Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2
· 2026-08-03
BASEMENT BOYS
vs
Fire Flux
✗
49%
51%
Series win probability
FF
2–0
27%
BB
2–1
26%
FF
2–1
24%
BB
2–0
23%
Actual result
Cache
19–17
BB
Ancient
13–4
BB
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Fire Flux is slightly favored at 51% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 0.00), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#188 vs #82). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
38%
Nuke · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 2
35%
Dust2 · Anubis · Inferno
Scenario 3
27%
Dust2 · Anubis · Cache
Nuke
BB
11
–
13
FF
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Recent on Nuke
BASEMENT BOYS
13-3
vs Mai Tai
Aug 2
13-6
vs BET-M
Jul 19
13-5
vs Enjoy
Jul 11
13-11
vs The Last Resort
Jul 7
4-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
Fire Flux
13-11
vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 2
13-4
vs NAVI Junior
Jun 19
6-13
vs ALGO
May 4
4-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 16
16-13
vs Palace
Mar 26
Dust2
BB
16
–
14
FF
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Recent on Dust2
BASEMENT BOYS
5-13
vs BET-M
Jul 19
13-6
vs The Last Resort
Jul 7
3-13
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
19-17
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
Fire Flux
8-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 2
13-4
vs QUAZAR
Jun 21
13-4
vs WBT
Jun 20
13-4
vs Arch
Jun 5
11-13
vs NEW VISION
Jun 3
Anubis
BB
10
–
13
FF
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Anubis
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5
vs Entropy
Jun 13
5-13
vs fnatic
Jun 13
2-13
vs JiJieHao
May 24
22-20
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-3
vs MTX
May 10
Fire Flux
11-13
vs QUAZAR
Jun 21
13-11
vs NAVI Junior
Jun 19
13-4
vs Arch
Jun 5
13-11
vs NEW VISION
Jun 3
13-6
vs DONSTU
Jun 2
Dust2
BB
16
–
14
FF
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Recent on Dust2
BASEMENT BOYS
5-13
vs BET-M
Jul 19
13-6
vs The Last Resort
Jul 7
3-13
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
19-17
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
Fire Flux
8-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 2
13-4
vs QUAZAR
Jun 21
13-4
vs WBT
Jun 20
13-4
vs Arch
Jun 5
11-13
vs NEW VISION
Jun 3
Anubis
BB
10
–
13
FF
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Anubis
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5
vs Entropy
Jun 13
5-13
vs fnatic
Jun 13
2-13
vs JiJieHao
May 24
22-20
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-3
vs MTX
May 10
Fire Flux
11-13
vs QUAZAR
Jun 21
13-11
vs NAVI Junior
Jun 19
13-4
vs Arch
Jun 5
13-11
vs NEW VISION
Jun 3
13-6
vs DONSTU
Jun 2
Inferno
BB
13
–
11
FF
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Round Win Rate
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
Recent on Inferno
BASEMENT BOYS
7-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-2
vs By Legends
Jun 13
5-13
vs fnatic
Jun 13
12-16
vs JiJieHao
May 24
13-4
vs MASONIC
May 16
Fire Flux
9-13
vs ALGO
May 4
13-7
vs Misa
Apr 14
11-13
vs bankaPEPSI
Mar 29
13-10
vs Palace
Mar 26
Dust2
BB
16
–
14
FF
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Recent on Dust2
BASEMENT BOYS
5-13
vs BET-M
Jul 19
13-6
vs The Last Resort
Jul 7
3-13
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
19-17
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
Fire Flux
8-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 2
13-4
vs QUAZAR
Jun 21
13-4
vs WBT
Jun 20
13-4
vs Arch
Jun 5
11-13
vs NEW VISION
Jun 3
Anubis
BB
10
–
13
FF
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Anubis
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5
vs Entropy
Jun 13
5-13
vs fnatic
Jun 13
2-13
vs JiJieHao
May 24
22-20
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-3
vs MTX
May 10
Fire Flux
11-13
vs QUAZAR
Jun 21
13-11
vs NAVI Junior
Jun 19
13-4
vs Arch
Jun 5
13-11
vs NEW VISION
Jun 3
13-6
vs DONSTU
Jun 2
Cache
BB
14
–
16
FF
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Cache
BASEMENT BOYS
10-13
vs Fire Flux
Aug 2
Fire Flux
13-10
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 2
6-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 2
Recent Results
last 11 matches
BASEMENT BOYS
Fire Flux
L
0-2
vs Fire Flux
CacheMirage
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-0
vs Mai Tai
MirageNuke
Aug 2
11d ago
L
1-2
vs BET-M
MirageNukeDust2
Jul 19
25d ago
W
2-0
vs Enjoy
NukeAncient
Jul 11
33d ago
W
2-1
vs The Last Resort
AncientDust2Nuke
Jul 7
37d ago
L
0-2
vs Alliance
NukeInferno
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs By Legends
InfernoNuke
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-1
vs Entropy
MirageAncientAnubis
Jun 13
61d ago
L
0-2
vs fnatic
AnubisInferno
Jun 13
61d ago
L
0-2
vs JiJieHao
AnubisInferno
May 24
81d ago
W
2-1
vs UNiTY
MirageDust2Anubis
May 23
82d ago
W
2-0
vs BASEMENT BOYS
CacheMirage
Aug 2
11d ago
L
1-2
vs Bushido Wildcats
CacheNukeDust2
Aug 2
11d ago
L
1-2
vs QUAZAR
Dust2MirageAnubis
Jun 21
53d ago
W
2-0
vs WBT
MirageDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-0
vs NAVI Junior
NukeAnubis
Jun 19
55d ago
W
2-1
vs Arch
MirageDust2Anubis
Jun 5
69d ago
W
2-1
vs NEW VISION
Dust2AncientAnubis
Jun 3
71d ago
W
2-1
vs DONSTU
Dust2AncientAnubis
Jun 2
72d ago
L
1-2
vs BIG Academy
AncientAnubisDust2
May 7
98d ago
L
1-2
vs ALGO
NukeAnubisInferno
May 4
101d ago
L
1-2
vs Young Ninjas
AnubisDust2Nuke
Apr 16
119d ago
Player Matchups
BASEMENT BOYS
Ratings
Fire Flux
OW
OWNER
RiflerADR 81.0KAST 72%
QU
Quality
EntryADR 88.5KAST 78%
TR
Tr0ublE
AWPADR 74.5KAST 73%
ZE
zer0UKY
AWPADR 64.6KAST 74%
MA
maggent
EntryADR 74.7KAST 74%
CI
Cizzx
RiflerADR 70.2KAST 73%
KR
kr1vda
RiflerADR 64.3KAST 72%
XE
xEternaLxx
Rifler
FA
fakerealityy
Rifler
ZE
zemix
Rifler
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
BB
13
–
11
FF
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Round Win Rate
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
Recent on Inferno
BASEMENT BOYS
7-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-2
vs By Legends
Jun 13
5-13
vs fnatic
Jun 13
12-16
vs JiJieHao
May 24
13-4
vs MASONIC
May 16
Fire Flux
9-13
vs ALGO
May 4
13-7
vs Misa
Apr 14
11-13
vs bankaPEPSI
Mar 29
13-10
vs Palace
Mar 26
Mirage
BB
13
–
11
FF
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Map Win Rate
BB
FF
Recent on Mirage
BASEMENT BOYS
6-13
vs Fire Flux
Aug 2
16-14
vs Mai Tai
Aug 2
5-13
vs BET-M
Jul 19
16-12
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-7
vs UNiTY
May 23
Fire Flux
13-6
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 2
3-13
vs QUAZAR
Jun 21
13-10
vs WBT
Jun 20
8-13
vs Arch
Jun 5
16-12
vs BRUTE
Apr 15
Cache
BB
14
–
16
FF
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Cache
BASEMENT BOYS
10-13
vs Fire Flux
Aug 2
Fire Flux
13-10
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 2
6-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 2
Ancient
BB
14
–
16
FF
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
Recent on Ancient
BASEMENT BOYS
13-4
vs Enjoy
Jul 11
5-13
vs The Last Resort
Jul 7
6-13
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-6
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
13-7
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
Fire Flux
13-8
vs NEW VISION
Jun 3
13-10
vs DONSTU
Jun 2
8-13
vs BIG Academy
May 7
11-13
vs benched gods
Mar 28
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2
4 matches