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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2 · 2026-08-03
BASEMENT BOYS
vs
Fire Flux
49%
51%
Series win probability
FF 2–0 27%
BB 2–1 26%
FF 2–1 24%
BB 2–0 23%
Actual result
Cache 19–17 BB
Ancient 13–4 BB
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Fire Flux is slightly favored at 51% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 0.00), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#188 vs #82). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 38% Nuke · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 2 35% Dust2 · Anubis · Inferno
Scenario 3 27% Dust2 · Anubis · Cache
Nuke
BB 11 13 FF
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Recent on Nuke
BASEMENT BOYS
13-3 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
13-6 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-5 vs Enjoy Jul 11
13-11 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
4-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
Fire Flux
13-11 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 2
13-4 vs NAVI Junior Jun 19
6-13 vs ALGO May 4
4-13 vs Young Ninjas Apr 16
16-13 vs Palace Mar 26
Dust2
BB 16 14 FF
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Recent on Dust2
BASEMENT BOYS
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-6 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
3-13 vs UNiTY May 23
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
19-17 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Fire Flux
8-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 2
13-4 vs QUAZAR Jun 21
13-4 vs WBT Jun 20
13-4 vs Arch Jun 5
11-13 vs NEW VISION Jun 3
Anubis
BB 10 13 FF
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Anubis
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5 vs Entropy Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
2-13 vs JiJieHao May 24
22-20 vs UNiTY May 23
13-3 vs MTX May 10
Fire Flux
11-13 vs QUAZAR Jun 21
13-11 vs NAVI Junior Jun 19
13-4 vs Arch Jun 5
13-11 vs NEW VISION Jun 3
13-6 vs DONSTU Jun 2
Dust2
BB 16 14 FF
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Recent on Dust2
BASEMENT BOYS
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-6 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
3-13 vs UNiTY May 23
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
19-17 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Fire Flux
8-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 2
13-4 vs QUAZAR Jun 21
13-4 vs WBT Jun 20
13-4 vs Arch Jun 5
11-13 vs NEW VISION Jun 3
Anubis
BB 10 13 FF
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Anubis
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5 vs Entropy Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
2-13 vs JiJieHao May 24
22-20 vs UNiTY May 23
13-3 vs MTX May 10
Fire Flux
11-13 vs QUAZAR Jun 21
13-11 vs NAVI Junior Jun 19
13-4 vs Arch Jun 5
13-11 vs NEW VISION Jun 3
13-6 vs DONSTU Jun 2
Inferno
BB 13 11 FF
59%
41%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Round Win Rate
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
Recent on Inferno
BASEMENT BOYS
7-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
13-2 vs By Legends Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
12-16 vs JiJieHao May 24
13-4 vs MASONIC May 16
Fire Flux
9-13 vs ALGO May 4
13-7 vs Misa Apr 14
11-13 vs bankaPEPSI Mar 29
13-10 vs Palace Mar 26
Dust2
BB 16 14 FF
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Recent on Dust2
BASEMENT BOYS
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
13-6 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
3-13 vs UNiTY May 23
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
19-17 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Fire Flux
8-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 2
13-4 vs QUAZAR Jun 21
13-4 vs WBT Jun 20
13-4 vs Arch Jun 5
11-13 vs NEW VISION Jun 3
Anubis
BB 10 13 FF
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Anubis
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5 vs Entropy Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
2-13 vs JiJieHao May 24
22-20 vs UNiTY May 23
13-3 vs MTX May 10
Fire Flux
11-13 vs QUAZAR Jun 21
13-11 vs NAVI Junior Jun 19
13-4 vs Arch Jun 5
13-11 vs NEW VISION Jun 3
13-6 vs DONSTU Jun 2
Cache
BB 14 16 FF
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Cache
BASEMENT BOYS
10-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
Fire Flux
13-10 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 2
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 2
Recent Results last 11 matches
BASEMENT BOYS
Fire Flux
L 0-2 vs Fire Flux CacheMirage Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Mai Tai MirageNuke Aug 2 11d ago
L 1-2 vs BET-M MirageNukeDust2 Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-0 vs Enjoy NukeAncient Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-1 vs The Last Resort AncientDust2Nuke Jul 7 37d ago
L 0-2 vs Alliance NukeInferno Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-0 vs By Legends InfernoNuke Jun 13 61d ago
W 2-1 vs Entropy MirageAncientAnubis Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-2 vs fnatic AnubisInferno Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-2 vs JiJieHao AnubisInferno May 24 81d ago
W 2-1 vs UNiTY MirageDust2Anubis May 23 82d ago
W 2-0 vs BASEMENT BOYS CacheMirage Aug 2 11d ago
L 1-2 vs Bushido Wildcats CacheNukeDust2 Aug 2 11d ago
L 1-2 vs QUAZAR Dust2MirageAnubis Jun 21 53d ago
W 2-0 vs WBT MirageDust2 Jun 20 54d ago
W 2-0 vs NAVI Junior NukeAnubis Jun 19 55d ago
W 2-1 vs Arch MirageDust2Anubis Jun 5 69d ago
W 2-1 vs NEW VISION Dust2AncientAnubis Jun 3 71d ago
W 2-1 vs DONSTU Dust2AncientAnubis Jun 2 72d ago
L 1-2 vs BIG Academy AncientAnubisDust2 May 7 98d ago
L 1-2 vs ALGO NukeAnubisInferno May 4 101d ago
L 1-2 vs Young Ninjas AnubisDust2Nuke Apr 16 119d ago
Player Matchups
BASEMENT BOYS
Ratings
Fire Flux
OW
OWNER
RiflerADR 81.0KAST 72%
1.13 vs 1.25
QU
Quality
EntryADR 88.5KAST 78%
TR
Tr0ublE
AWPADR 74.5KAST 73%
1.13 vs 0.98
ZE
zer0UKY
AWPADR 64.6KAST 74%
MA
maggent
EntryADR 74.7KAST 74%
1.05 vs 0.94
CI
Cizzx
RiflerADR 70.2KAST 73%
KR
kr1vda
RiflerADR 64.3KAST 72%
1.00 vs 1.00
XE
xEternaLxx
Rifler
FA
fakerealityy
Rifler
1.00 vs 1.00
ZE
zemix
Rifler
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
BB 13 11 FF
59%
41%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Round Win Rate
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
Recent on Inferno
BASEMENT BOYS
7-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
13-2 vs By Legends Jun 13
5-13 vs fnatic Jun 13
12-16 vs JiJieHao May 24
13-4 vs MASONIC May 16
Fire Flux
9-13 vs ALGO May 4
13-7 vs Misa Apr 14
11-13 vs bankaPEPSI Mar 29
13-10 vs Palace Mar 26
Mirage
BB 13 11 FF
58%
42%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
T 5v4
BB
FF
Map Win Rate
BB
FF
Recent on Mirage
BASEMENT BOYS
6-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
16-14 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
5-13 vs BET-M Jul 19
16-12 vs Entropy Jun 13
13-7 vs UNiTY May 23
Fire Flux
13-6 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 2
3-13 vs QUAZAR Jun 21
13-10 vs WBT Jun 20
8-13 vs Arch Jun 5
16-12 vs BRUTE Apr 15
Cache
BB 14 16 FF
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
After First Kill
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Recent on Cache
BASEMENT BOYS
10-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
Fire Flux
13-10 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 2
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 2
Ancient
BB 14 16 FF
49%
51%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BB
FF
Ranking
BB
FF
After First Death
BB
FF
Opening Kills
BB
FF
Map Player Rating
BB
FF
Recent on Ancient
BASEMENT BOYS
13-4 vs Enjoy Jul 11
5-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 7
6-13 vs Entropy Jun 13
13-6 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
13-7 vs Inner Circle Academy May 17
Fire Flux
13-8 vs NEW VISION Jun 3
13-10 vs DONSTU Jun 2
8-13 vs BIG Academy May 7
11-13 vs benched gods Mar 28
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2 4 matches