Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-07
BIG
✓
vs
Fluxo
57%
43%
Series win probability
BIG
2–0
32%
BIG
2–1
25%
FLUX
2–1
24%
FLUX
2–0
19%
Actual result
Mirage
13–8
BIG
Inferno
13–6
BIG
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — BIG is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#22 vs #59), a strong ancient (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
35%
Ancient · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 2
33%
Nuke · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 3
31%
Nuke · Dust2 · Anubis
Ancient
BIG
13
–
10
FLUX
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
Map Player Rating
BIG
FLUX
Opening Kills
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Ancient
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
9-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
13-11
vs B8
Jul 5
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
16-14
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 1
Fluxo
8-13
vs Galorys
May 31
Nuke
BIG
13
–
10
FLUX
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
T 5v4
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Map Player Rating
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Nuke
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
Fluxo
12-16
vs BESTIA
Aug 1
13-8
vs Imperial
Jul 31
13-4
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
10-13
vs MIBR
Jul 28
4-13
vs Isurus
Jul 26
Dust2
BIG
13
–
11
FLUX
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
Round Win Rate
BIG
FLUX
CT Side
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Dust2
BIG
8-13
vs B8
Jun 9
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
Fluxo
9-13
vs BESTIA
Aug 1
5-13
vs Imperial
Jul 31
6-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
19-17
vs Imperial
Jul 19
16-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 17
Nuke
BIG
13
–
10
FLUX
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
T 5v4
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Map Player Rating
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Nuke
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
Fluxo
12-16
vs BESTIA
Aug 1
13-8
vs Imperial
Jul 31
13-4
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
10-13
vs MIBR
Jul 28
4-13
vs Isurus
Jul 26
Dust2
BIG
13
–
11
FLUX
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
Round Win Rate
BIG
FLUX
CT Side
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Dust2
BIG
8-13
vs B8
Jun 9
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
Fluxo
9-13
vs BESTIA
Aug 1
5-13
vs Imperial
Jul 31
6-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
19-17
vs Imperial
Jul 19
16-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 17
Inferno
BIG
11
–
13
FLUX
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Round Win Rate
BIG
FLUX
Map Win Rate
BIG
FLUX
Map Player Rating
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Inferno
BIG
16-13
vs B8
Jul 5
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
3-13
vs G2
Jun 8
13-8
vs MIBR
Jun 7
13-7
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 3
Fluxo
13-9
vs Imperial
Jul 31
8-13
vs MIBR
Jul 28
13-9
vs Isurus
Jul 26
9-13
vs UNO MILLE
Jun 28
3-13
vs BESTIA
May 30
Nuke
BIG
13
–
10
FLUX
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
T 5v4
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Map Player Rating
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Nuke
BIG
13-1
vs z to forward
Aug 7
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
Fluxo
12-16
vs BESTIA
Aug 1
13-8
vs Imperial
Jul 31
13-4
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
10-13
vs MIBR
Jul 28
4-13
vs Isurus
Jul 26
Dust2
BIG
13
–
11
FLUX
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
Round Win Rate
BIG
FLUX
CT Side
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Dust2
BIG
8-13
vs B8
Jun 9
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
Fluxo
9-13
vs BESTIA
Aug 1
5-13
vs Imperial
Jul 31
6-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
19-17
vs Imperial
Jul 19
16-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 17
Anubis
BIG
16
–
14
FLUX
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Opening Kills
BIG
FLUX
Pistol Rounds
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Anubis
BIG
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
Fluxo
13-11
vs Imperial
Jul 19
10-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 9
1-13
vs paiN Academy
Jul 6
13-8
vs UNO MILLE
Jun 28
10-13
vs Galorys
May 31
Recent Results
last 11 matches
BIG
Fluxo
L
1-2
vs PARIVISION
CacheMirageAncient
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
InfernoAncient
Jul 5
39d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AnubisInfernoAncient
Jul 4
40d ago
L
0-1
vs MIBR
Mirage
Jul 3
41d ago
L
0-1
vs BetBoom
Mirage
Jul 2
42d ago
W
1-0
vs Lynn Vision
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
L
1-2
vs B8
AncientOverpassDust2
Jun 9
65d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
InfernoMirage
Jun 8
66d ago
W
1-0
vs MIBR
Inferno
Jun 7
67d ago
L
0-1
vs Monte
Mirage
Jun 6
68d ago
W
1-0
vs paiN
Overpass
Jun 6
68d ago
L
0-2
vs BESTIA
NukeDust2
Aug 1
12d ago
W
2-1
vs Imperial
Dust2InfernoNuke
Jul 31
13d ago
W
2-1
vs Bounty Hunters
CacheDust2Nuke
Jul 29
15d ago
L
0-2
vs MIBR
NukeInferno
Jul 28
16d ago
L
1-2
vs Isurus
InfernoNukeCache
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-0
vs Keyd Stars
NukeMirage
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN Academy
CacheNuke
Jul 23
21d ago
W
3-2
vs Imperial
NukeCacheDust2MirageAnubis
Jul 19
25d ago
W
2-0
vs Bounty Hunters
NukeDust2
Jul 17
27d ago
W
2-1
vs Imperial
NukeCacheDust2
Jul 16
28d ago
W
2-0
vs RUSH
MirageNuke
Jul 15
29d ago
Player Matchups
BIG
Ratings
Fluxo
BL
blameF
EntryADR 83.9KAST 78%
EX
exit
EntryADR 74.8KAST 76%
JD
JDC
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 71%
DA
dav1deuS
RiflerADR 82.6KAST 72%
TA
tabseN
RiflerADR 73.3KAST 73%
LT
Ltz
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 73%
GR
gr1ks
AWPADR 69.4KAST 71%
KY
kye
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 73%
FA
faveN
RiflerADR 67.6KAST 73%
ZE
zevy
AWPADR 67.0KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Mirage
BIG
8
–
13
FLUX
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
Round Win Rate
BIG
FLUX
Map Player Rating
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Mirage
BIG
5-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
2-13
vs MIBR
Jul 3
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jul 2
8-13
vs G2
Jun 8
8-13
vs Monte
Jun 6
Fluxo
13-6
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 25
3-13
vs Imperial
Jul 19
13-6
vs RUSH
Jul 15
13-7
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 9
13-7
vs Keyd Stars
Jun 27
Cache
BIG
13
–
10
FLUX
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
Map Player Rating
BIG
FLUX
T Side
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Cache
BIG
19-15
vs PARIVISION
Jul 10
Fluxo
13-7
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
8-13
vs Isurus
Jul 26
13-3
vs paiN Academy
Jul 23
16-13
vs Imperial
Jul 19
7-13
vs Imperial
Jul 16
Inferno
BIG
11
–
13
FLUX
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Round Win Rate
BIG
FLUX
Map Win Rate
BIG
FLUX
Map Player Rating
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Inferno
BIG
16-13
vs B8
Jul 5
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
3-13
vs G2
Jun 8
13-8
vs MIBR
Jun 7
13-7
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 3
Fluxo
13-9
vs Imperial
Jul 31
8-13
vs MIBR
Jul 28
13-9
vs Isurus
Jul 26
9-13
vs UNO MILLE
Jun 28
3-13
vs BESTIA
May 30
Anubis
BIG
16
–
14
FLUX
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BIG
FLUX
Ranking
BIG
FLUX
After First Death
BIG
FLUX
Opening Kills
BIG
FLUX
Pistol Rounds
BIG
FLUX
Recent on Anubis
BIG
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
Fluxo
13-11
vs Imperial
Jul 19
10-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 9
1-13
vs paiN Academy
Jul 6
13-8
vs UNO MILLE
Jun 28
10-13
vs Galorys
May 31
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
4 matches