Noir Verse vs MOUZ NXT at Urban Riga Open Season 6

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Bo3 · Urban Riga Open Season 6 10:00 UTC · 2026-07-28

Noir Verse

MOUZ NXT ✓

20%

80%

Series win probability

MN 2–0 42%

MN 2–1 38%

NV 2–0 10%

NV 2–1 10%

Actual result

Anubis 13–9 MN

Nuke 13–6 MN

Model Insights

MOUZ NXT is strongly favored at 80%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong cache (91% win probability). Noir Verse's best shot is mirage where they hold a 58% edge.

Predicted Maps 3 maps

Scenario 1 35% Ancient · Mirage · Cache

Scenario 2 33% Mirage · Cache · Nuke

Scenario 3 31% Mirage · Cache · Dust2

Ancient

NV 5 – 13 MN

10%

90%

Win prob OT 4%

Key factors

After First Kill

Opponent-Rating Diff

Map Player Rating

After First Death

Overall Rating

Recent on Ancient

Noir Verse

8-13 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12

10-13 vs EAC Jun 13

5-13 vs Entropy Jun 13

13-11 vs WROTBERRY Jun 7

MOUZ NXT

13-8 vs Noir Verse Jul 12

13-11 vs UNiTY May 9

7-13 vs Lavked May 7

13-9 vs UNiTY Apr 27

20-22 vs Acend Apr 22

Mirage

NV 13 – 9 MN

58%

42%

Win prob OT 10%

Key factors

After First Kill

After First Death

Opponent-Rating Diff

Round Win Rate

Map Player Rating

Recent on Mirage

Noir Verse

3-13 vs Nexus Jun 14

14-16 vs EAC Jun 13

13-5 vs atputies Jun 13

13-2 vs Entropy Jun 13

13-6 vs aimclub Jun 13

MOUZ NXT

4-13 vs BRUTE Jul 27

2-13 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27

4-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13

5-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12

13-8 vs TDK May 14

Cache

NV 6 – 13 MN

91%

Win prob OT 3%

Key factors

After First Death

Round Win Rate

Opponent-Rating Diff

After First Kill

Map Player Rating

Recent on Cache

Noir Verse

6-13 vs SPARTA Jul 12

11-13 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12

MOUZ NXT

16-14 vs SPARTA Jul 13

13-11 vs Noir Verse Jul 12

Mirage

NV 13 – 9 MN

58%

42%

Win prob OT 10%

Key factors

After First Kill

After First Death

Opponent-Rating Diff

Round Win Rate

Map Player Rating

Recent on Mirage

Noir Verse

3-13 vs Nexus Jun 14

14-16 vs EAC Jun 13

13-5 vs atputies Jun 13

13-2 vs Entropy Jun 13

13-6 vs aimclub Jun 13

MOUZ NXT

4-13 vs BRUTE Jul 27

2-13 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27

4-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13

5-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12

13-8 vs TDK May 14

Cache

NV 6 – 13 MN

91%

Win prob OT 3%

Key factors

After First Death

Round Win Rate

Opponent-Rating Diff

After First Kill

Map Player Rating

Recent on Cache

Noir Verse

6-13 vs SPARTA Jul 12

11-13 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12

MOUZ NXT

16-14 vs SPARTA Jul 13

13-11 vs Noir Verse Jul 12

Nuke

NV 9 – 13 MN

28%

72%

Win prob OT 11% ✗

Key factors

Opponent-Rating Diff

After First Kill

Round Win Rate

Overall Rating

Map Player Rating

Recent on Nuke

Noir Verse

13-16 vs atputies Jul 27

7-13 vs FOKUS Jun 18

13-6 vs EAC Jun 13

13-7 vs atputies Jun 13

13-5 vs aimclub Jun 13

MOUZ NXT

13-7 vs LEO Jul 27

13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12

11-13 vs Lavked May 12

13-11 vs AM May 8

1-13 vs Ursa May 4

Mirage

NV 13 – 9 MN

58%

42%

Win prob OT 10%

Key factors

After First Kill

After First Death

Opponent-Rating Diff

Round Win Rate

Map Player Rating

Recent on Mirage

Noir Verse

3-13 vs Nexus Jun 14

14-16 vs EAC Jun 13

13-5 vs atputies Jun 13

13-2 vs Entropy Jun 13

13-6 vs aimclub Jun 13

MOUZ NXT

4-13 vs BRUTE Jul 27

2-13 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27

4-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13

5-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12

13-8 vs TDK May 14

Cache

NV 6 – 13 MN

91%

Win prob OT 3%

Key factors

After First Death

Round Win Rate

Opponent-Rating Diff

After First Kill

Map Player Rating

Recent on Cache

Noir Verse

6-13 vs SPARTA Jul 12

11-13 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12

MOUZ NXT

16-14 vs SPARTA Jul 13

13-11 vs Noir Verse Jul 12

Dust2

NV 11 – 13 MN

44%

56%

Win prob OT 12%

Key factors

After First Death

After First Kill

Opponent-Rating Diff

Map Player Rating

Map Win Rate

Recent on Dust2

Noir Verse

10-13 vs PURE Jul 27

7-13 vs SPARTA Jul 12

13-11 vs Entropy Jun 13

6-13 vs aimclub Jun 13

MOUZ NXT

1-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13

3-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12

1-13 vs TDK May 14

13-2 vs Lavked May 12

4-13 vs INOX Division May 11