Project Leggy
‹ Back
Bo3  ·  Urban Riga Open Season 6 · 2026-07-28
PURE ✗
vs
ASTRAL
80%
20%
Series win probability
PURE 2–0 56%
PURE 2–1 24%
ASTR 2–1 15%
ASTR 2–0 5%
Actual result
Ancient 13–1 ASTR
Mirage 13–6 ASTR
Model Insights
PURE is strongly favored at 80%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#191 vs #112), a strong dust2 (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 37% Nuke · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 32% Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3 30% Nuke · Mirage · Anubis
Nuke
PURE 13 – 7 ASTR
84%
16%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
Round Win Rate
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
PURE
13-0 vs ASTRAL Jul 27
13-2 vs SAAB Jun 13
5-13 vs aimclub Jun 13
ASTRAL
0-13 vs PURE Jul 27
13-5 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 29
8-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
9-13 vs Betclic Jun 4
7-13 vs KOLESIE May 29
Dust2
PURE 13 – 7 ASTR
90%
10%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Experience
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
PURE
13-10 vs Noir Verse Jul 27
ASTRAL
13-5 vs Leo Jun 29
13-6 vs Leo May 31
13-9 vs UNiTY May 31
8-13 vs ex-RUBY May 27
13-11 vs brazylijski luz May 27
Mirage
PURE 13 – 7 ASTR
82%
18%
Win prob OT 6% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Round Win Rate
PURE
ASTR
T Side
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
PURE
13-9 vs atputies Jul 27
14-16 vs Tricksters Jul 10
8-13 vs mellren Jul 9
16-12 vs Nexus Jun 13
13-2 vs SAAB Jun 13
ASTRAL
13-10 vs Leo Jun 29
3-13 vs ARCRED Jun 6
6-13 vs Lavked Jun 2
11-13 vs MANA May 26
13-9 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
Nuke
PURE 13 – 7 ASTR
84%
16%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
Round Win Rate
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
PURE
13-0 vs ASTRAL Jul 27
13-2 vs SAAB Jun 13
5-13 vs aimclub Jun 13
ASTRAL
0-13 vs PURE Jul 27
13-5 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 29
8-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
9-13 vs Betclic Jun 4
7-13 vs KOLESIE May 29
Mirage
PURE 13 – 7 ASTR
82%
18%
Win prob OT 6% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Round Win Rate
PURE
ASTR
T Side
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
PURE
13-9 vs atputies Jul 27
14-16 vs Tricksters Jul 10
8-13 vs mellren Jul 9
16-12 vs Nexus Jun 13
13-2 vs SAAB Jun 13
ASTRAL
13-10 vs Leo Jun 29
3-13 vs ARCRED Jun 6
6-13 vs Lavked Jun 2
11-13 vs MANA May 26
13-9 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
Ancient
PURE 13 – 10 ASTR
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
Ban Rate
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
PURE
13-10 vs mellren Jul 9
ASTRAL
13-7 vs atputies Jul 27
13-10 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 29
13-11 vs ARCRED Jun 6
14-16 vs Betclic Jun 4
3-13 vs Leo May 31
Nuke
PURE 13 – 7 ASTR
84%
16%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
Round Win Rate
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
PURE
13-0 vs ASTRAL Jul 27
13-2 vs SAAB Jun 13
5-13 vs aimclub Jun 13
ASTRAL
0-13 vs PURE Jul 27
13-5 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 29
8-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
9-13 vs Betclic Jun 4
7-13 vs KOLESIE May 29
Mirage
PURE 13 – 7 ASTR
82%
18%
Win prob OT 6% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Round Win Rate
PURE
ASTR
T Side
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
PURE
13-9 vs atputies Jul 27
14-16 vs Tricksters Jul 10
8-13 vs mellren Jul 9
16-12 vs Nexus Jun 13
13-2 vs SAAB Jun 13
ASTRAL
13-10 vs Leo Jun 29
3-13 vs ARCRED Jun 6
6-13 vs Lavked Jun 2
11-13 vs MANA May 26
13-9 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
Anubis
PURE 5 – 13 ASTR
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Map Player Rating
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Anubis
PURE
4-13 vs Nexus Jun 13
ASTRAL
6-13 vs Noir Verse Jul 27
13-4 vs 6666 Jun 28
13-5 vs BERG Jun 28
12-16 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
7-13 vs Lavked Jun 2
Recent Results last 11 matches
PURE
ASTRAL
W 1-0 vs atputies Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs ASTRAL Nuke Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs Noir Verse Dust2 Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-2 vs Tricksters MirageCache Jul 10 34d ago
L 1-2 vs mellren MirageAncientInferno Jul 9 35d ago
L 1-2 vs Nexus AnubisMirageInferno Jun 13 61d ago
W 2-0 vs SAAB MirageNuke Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-2 vs aimclub NukeInferno Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-1 vs Noir Verse Anubis Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-1 vs PURE Nuke Jul 27 17d ago
W 1-0 vs atputies Ancient Jul 27 17d ago
W 2-0 vs SINQU REHTI NukeAncient Jun 29 45d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo MirageDust2 Jun 29 45d ago
W 1-0 vs 6666 Anubis Jun 28 46d ago
W 1-0 vs BERG Anubis Jun 28 46d ago
W 1-0 vs SINQU REHTI Inferno Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs KOLESIE AnubisNuke Jun 8 66d ago
L 1-2 vs ARCRED AncientInfernoMirage Jun 6 68d ago
L 0-2 vs Betclic AncientNuke Jun 4 70d ago
Player Matchups
PURE
Ratings
ASTRAL
MA
maty
RiflerADR 87.8KAST 68%
1.14 vs 1.14
SW
swiz
EntryADR 83.9KAST 73%
SH
Sh1karee
AWPADR 67.1KAST 71%
1.08 vs 1.07
GX
gxx-
AWPADR 75.0KAST 73%
YA
yakuza
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 70%
1.00 vs 1.03
RA
RaY5ive
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 71%
MA
MAGILA
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 65%
0.99 vs 0.97
ME
meowpop
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 72%
TO
Toshas
EntryADR 58.8KAST 70%
0.87 vs 0.96
NE
Neqy
RiflerADR 73.2KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Cache
PURE 13 – 4 ASTR
98%
2%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Map Player Rating
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Cache
PURE
7-13 vs Tricksters Jul 10
ASTRAL
no data
Anubis
PURE 5 – 13 ASTR
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Map Player Rating
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Anubis
PURE
4-13 vs Nexus Jun 13
ASTRAL
6-13 vs Noir Verse Jul 27
13-4 vs 6666 Jun 28
13-5 vs BERG Jun 28
12-16 vs KOLESIE Jun 8
7-13 vs Lavked Jun 2
Ancient
PURE 13 – 10 ASTR
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
Ban Rate
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
PURE
13-10 vs mellren Jul 9
ASTRAL
13-7 vs atputies Jul 27
13-10 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 29
13-11 vs ARCRED Jun 6
14-16 vs Betclic Jun 4
3-13 vs Leo May 31
Inferno
PURE 16 – 14 ASTR
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PURE
ASTR
After First Death
PURE
ASTR
After First Kill
PURE
ASTR
Ranking
PURE
ASTR
Map Player Rating
PURE
ASTR
Recent on Inferno
PURE
5-13 vs mellren Jul 9
11-13 vs Nexus Jun 13
9-13 vs aimclub Jun 13
ASTRAL
13-6 vs SINQU REHTI Jun 28
4-13 vs ARCRED Jun 6
13-11 vs UNiTY May 31
2-13 vs Rebels May 26
13-8 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
More from Urban Riga Open Season 6 4 matches
MOUZ NXT over Noir Verse 80% BRUTE over MOUZ NXT 93% MOUZ NXT over PURE 70% BRUTE over ASTRAL 56%