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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2 · 2026-08-03
los kogutos
vs
BASEMENT BOYS
44%
56%
Series win probability
BB 2–0 28%
BB 2–1 28%
LK 2–1 23%
LK 2–0 22%
Actual result
Ancient 13–8 BB
Mirage 13–4 BB
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — BASEMENT BOYS is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#81 vs #159). los kogutos's best shot is nuke where they hold a 57% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 44% Nuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2 29% Nuke · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 3 27% Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
Nuke
LK 13 10 BB
57%
43%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
T 5v4
LK
BB
After First Kill
LK
BB
Map Win Rate
LK
BB
Recent on Nuke
los kogutos
22-18 vs Just Players Aug 3
13-2 vs Fortress Aug 2
16-14 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-3 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
BASEMENT BOYS
13-3 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
13-6 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-5 vs Enjoy Jul 11
13-11 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
4-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
Dust2
LK 10 13 BB
41%
59%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
Opening Kills
LK
BB
T 5v4
LK
BB
Recent on Dust2
los kogutos
16-12 vs 1win Jul 30
13-4 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
BASEMENT BOYS
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-6 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
3-13 vs UNiTY May 23
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
19-17 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Ancient
LK 11 13 BB
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
After First Kill
LK
BB
Opening Kills
LK
BB
Recent on Ancient
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
13-11 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
10-13 vs 1win Jul 30
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
BASEMENT BOYS
13-4 vs Fire Flux Aug 3
13-4 vs Enjoy Jul 11
5-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
6-13 vs Entropy Jun 13
13-6 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Nuke
LK 13 10 BB
57%
43%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
T 5v4
LK
BB
After First Kill
LK
BB
Map Win Rate
LK
BB
Recent on Nuke
los kogutos
22-18 vs Just Players Aug 3
13-2 vs Fortress Aug 2
16-14 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-3 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
BASEMENT BOYS
13-3 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
13-6 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-5 vs Enjoy Jul 11
13-11 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
4-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
Ancient
LK 11 13 BB
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
After First Kill
LK
BB
Opening Kills
LK
BB
Recent on Ancient
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
13-11 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
10-13 vs 1win Jul 30
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
BASEMENT BOYS
13-4 vs Fire Flux Aug 3
13-4 vs Enjoy Jul 11
5-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
6-13 vs Entropy Jun 13
13-6 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Anubis
LK 10 13 BB
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Opening Kills
LK
BB
After First Kill
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
Recent on Anubis
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5 vs Entropy Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
2-13 vs JiJieHao May 24
22-20 vs UNiTY May 23
13-3 vs MTX May 10
Nuke
LK 13 10 BB
57%
43%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
T 5v4
LK
BB
After First Kill
LK
BB
Map Win Rate
LK
BB
Recent on Nuke
los kogutos
22-18 vs Just Players Aug 3
13-2 vs Fortress Aug 2
16-14 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-3 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
BASEMENT BOYS
13-3 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
13-6 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-5 vs Enjoy Jul 11
13-11 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
4-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
Ancient
LK 11 13 BB
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
After First Kill
LK
BB
Opening Kills
LK
BB
Recent on Ancient
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
13-11 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
10-13 vs 1win Jul 30
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
BASEMENT BOYS
13-4 vs Fire Flux Aug 3
13-4 vs Enjoy Jul 11
5-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
6-13 vs Entropy Jun 13
13-6 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Mirage
LK 14 16 BB
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Opening Kills
LK
BB
After First Death
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
Recent on Mirage
los kogutos
13-9 vs Just Players Aug 3
7-13 vs 1win Jul 30
16-13 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
22-20 vs UNiTY Jul 28
9-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
BASEMENT BOYS
6-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
16-14 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
16-12 vs Entropy Jun 13
13-7 vs UNiTY May 23
Recent Results last 11 matches
los kogutos
BASEMENT BOYS
W 2-0 vs Noir Verse AnubisAncient Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Fortress CacheNuke Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION NukeAncient Aug 1 12d ago
L 1-2 vs 1win Dust2AncientMirage Jul 30 14d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-MANA Dust2Nuke Jul 29 15d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-MANA MirageNuke Jul 29 15d ago
L 1-2 vs UNiTY CacheMirageAncient Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort MirageDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 0-2 vs Entropy CacheAncient Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION NukeAncient Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2AncientMirage Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Fire Flux CacheMirage Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Mai Tai MirageNuke Aug 2 11d ago
L 1-2 vs BET-M MirageNukeDust2 Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-0 vs Enjoy NukeAncient Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-1 vs The Last Resort AncientDust2Nuke Jul 7 37d ago
L 0-2 vs Alliance NukeInferno Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-0 vs By Legends InfernoNuke Jun 13 61d ago
W 2-1 vs Entropy MirageAncientAnubis Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-2 vs fnatic AnubisInferno Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-2 vs JiJieHao AnubisInferno May 24 81d ago
W 2-1 vs UNiTY MirageDust2Anubis May 23 82d ago
Player Matchups
los kogutos
Ratings
BASEMENT BOYS
MA
Markoś
AWPADR 74.7KAST 76%
1.11 vs 1.13
OW
OWNER
RiflerADR 81.0KAST 72%
TO
tomiko
RiflerADR 79.2KAST 71%
1.06 vs 1.13
TR
Tr0ublE
AWPADR 74.5KAST 73%
MA
maaryy
EntryADR 71.0KAST 73%
0.99 vs 1.05
MA
maggent
EntryADR 74.7KAST 74%
HO
hotd0g
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 68%
0.98 vs 1.00
KR
kr1vda
RiflerADR 64.3KAST 72%
AD
AdrieN
Rifler
1.00 vs 1.00
FA
fakerealityy
Rifler
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
LK 10 13 BB
29%
71%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LK
BB
After First Death
LK
BB
Ban Rate
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
Recent on Inferno
los kogutos
no data
BASEMENT BOYS
7-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
13-2 vs By Legends Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
12-16 vs JiJieHao May 24
13-4 vs MASONIC May 16
Anubis
LK 10 13 BB
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Opening Kills
LK
BB
After First Kill
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
Recent on Anubis
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5 vs Entropy Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
2-13 vs JiJieHao May 24
22-20 vs UNiTY May 23
13-3 vs MTX May 10
Cache
LK 11 13 BB
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LK
BB
After First Death
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Opening Kills
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
Recent on Cache
los kogutos
13-3 vs Fortress Aug 2
10-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
7-13 vs Entropy Jul 25
10-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
BASEMENT BOYS
19-17 vs Fire Flux Aug 3
10-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
Mirage
LK 14 16 BB
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LK
BB
Ranking
LK
BB
Opening Kills
LK
BB
After First Death
LK
BB
Map Player Rating
LK
BB
Recent on Mirage
los kogutos
13-9 vs Just Players Aug 3
7-13 vs 1win Jul 30
16-13 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
22-20 vs UNiTY Jul 28
9-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
BASEMENT BOYS
6-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
16-14 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
16-12 vs Entropy Jun 13
13-7 vs UNiTY May 23
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2 4 matches