Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-07
Inner Circle
✓
vs
ASTRAL
64%
36%
Series win probability
IC
2–0
34%
IC
2–1
31%
ASTR
2–1
18%
ASTR
2–0
17%
Actual result
Ancient
13–6
IC
Mirage
13–6
IC
Model Insights
Inner Circle has a moderate edge at 64%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.05), a significant ranking advantage (#24 vs #91), a strong dust2 (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
40%
Dust2 · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2
39%
Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 3
21%
Dust2 · Ancient · Nuke
Dust2
IC
13
–
10
ASTR
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
IC
ASTR
After First Death
IC
ASTR
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
Opening Kills
IC
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
Inner Circle
13-9
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 11
13-4
vs magic
Jul 10
13-9
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-10
vs Acend
Jun 28
13-5
vs Walczaki
Jun 26
ASTRAL
7-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 28
13-5
vs Leo
Jun 29
13-6
vs Leo
May 31
13-9
vs UNiTY
May 31
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 27
Ancient
IC
16
–
14
ASTR
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
After First Death
IC
ASTR
T 5v4
IC
ASTR
Multi-Kills
IC
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
Inner Circle
13-1
vs NIO
Aug 7
13-6
vs magic
Jul 10
13-4
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-8
vs Acend
Jun 28
16-13
vs 9INE
Jun 25
ASTRAL
13-7
vs NAVI Junior
Jul 28
13-1
vs PURE
Jul 28
13-7
vs atputies
Jul 27
13-10
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
13-11
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
Mirage
IC
13
–
10
ASTR
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
IC
ASTR
Ranking
IC
ASTR
After First Death
IC
ASTR
Ban Rate
IC
ASTR
Opening Kills
IC
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
Inner Circle
13-0
vs NIO
Aug 7
13-9
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 11
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 28
11-13
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-16
vs Sharks
Jun 24
ASTRAL
13-6
vs PURE
Jul 28
13-10
vs Leo
Jun 29
3-13
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
6-13
vs Lavked
Jun 2
11-13
vs MANA
May 26
Dust2
IC
13
–
10
ASTR
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
IC
ASTR
After First Death
IC
ASTR
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
Opening Kills
IC
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
Inner Circle
13-9
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 11
13-4
vs magic
Jul 10
13-9
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-10
vs Acend
Jun 28
13-5
vs Walczaki
Jun 26
ASTRAL
7-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 28
13-5
vs Leo
Jun 29
13-6
vs Leo
May 31
13-9
vs UNiTY
May 31
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 27
Ancient
IC
16
–
14
ASTR
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
After First Death
IC
ASTR
T 5v4
IC
ASTR
Multi-Kills
IC
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
Inner Circle
13-1
vs NIO
Aug 7
13-6
vs magic
Jul 10
13-4
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-8
vs Acend
Jun 28
16-13
vs 9INE
Jun 25
ASTRAL
13-7
vs NAVI Junior
Jul 28
13-1
vs PURE
Jul 28
13-7
vs atputies
Jul 27
13-10
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
13-11
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
Anubis
IC
13
–
10
ASTR
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
IC
ASTR
After First Kill
IC
ASTR
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Opening Kills
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
Recent on Anubis
Inner Circle
19-16
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-9
vs Walczaki
Jun 26
13-4
vs Sharks
May 23
8-13
vs Alliance
Mar 31
11-13
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 30
ASTRAL
7-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 28
6-13
vs Noir Verse
Jul 27
13-4
vs 6666
Jun 28
13-5
vs BERG
Jun 28
12-16
vs KOLESIE
Jun 8
Dust2
IC
13
–
10
ASTR
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
IC
ASTR
After First Death
IC
ASTR
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
Opening Kills
IC
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
Inner Circle
13-9
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 11
13-4
vs magic
Jul 10
13-9
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-10
vs Acend
Jun 28
13-5
vs Walczaki
Jun 26
ASTRAL
7-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 28
13-5
vs Leo
Jun 29
13-6
vs Leo
May 31
13-9
vs UNiTY
May 31
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 27
Ancient
IC
16
–
14
ASTR
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
After First Death
IC
ASTR
T 5v4
IC
ASTR
Multi-Kills
IC
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
Inner Circle
13-1
vs NIO
Aug 7
13-6
vs magic
Jul 10
13-4
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-8
vs Acend
Jun 28
16-13
vs 9INE
Jun 25
ASTRAL
13-7
vs NAVI Junior
Jul 28
13-1
vs PURE
Jul 28
13-7
vs atputies
Jul 27
13-10
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
13-11
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
Nuke
IC
13
–
9
ASTR
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
IC
ASTR
After First Kill
IC
ASTR
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
Opening Kills
IC
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
Inner Circle
13-4
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-7
vs 9INE
Jun 25
16-14
vs Sashi
Jun 25
17-19
vs Sharks
Jun 24
13-7
vs Spirit Academy
Jun 18
ASTRAL
19-15
vs NAVI Junior
Jul 28
13-10
vs BRUTE
Jul 28
0-13
vs PURE
Jul 27
13-5
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
8-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 8
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Inner Circle
ASTRAL
W
2-0
vs Virtus.pro
MirageDust2
Jul 11
33d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
Dust2Ancient
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
Dust2Ancient
Jul 9
35d ago
W
3-1
vs Acend
MirageDust2OverpassAncient
Jun 28
46d ago
W
2-1
vs Sharks
MirageNukeAnubis
Jun 27
47d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
AnubisDust2
Jun 26
48d ago
W
2-1
vs 9INE
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 25
49d ago
W
2-1
vs Sashi
OverpassDust2Nuke
Jun 25
49d ago
L
0-2
vs Sharks
MirageNuke
Jun 24
50d ago
W
2-0
vs AM
OverpassDust2
Jun 23
51d ago
L
1-2
vs Echo
OverpassMirageAncient
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-0
vs NAVI Junior
AncientNuke
Jul 28
16d ago
W
2-0
vs PURE
AncientMirage
Jul 28
16d ago
L
1-2
vs BRUTE
AnubisNukeDust2
Jul 28
16d ago
L
0-1
vs Noir Verse
Anubis
Jul 27
17d ago
L
0-1
vs PURE
Nuke
Jul 27
17d ago
W
1-0
vs atputies
Ancient
Jul 27
17d ago
W
2-0
vs SINQU REHTI
NukeAncient
Jun 29
45d ago
W
2-0
vs Leo
MirageDust2
Jun 29
45d ago
W
1-0
vs 6666
Anubis
Jun 28
46d ago
W
1-0
vs BERG
Anubis
Jun 28
46d ago
W
1-0
vs SINQU REHTI
Inferno
Jun 28
46d ago
Player Matchups
Inner Circle
Ratings
ASTRAL
DA
Dawy
EntryADR 84.8KAST 77%
SW
swiz
EntryADR 83.9KAST 73%
HE
headtr1ck
AWPADR 73.8KAST 77%
GX
gxx-
AWPADR 75.5KAST 73%
CP
cptkurtka023
RiflerADR 73.6KAST 74%
RA
RaY5ive
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 72%
ZE
zeRRoFIX
RiflerADR 71.3KAST 74%
ME
meowpop
RiflerADR 65.4KAST 72%
ON
onic
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 72%
NE
Neqy
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
IC
13
–
9
ASTR
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
IC
ASTR
After First Kill
IC
ASTR
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
Opening Kills
IC
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
Inner Circle
13-4
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-7
vs 9INE
Jun 25
16-14
vs Sashi
Jun 25
17-19
vs Sharks
Jun 24
13-7
vs Spirit Academy
Jun 18
ASTRAL
19-15
vs NAVI Junior
Jul 28
13-10
vs BRUTE
Jul 28
0-13
vs PURE
Jul 27
13-5
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
8-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 8
Inferno
IC
10
–
13
ASTR
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
IC
ASTR
After First Death
IC
ASTR
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Ban Rate
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
Recent on Inferno
Inner Circle
no data
ASTRAL
13-6
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 28
4-13
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
13-11
vs UNiTY
May 31
2-13
vs Rebels
May 26
13-8
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 25
Anubis
IC
13
–
10
ASTR
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
IC
ASTR
After First Kill
IC
ASTR
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Opening Kills
IC
ASTR
Map Player Rating
IC
ASTR
Recent on Anubis
Inner Circle
19-16
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-9
vs Walczaki
Jun 26
13-4
vs Sharks
May 23
8-13
vs Alliance
Mar 31
11-13
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 30
ASTRAL
7-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 28
6-13
vs Noir Verse
Jul 27
13-4
vs 6666
Jun 28
13-5
vs BERG
Jun 28
12-16
vs KOLESIE
Jun 8
Cache
IC
16
–
14
ASTR
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
IC
ASTR
Side Balance
IC
ASTR
vs Top 30
IC
ASTR
Days With Lineup Team
IC
ASTR
Overall Rating
IC
ASTR
Recent on Cache
Inner Circle
no data
ASTRAL
no data
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
4 matches