Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-07
HOTU
vs
GenOne
✗
37%
63%
Series win probability
GENO
2–0
35%
GENO
2–1
27%
HOTU
2–1
21%
HOTU
2–0
16%
Actual result
Dust2
13–4
HOTU
Cache
13–6
HOTU
Model Insights
GenOne has a moderate edge at 63%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#66 vs #37), a strong ancient (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Dust2 · Ancient · Cache
Scenario 2
37%
Dust2 · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 3
24%
Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Dust2
HOTU
10
–
13
GENO
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
Round Win Rate
HOTU
GENO
Map Player Rating
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Dust2
HOTU
13-1
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
6-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 31
13-11
vs GamerLegion
Jul 22
13-8
vs HEROIC
Jul 21
3-13
vs fnatic
Jul 14
GenOne
13-6
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-11
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 2
16-13
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
13-8
vs JiJieHao
Aug 1
13-5
vs Enjoy
Jul 31
Ancient
HOTU
10
–
13
GENO
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
After First Kill
HOTU
GENO
T 5v4
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Ancient
HOTU
13-8
vs EAC
Jul 31
10-13
vs Astralis
Jul 25
13-8
vs GamerLegion
Jul 22
16-13
vs Astralis
Jul 22
0-13
vs fnatic
Jul 14
GenOne
13-2
vs Nordic Partners
Aug 5
13-8
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-10
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
13-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 2
12-16
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
Cache
HOTU
11
–
13
GENO
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
T 5v4
HOTU
GENO
Opening Kills
HOTU
GENO
Map Player Rating
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Cache
HOTU
13-2
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
17-19
vs EAC
Jul 31
11-13
vs Aurora
Jul 26
1-13
vs Astralis
Jul 25
16-14
vs Astralis
Jul 22
GenOne
16-12
vs Enjoy
Jul 31
9-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jul 29
9-13
vs 1win
Jul 17
13-6
vs Entropy
Jul 12
Dust2
HOTU
10
–
13
GENO
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
Round Win Rate
HOTU
GENO
Map Player Rating
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Dust2
HOTU
13-1
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
6-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 31
13-11
vs GamerLegion
Jul 22
13-8
vs HEROIC
Jul 21
3-13
vs fnatic
Jul 14
GenOne
13-6
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-11
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 2
16-13
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
13-8
vs JiJieHao
Aug 1
13-5
vs Enjoy
Jul 31
Ancient
HOTU
10
–
13
GENO
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
After First Kill
HOTU
GENO
T 5v4
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Ancient
HOTU
13-8
vs EAC
Jul 31
10-13
vs Astralis
Jul 25
13-8
vs GamerLegion
Jul 22
16-13
vs Astralis
Jul 22
0-13
vs fnatic
Jul 14
GenOne
13-2
vs Nordic Partners
Aug 5
13-8
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-10
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
13-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 2
12-16
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
Nuke
HOTU
11
–
13
GENO
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Kill
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
Map Win Rate
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Nuke
HOTU
13-7
vs Astralis
Jul 25
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Jun 14
13-6
vs Rune Eaters
May 31
13-7
vs Rune Eaters
May 31
13-8
vs Rune Eaters
May 29
GenOne
4-13
vs Sashi
Aug 5
13-11
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
13-11
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
5-13
vs NEW VISION
Jul 28
13-11
vs SPARTA
Jul 27
Dust2
HOTU
10
–
13
GENO
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
Round Win Rate
HOTU
GENO
Map Player Rating
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Dust2
HOTU
13-1
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
6-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 31
13-11
vs GamerLegion
Jul 22
13-8
vs HEROIC
Jul 21
3-13
vs fnatic
Jul 14
GenOne
13-6
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-11
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 2
16-13
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
13-8
vs JiJieHao
Aug 1
13-5
vs Enjoy
Jul 31
Ancient
HOTU
10
–
13
GENO
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
After First Kill
HOTU
GENO
T 5v4
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Ancient
HOTU
13-8
vs EAC
Jul 31
10-13
vs Astralis
Jul 25
13-8
vs GamerLegion
Jul 22
16-13
vs Astralis
Jul 22
0-13
vs fnatic
Jul 14
GenOne
13-2
vs Nordic Partners
Aug 5
13-8
vs Nemiga
Aug 4
13-10
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
13-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 2
12-16
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
Anubis
HOTU
14
–
16
GENO
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Kill
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
Opening Kills
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Anubis
HOTU
10-13
vs EAC
Jul 31
13-9
vs Aurora
Jul 26
13-5
vs INFINITE
Jul 25
13-9
vs QUAZAR
Jul 14
13-3
vs PCIFIC
May 29
GenOne
13-11
vs Sashi
Aug 5
13-11
vs Nordic Partners
Aug 5
13-3
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 30
7-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 12
13-5
vs Lazer Cats
Jun 11
Recent Results
last 11 matches
HOTU
GenOne
W
2-0
vs XCLAN
CacheDust2
Jul 31
13d ago
L
0-2
vs G2 Ares
MirageDust2
Jul 31
13d ago
L
1-2
vs EAC
AncientAnubisCache
Jul 31
13d ago
L
1-2
vs Aurora
CacheAnubisMirage
Jul 26
18d ago
L
1-2
vs Astralis
CacheNukeAncient
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-0
vs INFINITE
MirageAnubis
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-0
vs GamerLegion
Dust2Ancient
Jul 22
22d ago
W
2-0
vs Astralis
CacheAncient
Jul 22
22d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC
MirageCacheDust2
Jul 21
23d ago
W
2-0
vs QUAZAR
AnubisCache
Jul 14
30d ago
L
0-2
vs fnatic
AncientDust2
Jul 14
30d ago
L
1-2
vs Sashi
InfernoAnubisNuke
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-0
vs Nordic Partners
AnubisAncient
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-0
vs Nemiga
Dust2Ancient
Aug 4
9d ago
W
2-0
vs UNiTY
AncientNuke
Aug 3
10d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
Dust2Ancient
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-1
vs Lazer Cats
AncientDust2Nuke
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-1
vs JiJieHao
AncientDust2Inferno
Aug 1
12d ago
W
2-0
vs Enjoy
Dust2Cache
Jul 31
13d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-RUSTEC
Dust2Anubis
Jul 30
14d ago
W
2-1
vs ex-RUBY
Dust2CacheAncient
Jul 29
15d ago
W
2-0
vs Honvéd
AncientDust2
Jul 29
15d ago
Player Matchups
HOTU
Ratings
GenOne
MI
mizu
EntryADR 81.1KAST 71%
CH
Chucky
AWPADR 73.9KAST 77%
FR
frontales
AWPADR 70.3KAST 74%
BR
Brooxsy
EntryADR 78.7KAST 73%
N0
n0rb3r7
RiflerADR 77.8KAST 71%
KE
Keoz
RiflerADR 73.4KAST 72%
DW
dwushka
RiflerADR 74.4KAST 72%
DJ
Djoko
RiflerADR 74.5KAST 71%
KA
kade0
RiflerADR 66.6KAST 69%
BL
bL4SEZ
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
HOTU
10
–
13
GENO
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
After First Kill
HOTU
GENO
Ban Rate
HOTU
GENO
Opening Kills
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Inferno
HOTU
no data
GenOne
8-13
vs Sashi
Aug 5
13-9
vs JiJieHao
Aug 1
13-11
vs BET-M
Jul 25
20-22
vs Atreides
Jul 24
13-11
vs Honvéd
Jul 14
Nuke
HOTU
11
–
13
GENO
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Kill
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
Map Win Rate
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Nuke
HOTU
13-7
vs Astralis
Jul 25
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Jun 14
13-6
vs Rune Eaters
May 31
13-7
vs Rune Eaters
May 31
13-8
vs Rune Eaters
May 29
GenOne
4-13
vs Sashi
Aug 5
13-11
vs UNiTY
Aug 3
13-11
vs Lazer Cats
Aug 2
5-13
vs NEW VISION
Jul 28
13-11
vs SPARTA
Jul 27
Anubis
HOTU
14
–
16
GENO
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
HOTU
GENO
After First Kill
HOTU
GENO
Ranking
HOTU
GENO
After First Death
HOTU
GENO
Opening Kills
HOTU
GENO
Recent on Anubis
HOTU
10-13
vs EAC
Jul 31
13-9
vs Aurora
Jul 26
13-5
vs INFINITE
Jul 25
13-9
vs QUAZAR
Jul 14
13-3
vs PCIFIC
May 29
GenOne
13-11
vs Sashi
Aug 5
13-11
vs Nordic Partners
Aug 5
13-3
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 30
7-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 12
13-5
vs Lazer Cats
Jun 11
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
4 matches