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Bo3  ·  Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · 2026-08-07
BC.Game
vs
BASEMENT BOYS ✗
46%
54%
Series win probability
BB 2–0 29%
BB 2–1 26%
BC.G 2–1 24%
BC.G 2–0 22%
Actual result
Inferno 13–8 BC.G
Nuke 13–10 BB
Mirage 13–3 BC.G
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — BASEMENT BOYS is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 38% Mirage · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 2 37% Mirage · Dust2 · Cache
Scenario 3 25% Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Mirage
BC.G 11 – 13 BB
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
After First Kill
BC.G
BB
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
Recent on Mirage
BC.Game
13-11 vs ENCE Aug 1
13-9 vs HAVU Jul 31
13-4 vs Trainwrecks Jul 31
11-13 vs B8 May 12
7-13 vs Vitality May 11
BASEMENT BOYS
13-7 vs Leo Aug 4
13-4 vs los kogutos Aug 3
6-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
16-14 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
Nuke
BC.G 14 – 16 BB
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Experience
BC.G
BB
Map Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Recent on Nuke
BC.Game
13-2 vs SINQU Aug 1
16-13 vs ENCE Aug 1
BASEMENT BOYS
13-3 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
13-6 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-5 vs Enjoy Jul 11
13-11 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
4-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
Dust2
BC.G 10 – 13 BB
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Map Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Recent on Dust2
BC.Game
8-13 vs paiN May 20
11-13 vs Falcons May 19
10-13 vs Vitality May 11
BASEMENT BOYS
10-13 vs ex-MANA Aug 4
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-6 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
3-13 vs UNiTY May 23
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Mirage
BC.G 11 – 13 BB
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
After First Kill
BC.G
BB
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
Recent on Mirage
BC.Game
13-11 vs ENCE Aug 1
13-9 vs HAVU Jul 31
13-4 vs Trainwrecks Jul 31
11-13 vs B8 May 12
7-13 vs Vitality May 11
BASEMENT BOYS
13-7 vs Leo Aug 4
13-4 vs los kogutos Aug 3
6-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
16-14 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
Dust2
BC.G 10 – 13 BB
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Map Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Recent on Dust2
BC.Game
8-13 vs paiN May 20
11-13 vs Falcons May 19
10-13 vs Vitality May 11
BASEMENT BOYS
10-13 vs ex-MANA Aug 4
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-6 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
3-13 vs UNiTY May 23
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Cache
BC.G 13 – 11 BB
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
BC.G
BB
After First Kill
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Map Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Recent on Cache
BC.Game
13-10 vs SINQU Aug 1
13-5 vs ROUNDS Jul 31
BASEMENT BOYS
19-17 vs Fire Flux Aug 3
10-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
Mirage
BC.G 11 – 13 BB
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
After First Kill
BC.G
BB
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
Recent on Mirage
BC.Game
13-11 vs ENCE Aug 1
13-9 vs HAVU Jul 31
13-4 vs Trainwrecks Jul 31
11-13 vs B8 May 12
7-13 vs Vitality May 11
BASEMENT BOYS
13-7 vs Leo Aug 4
13-4 vs los kogutos Aug 3
6-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
16-14 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
Dust2
BC.G 10 – 13 BB
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Map Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Recent on Dust2
BC.Game
8-13 vs paiN May 20
11-13 vs Falcons May 19
10-13 vs Vitality May 11
BASEMENT BOYS
10-13 vs ex-MANA Aug 4
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-6 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
3-13 vs UNiTY May 23
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Anubis
BC.G 10 – 13 BB
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
T 5v4
BC.G
BB
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Recent on Anubis
BC.Game
4-13 vs paiN May 20
BASEMENT BOYS
13-8 vs Leo Aug 4
13-5 vs Entropy Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
2-13 vs JiJieHao May 24
22-20 vs UNiTY May 23
Recent Results last 11 matches
BC.Game
BASEMENT BOYS
W 2-0 vs SINQU NukeCache Aug 1 12d ago
W 2-0 vs ENCE MirageNuke Aug 1 12d ago
W 1-0 vs ROUNDS Cache Jul 31 13d ago
W 1-0 vs HAVU Mirage Jul 31 13d ago
W 1-0 vs Trainwrecks Mirage Jul 31 13d ago
L 0-2 vs paiN Dust2Anubis May 20 85d ago
L 0-1 vs Falcons Dust2 May 19 86d ago
L 0-2 vs B8 OverpassMirage May 12 93d ago
L 0-2 vs Vitality MirageDust2 May 11 94d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-MANA AncientDust2 Aug 4 9d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo AnubisMirage Aug 4 9d ago
W 2-0 vs Fire Flux CacheAncient Aug 3 10d ago
W 2-0 vs los kogutos AncientMirage Aug 3 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Fire Flux CacheMirage Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Mai Tai MirageNuke Aug 2 11d ago
L 1-2 vs BET-M MirageNukeDust2 Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-0 vs Enjoy NukeAncient Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-1 vs The Last Resort AncientDust2Nuke Jul 7 37d ago
L 0-2 vs Alliance NukeInferno Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-0 vs By Legends InfernoNuke Jun 13 61d ago
Player Matchups
BC.Game
Ratings
BASEMENT BOYS
SE
Senzu
EntryADR 84.0KAST 75%
1.25 vs 1.16
TR
Tr0ublE
AWPADR 75.8KAST 74%
S1
s1mple
AWPADR 77.0KAST 71%
1.13 vs 1.14
OW
OWNER
RiflerADR 82.1KAST 72%
MA
Magisk
RiflerADR 77.2KAST 76%
1.12 vs 1.05
MA
maggent
EntryADR 73.8KAST 75%
MZ
mzinho
RiflerADR 74.1KAST 70%
1.05 vs 1.05
FA
fakerealityy
RiflerADR 80.6KAST 73%
EL
electroNic
RiflerADR 67.5KAST 70%
0.96 vs 1.01
KR
kr1vda
RiflerADR 64.1KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
BC.G 9 – 13 BB
36%
64%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
BC.G
BB
Ban Rate
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Recent on Ancient
BC.Game
no data
BASEMENT BOYS
9-13 vs ex-MANA Aug 4
13-4 vs Fire Flux Aug 3
13-8 vs los kogutos Aug 3
13-4 vs Enjoy Jul 11
5-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
Anubis
BC.G 10 – 13 BB
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
T 5v4
BC.G
BB
After First Death
BC.G
BB
Recent on Anubis
BC.Game
4-13 vs paiN May 20
BASEMENT BOYS
13-8 vs Leo Aug 4
13-5 vs Entropy Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
2-13 vs JiJieHao May 24
22-20 vs UNiTY May 23
Inferno
BC.G 11 – 13 BB
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BC.G
BB
After First Kill
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Opening Kills
BC.G
BB
Recent on Inferno
BC.Game
no data
BASEMENT BOYS
7-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
13-2 vs By Legends Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
12-16 vs JiJieHao May 24
13-4 vs MASONIC May 16
Cache
BC.G 13 – 11 BB
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
BC.G
BB
After First Kill
BC.G
BB
Round Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Map Player Rating
BC.G
BB
Map Win Rate
BC.G
BB
Recent on Cache
BC.Game
13-10 vs SINQU Aug 1
13-5 vs ROUNDS Jul 31
BASEMENT BOYS
19-17 vs Fire Flux Aug 3
10-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
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