Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2
· 2026-08-03
Noir Verse
✓
vs
Fortress
56%
44%
Series win probability
NV
2–0
31%
NV
2–1
25%
FORT
2–1
24%
FORT
2–0
19%
Actual result
Ancient
13–10
NV
Dust2
13–3
NV
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Noir Verse is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.00 vs 0.90), a significant ranking advantage (#158 vs #189), a strong cache (62% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Ancient · Cache · Nuke
Scenario 2
33%
Ancient · Cache · Anubis
Scenario 3
25%
Ancient · Cache · Dust2
Ancient
NV
16
–
14
FORT
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
NV
FORT
After First Kill
NV
FORT
Opening Kills
NV
FORT
Map Win Rate
NV
FORT
Ranking
NV
FORT
Recent on Ancient
Noir Verse
7-13
vs los kogutos
Aug 2
8-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 12
10-13
vs EAC
Jun 13
5-13
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-11
vs WROTBERRY
Jun 7
Fortress
2-13
vs STATE
Jul 29
16-14
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 26
3-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 21
16-14
vs Strael Bora
May 24
13-7
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
Cache
NV
13
–
9
FORT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NV
FORT
After First Kill
NV
FORT
Round Win Rate
NV
FORT
Ranking
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Recent on Cache
Noir Verse
6-13
vs SPARTA
Jul 12
11-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 12
Fortress
3-13
vs los kogutos
Aug 2
10-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 26
7-13
vs STATE
Jul 25
2-13
vs Enjoy
Jul 22
5-13
vs DONSTU
Jun 30
Nuke
NV
13
–
8
FORT
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
FORT
Round Win Rate
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Map Win Rate
NV
FORT
Opening Kills
NV
FORT
Recent on Nuke
Noir Verse
6-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 28
13-16
vs atputies
Jul 27
7-13
vs FOKUS
Jun 18
13-6
vs EAC
Jun 13
13-7
vs atputies
Jun 13
Fortress
2-13
vs los kogutos
Aug 2
10-13
vs STATE
Jul 29
5-13
vs STATE
Jul 25
16-13
vs Enjoy
Jul 22
7-13
vs STATE
May 24
Ancient
NV
16
–
14
FORT
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
NV
FORT
After First Kill
NV
FORT
Opening Kills
NV
FORT
Map Win Rate
NV
FORT
Ranking
NV
FORT
Recent on Ancient
Noir Verse
7-13
vs los kogutos
Aug 2
8-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 12
10-13
vs EAC
Jun 13
5-13
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-11
vs WROTBERRY
Jun 7
Fortress
2-13
vs STATE
Jul 29
16-14
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 26
3-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 21
16-14
vs Strael Bora
May 24
13-7
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
Cache
NV
13
–
9
FORT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NV
FORT
After First Kill
NV
FORT
Round Win Rate
NV
FORT
Ranking
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Recent on Cache
Noir Verse
6-13
vs SPARTA
Jul 12
11-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 12
Fortress
3-13
vs los kogutos
Aug 2
10-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 26
7-13
vs STATE
Jul 25
2-13
vs Enjoy
Jul 22
5-13
vs DONSTU
Jun 30
Anubis
NV
13
–
10
FORT
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
FORT
After First Death
NV
FORT
T 5v4
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Opening Kills
NV
FORT
Recent on Anubis
Noir Verse
7-13
vs los kogutos
Aug 2
9-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 28
13-6
vs ASTRAL
Jul 27
13-9
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 12
Fortress
13-11
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 26
7-13
vs DONSTU
Jun 30
Ancient
NV
16
–
14
FORT
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
NV
FORT
After First Kill
NV
FORT
Opening Kills
NV
FORT
Map Win Rate
NV
FORT
Ranking
NV
FORT
Recent on Ancient
Noir Verse
7-13
vs los kogutos
Aug 2
8-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 12
10-13
vs EAC
Jun 13
5-13
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-11
vs WROTBERRY
Jun 7
Fortress
2-13
vs STATE
Jul 29
16-14
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 26
3-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 21
16-14
vs Strael Bora
May 24
13-7
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
Cache
NV
13
–
9
FORT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NV
FORT
After First Kill
NV
FORT
Round Win Rate
NV
FORT
Ranking
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Recent on Cache
Noir Verse
6-13
vs SPARTA
Jul 12
11-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 12
Fortress
3-13
vs los kogutos
Aug 2
10-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 26
7-13
vs STATE
Jul 25
2-13
vs Enjoy
Jul 22
5-13
vs DONSTU
Jun 30
Dust2
NV
10
–
13
FORT
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
FORT
After First Death
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Round Win Rate
NV
FORT
Opening Kills
NV
FORT
Recent on Dust2
Noir Verse
10-13
vs PURE
Jul 27
7-13
vs SPARTA
Jul 12
13-11
vs Entropy
Jun 13
6-13
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Fortress
13-7
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Noir Verse
Fortress
L
0-2
vs los kogutos
AnubisAncient
Aug 2
11d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ NXT
AnubisNuke
Jul 28
16d ago
W
1-0
vs ASTRAL
Anubis
Jul 27
17d ago
L
0-1
vs atputies
Nuke
Jul 27
17d ago
L
0-1
vs PURE
Dust2
Jul 27
17d ago
L
0-2
vs SPARTA
CacheDust2
Jul 12
32d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ NXT
AnubisAncientCache
Jul 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs FOKUS
InfernoNuke
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs Nexus
MirageOverpass
Jun 14
60d ago
L
1-2
vs EAC
AncientNukeMirage
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-0
vs atputies
NukeMirage
Jun 13
61d ago
L
0-2
vs los kogutos
CacheNuke
Aug 2
11d ago
L
0-2
vs STATE
NukeAncient
Jul 29
15d ago
W
2-1
vs Inner Circle Academy
CacheAnubisAncient
Jul 26
18d ago
L
0-2
vs STATE
CacheNuke
Jul 25
19d ago
L
1-2
vs Enjoy
NukeMirageCache
Jul 22
22d ago
L
0-2
vs SAW Youngsters
AncientInferno
Jul 21
23d ago
L
1-2
vs DONSTU
InfernoAnubisCache
Jun 30
44d ago
L
0-2
vs Endless Journey
MirageInferno
Jun 26
48d ago
W
2-0
vs Strael Bora
AncientOverpass
May 24
81d ago
L
0-2
vs STATE
InfernoNuke
May 24
81d ago
L
0-2
vs Invicta
MirageInferno
May 23
82d ago
Player Matchups
Noir Verse
Ratings
Fortress
XE
xeNji
AWPADR 76.6KAST 73%
GR
GrEnNiE
RiflerADR 70.7KAST 67%
SA
Santuriano
EntryADR 71.3KAST 73%
BR
Brand
EntryADR 75.5KAST 68%
FO
fostar
Rifler
BQ
BqreBedre
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 71%
NA
Naginat
Rifler
K1
K1ngShield
AWPADR 56.5KAST 60%
KI
kirxttu
Rifler
AS
As K
Rifler
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
NV
11
–
13
FORT
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NV
FORT
After First Kill
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Ban Rate
NV
FORT
Round Win Rate
NV
FORT
Recent on Inferno
Noir Verse
4-13
vs FOKUS
Jun 18
Fortress
2-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 21
13-4
vs DONSTU
Jun 30
0-13
vs Endless Journey
Jun 26
6-13
vs STATE
May 24
14-16
vs Invicta
May 23
Mirage
NV
13
–
8
FORT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
FORT
After First Death
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Round Win Rate
NV
FORT
Opening Kills
NV
FORT
Recent on Mirage
Noir Verse
3-13
vs Nexus
Jun 14
14-16
vs EAC
Jun 13
13-5
vs atputies
Jun 13
13-2
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-6
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Fortress
2-13
vs Enjoy
Jul 22
3-13
vs Endless Journey
Jun 26
9-13
vs Invicta
May 23
Dust2
NV
10
–
13
FORT
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
FORT
After First Death
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Round Win Rate
NV
FORT
Opening Kills
NV
FORT
Recent on Dust2
Noir Verse
10-13
vs PURE
Jul 27
7-13
vs SPARTA
Jul 12
13-11
vs Entropy
Jun 13
6-13
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Fortress
13-7
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
Anubis
NV
13
–
10
FORT
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
FORT
After First Death
NV
FORT
T 5v4
NV
FORT
Map Player Rating
NV
FORT
Opening Kills
NV
FORT
Recent on Anubis
Noir Verse
7-13
vs los kogutos
Aug 2
9-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 28
13-6
vs ASTRAL
Jul 27
13-9
vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 12
Fortress
13-11
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 26
7-13
vs DONSTU
Jun 30
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2
4 matches