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Bo3  ·  Urban Riga Open Season 6 · 2026-07-28
PURE
vs
MOUZ NXT ✗
30%
70%
Series win probability
MN 2–1 42%
MN 2–0 28%
PURE 2–0 22%
PURE 2–1 8%
Actual result
Cache 13–5 PURE
Mirage 13–8 PURE
Model Insights
MOUZ NXT has a moderate edge at 70%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#132 vs #196), a strong cache (90% win probability). PURE's best shot is mirage where they hold a 56% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 50% Mirage · Nuke · Cache
Scenario 2 37% Mirage · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3 14% Mirage · Nuke · Ancient
Mirage
PURE 13 – 10 MN
56%
44%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Round Win Rate
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
After First Death
PURE
MN
Recent on Mirage
PURE
6-13 vs ASTRAL Jul 28
13-9 vs atputies Jul 27
14-16 vs Tricksters Jul 10
8-13 vs mellren Jul 9
16-12 vs Nexus Jun 13
MOUZ NXT
4-13 vs BRUTE Jul 27
2-13 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27
4-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
5-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
13-8 vs TDK May 14
Nuke
PURE 14 – 16 MN
49%
51%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
PURE
MN
Round Win Rate
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Recent on Nuke
PURE
13-0 vs ASTRAL Jul 27
13-2 vs SAAB Jun 13
5-13 vs aimclub Jun 13
MOUZ NXT
13-6 vs Noir Verse Jul 28
13-7 vs LEO Jul 27
13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
11-13 vs Lavked May 12
13-11 vs AM May 8
Cache
PURE 6 – 13 MN
10%
90%
Win prob OT 4% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
After First Death
PURE
MN
Map Win Rate
PURE
MN
Recent on Cache
PURE
7-13 vs Tricksters Jul 10
MOUZ NXT
16-14 vs SPARTA Jul 13
13-11 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Mirage
PURE 13 – 10 MN
56%
44%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Round Win Rate
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
After First Death
PURE
MN
Recent on Mirage
PURE
6-13 vs ASTRAL Jul 28
13-9 vs atputies Jul 27
14-16 vs Tricksters Jul 10
8-13 vs mellren Jul 9
16-12 vs Nexus Jun 13
MOUZ NXT
4-13 vs BRUTE Jul 27
2-13 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27
4-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
5-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
13-8 vs TDK May 14
Nuke
PURE 14 – 16 MN
49%
51%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
PURE
MN
Round Win Rate
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Recent on Nuke
PURE
13-0 vs ASTRAL Jul 27
13-2 vs SAAB Jun 13
5-13 vs aimclub Jun 13
MOUZ NXT
13-6 vs Noir Verse Jul 28
13-7 vs LEO Jul 27
13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
11-13 vs Lavked May 12
13-11 vs AM May 8
Dust2
PURE 11 – 13 MN
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
PURE
MN
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
Opening Kills
PURE
MN
Recent on Dust2
PURE
13-10 vs Noir Verse Jul 27
MOUZ NXT
1-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
3-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
1-13 vs TDK May 14
13-2 vs Lavked May 12
4-13 vs INOX Division May 11
Mirage
PURE 13 – 10 MN
56%
44%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Round Win Rate
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
After First Death
PURE
MN
Recent on Mirage
PURE
6-13 vs ASTRAL Jul 28
13-9 vs atputies Jul 27
14-16 vs Tricksters Jul 10
8-13 vs mellren Jul 9
16-12 vs Nexus Jun 13
MOUZ NXT
4-13 vs BRUTE Jul 27
2-13 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27
4-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
5-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
13-8 vs TDK May 14
Nuke
PURE 14 – 16 MN
49%
51%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
PURE
MN
Round Win Rate
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Recent on Nuke
PURE
13-0 vs ASTRAL Jul 27
13-2 vs SAAB Jun 13
5-13 vs aimclub Jun 13
MOUZ NXT
13-6 vs Noir Verse Jul 28
13-7 vs LEO Jul 27
13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
11-13 vs Lavked May 12
13-11 vs AM May 8
Ancient
PURE 5 – 13 MN
6%
94%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
PURE
MN
After First Death
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
T 5v4
PURE
MN
Recent on Ancient
PURE
1-13 vs ASTRAL Jul 28
13-10 vs mellren Jul 9
MOUZ NXT
13-8 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
13-11 vs UNiTY May 9
7-13 vs Lavked May 7
13-9 vs UNiTY Apr 27
20-22 vs Acend Apr 22
Recent Results last 11 matches
PURE
MOUZ NXT
W 1-0 vs atputies Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs ASTRAL Nuke Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs Noir Verse Dust2 Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-2 vs Tricksters MirageCache Jul 10 34d ago
L 1-2 vs mellren MirageAncientInferno Jul 9 35d ago
L 1-2 vs Nexus AnubisMirageInferno Jun 13 61d ago
W 2-0 vs SAAB MirageNuke Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-2 vs aimclub NukeInferno Jun 13 61d ago
W 1-0 vs LEO Nuke Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-1 vs BRUTE Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-1 vs NAVI Junior Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
L 1-2 vs SPARTA CacheDust2Mirage Jul 13 31d ago
L 1-2 vs Bushido Wildcats Dust2NukeMirage Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-1 vs Noir Verse AnubisAncientCache Jul 12 32d ago
L 1-2 vs TDK MirageOverpassDust2 May 14 91d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked NukeDust2Mirage May 12 93d ago
L 0-2 vs INOX Division OverpassDust2 May 11 94d ago
L 0-2 vs Tricked MirageOverpass May 10 95d ago
W 2-1 vs UNiTY MirageAncientDust2 May 9 96d ago
Player Matchups
PURE
Ratings
MOUZ NXT
MA
maty
RiflerADR 86.8KAST 68%
1.11 vs 1.11
NI
Nikodeon
EntryADR 82.3KAST 69%
SH
Sh1karee
AWPADR 66.3KAST 70%
1.05 vs 0.96
OP
opdust
RiflerADR 68.8KAST 67%
YA
yakuza
RiflerADR 72.0KAST 70%
0.99 vs 0.95
ES
eSx
AWPADR 67.3KAST 70%
MA
MAGILA
RiflerADR 76.2KAST 65%
0.99 vs 0.87
AY
ay0k
RiflerADR 63.0KAST 66%
TO
Toshas
EntryADR 57.9KAST 69%
0.84 vs 0.85
MI
mixer
RiflerADR 61.7KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
PURE 4 – 13 MN
2%
98%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Death
PURE
MN
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Opening Kills
PURE
MN
Recent on Anubis
PURE
4-13 vs Nexus Jun 13
MOUZ NXT
13-9 vs Noir Verse Jul 28
9-13 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Ancient
PURE 5 – 13 MN
6%
94%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
PURE
MN
After First Death
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
T 5v4
PURE
MN
Recent on Ancient
PURE
1-13 vs ASTRAL Jul 28
13-10 vs mellren Jul 9
MOUZ NXT
13-8 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
13-11 vs UNiTY May 9
7-13 vs Lavked May 7
13-9 vs UNiTY Apr 27
20-22 vs Acend Apr 22
Inferno
PURE 13 – 6 MN
92%
8%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
PURE
MN
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Ban Rate
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
Recent on Inferno
PURE
5-13 vs mellren Jul 9
11-13 vs Nexus Jun 13
9-13 vs aimclub Jun 13
MOUZ NXT
no data
Dust2
PURE 11 – 13 MN
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
PURE
MN
After First Kill
PURE
MN
Ranking
PURE
MN
Map Player Rating
PURE
MN
Opening Kills
PURE
MN
Recent on Dust2
PURE
13-10 vs Noir Verse Jul 27
MOUZ NXT
1-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
3-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
1-13 vs TDK May 14
13-2 vs Lavked May 12
4-13 vs INOX Division May 11
More from Urban Riga Open Season 6 4 matches
MOUZ NXT over Noir Verse 80% PURE over ASTRAL 80% BRUTE over MOUZ NXT 93% BRUTE over ASTRAL 56%