust2NukeMirage Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-1 vs Noir Verse AnubisAncientCache Jul 12 32d ago
L 1-2 vs TDK MirageOverpassDust2 May 14 91d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked NukeDust2Mirage May 12 93d ago
L 0-2 vs INOX Division OverpassDust2 May 11 94d ago
L 0-2 vs Tricked MirageOverpass May 10 95d ago
W 2-1 vs UNiTY MirageAncientDust2 May 9 96d ago
Player Matchups
BRUTE
Ratings
MOUZ NXT
AI
aidKiT
AWPADR 84.9KAST 76%
1.22 vs 1.09
NI
Nikodeon
EntryADR 81.8KAST 68%
ZE
ZEDKO
EntryADR 79.4KAST 72%
1.08 vs 0.96
ES
eSx
AWPADR 69.9KAST 69%
NB
nbqq
RiflerADR 75.6KAST 72%
1.06 vs 0.93
OP
opdust
RiflerADR 67.0KAST 66%
HF
hfah
RiflerADR 69.2KAST 70%
0.98 vs 0.85
AY
ay0k
RiflerADR 62.6KAST 65%
MA
majky
RiflerADR 63.5KAST 69%
0.92 vs 0.81
MI
mixer
RiflerADR 61.7KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Inferno
BRUT 13 4 MN
98%
2%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
After First Kill
BRUT
MN
Ban Rate
BRUT
MN
Map Player Rating
BRUT
MN
Recent on Inferno
BRUTE
13-9 vs GenOne Jul 13
13-11 vs GenOne Jul 9
MOUZ NXT
no data
Cache
BRUT 13 11 MN
59%
41%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
After First Kill
BRUT
MN
Round Win Rate
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Recent on Cache
BRUTE
10-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 18
9-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
1-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
6-13 vs HOTU Jul 12
MOUZ NXT
16-14 vs SPARTA Jul 13
13-11 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Anubis
BRUT 16 14 MN
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BRUT
MN
After First Kill
BRUT
MN
After First Death
BRUT
MN
Map Player Rating
BRUT
MN
Ranking
BRUT
MN
Recent on Anubis
BRUTE
11-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
MOUZ NXT
9-13 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
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