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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2 · 2026-08-03
MOUZ NXT
vs
Misa ✗
47%
53%
Series win probability
MISA 2–0 29%
MN 2–1 27%
MISA 2–1 23%
MN 2–0 21%
Actual result
Dust2 13–11 MN
Nuke 16–13 MISA
Mirage 19–17 MN
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Misa is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.01 vs 0.92), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#197 vs #154), a strong dust2 (62% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 38% Mirage · Dust2 · Cache
Scenario 2 34% Dust2 · Cache · Anubis
Scenario 3 28% Dust2 · Cache · Nuke
Mirage
MN 10 – 13 MISA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
Round Win Rate
MN
MISA
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
2-13 vs WBT Aug 2
8-13 vs PURE Jul 28
4-13 vs BRUTE Jul 27
2-13 vs NAVI Junior Jul 27
4-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
Misa
9-13 vs Falcons Force Jul 28
10-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 26
13-8 vs Honvéd Jul 21
13-8 vs Lilmix Jul 20
10-13 vs ex-MANA Jul 19
Dust2
MN 9 – 13 MISA
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Opening Kills
MN
MISA
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ NXT
9-13 vs BRUTE Jul 28
1-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
3-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
1-13 vs TDK May 14
13-2 vs Lavked May 12
Misa
9-13 vs Bebop Jul 29
7-13 vs Black Phoenix Jul 27
13-5 vs Privateer Jul 24
13-3 vs ROUNDS Jul 23
11-13 vs Honvéd Jul 21
Cache
MN 16 – 14 MISA
52%
48%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
Map Win Rate
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
Recent on Cache
MOUZ NXT
13-11 vs WBT Aug 2
5-13 vs PURE Jul 28
16-14 vs SPARTA Jul 13
13-11 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Misa
11-13 vs WBT Aug 2
7-13 vs Falcons Force Jul 28
9-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 26
13-9 vs Lilmix Jul 20
3-13 vs benched gods Jul 18
Dust2
MN 9 – 13 MISA
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Opening Kills
MN
MISA
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ NXT
9-13 vs BRUTE Jul 28
1-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
3-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
1-13 vs TDK May 14
13-2 vs Lavked May 12
Misa
9-13 vs Bebop Jul 29
7-13 vs Black Phoenix Jul 27
13-5 vs Privateer Jul 24
13-3 vs ROUNDS Jul 23
11-13 vs Honvéd Jul 21
Cache
MN 16 – 14 MISA
52%
48%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
Map Win Rate
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
Recent on Cache
MOUZ NXT
13-11 vs WBT Aug 2
5-13 vs PURE Jul 28
16-14 vs SPARTA Jul 13
13-11 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Misa
11-13 vs WBT Aug 2
7-13 vs Falcons Force Jul 28
9-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 26
13-9 vs Lilmix Jul 20
3-13 vs benched gods Jul 18
Anubis
MN 10 – 13 MISA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MN
MISA
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
Round Win Rate
MN
MISA
Overall Rating
MN
MISA
Recent on Anubis
MOUZ NXT
2-13 vs WBT Aug 2
13-9 vs Noir Verse Jul 28
9-13 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Misa
10-13 vs WBT Aug 2
13-8 vs Black Phoenix Jul 27
13-16 vs Honvéd Jul 21
7-13 vs Lilmix Jul 20
13-3 vs OlyBet Jul 17
Dust2
MN 9 – 13 MISA
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Opening Kills
MN
MISA
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ NXT
9-13 vs BRUTE Jul 28
1-13 vs SPARTA Jul 13
3-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
1-13 vs TDK May 14
13-2 vs Lavked May 12
Misa
9-13 vs Bebop Jul 29
7-13 vs Black Phoenix Jul 27
13-5 vs Privateer Jul 24
13-3 vs ROUNDS Jul 23
11-13 vs Honvéd Jul 21
Cache
MN 16 – 14 MISA
52%
48%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
Map Win Rate
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
Recent on Cache
MOUZ NXT
13-11 vs WBT Aug 2
5-13 vs PURE Jul 28
16-14 vs SPARTA Jul 13
13-11 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Misa
11-13 vs WBT Aug 2
7-13 vs Falcons Force Jul 28
9-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 26
13-9 vs Lilmix Jul 20
3-13 vs benched gods Jul 18
Nuke
MN 13 – 10 MISA
62%
38%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Opening Kills
MN
MISA
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
13-6 vs Noir Verse Jul 28
10-13 vs BRUTE Jul 28
13-7 vs LEO Jul 27
13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
11-13 vs Lavked May 12
Misa
13-16 vs Bebop Jul 29
13-10 vs Privateer Jul 24
13-11 vs ROUNDS Jul 23
8-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 12
Recent Results last 11 matches
MOUZ NXT
Misa
L 1-2 vs WBT CacheAnubisMirage Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Noir Verse AnubisNuke Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs BRUTE NukeDust2 Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs PURE CacheMirage Jul 28 16d ago
W 1-0 vs LEO Nuke Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-1 vs BRUTE Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-1 vs NAVI Junior Mirage Jul 27 17d ago
L 1-2 vs SPARTA CacheDust2Mirage Jul 13 31d ago
L 1-2 vs Bushido Wildcats Dust2NukeMirage Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-1 vs Noir Verse AnubisAncientCache Jul 12 32d ago
L 1-2 vs TDK MirageOverpassDust2 May 14 91d ago
L 0-2 vs WBT AnubisCache Aug 2 11d ago
L 0-2 vs Bebop NukeDust2 Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Falcons Force CacheMirage Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-1 vs Black Phoenix Dust2AnubisInferno Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-2 vs Mai Tai MirageCache Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-0 vs Privateer Dust2Nuke Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs ROUNDS Dust2Nuke Jul 23 21d ago
L 1-2 vs Honvéd Dust2MirageAnubis Jul 21 23d ago
L 0-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2Inferno Jul 20 24d ago
W 2-1 vs Lilmix CacheAnubisMirage Jul 20 24d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-MANA MirageDust2Inferno Jul 19 25d ago
Player Matchups
MOUZ NXT
Ratings
Misa
NI
Nikodeon
EntryADR 83.0KAST 69%
1.11 vs 1.05
EM
EMSTAR
RiflerADR 81.1KAST 70%
OP
opdust
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 67%
0.95 vs 1.01
CK
Ckanic
EntryADR 71.4KAST 71%
ES
eSx
AWPADR 63.5KAST 67%
0.90 vs 1.00
ZU
Zuedsta
RiflerADR 69.8KAST 70%
AY
ay0k
RiflerADR 60.7KAST 65%
0.82 vs 1.00
SO
souv
RiflerADR 69.0KAST 73%
MI
mixer
Rifler
1.00 vs 0.97
ME
Mertowsk1
AWPADR 67.6KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
MN 13 – 10 MISA
71%
29%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
MN
MISA
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Ban Rate
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ NXT
13-8 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
13-11 vs UNiTY May 9
7-13 vs Lavked May 7
13-9 vs UNiTY Apr 27
20-22 vs Acend Apr 22
Misa
no data
Inferno
MN 9 – 13 MISA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Ban Rate
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ NXT
no data
Misa
13-6 vs Black Phoenix Jul 27
14-16 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 20
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 19
13-11 vs G2 Ares Jul 17
Nuke
MN 13 – 10 MISA
62%
38%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
Map Player Rating
MN
MISA
After First Death
MN
MISA
Opening Kills
MN
MISA
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
13-6 vs Noir Verse Jul 28
10-13 vs BRUTE Jul 28
13-7 vs LEO Jul 27
13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
11-13 vs Lavked May 12
Misa
13-16 vs Bebop Jul 29
13-10 vs Privateer Jul 24
13-11 vs ROUNDS Jul 23
8-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 12
Anubis
MN 10 – 13 MISA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MN
MISA
After First Kill
MN
MISA
Ranking
MN
MISA
Round Win Rate
MN
MISA
Overall Rating
MN
MISA
Recent on Anubis
MOUZ NXT
2-13 vs WBT Aug 2
13-9 vs Noir Verse Jul 28
9-13 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Misa
10-13 vs WBT Aug 2
13-8 vs Black Phoenix Jul 27
13-16 vs Honvéd Jul 21
7-13 vs Lilmix Jul 20
13-3 vs OlyBet Jul 17
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2 4 matches
Fire Flux over BASEMENT BOYS 51% Noir Verse over Fortress 56% Bushido Wildcats over Noir Verse 52% BASEMENT BOYS over los kogutos 56%