Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026
· 2026-08-13
Aurora
✓
vs
M80
58%
42%
Series win probability
AURO
2–0
30%
AURO
2–1
28%
M80
2–1
21%
M80
2–0
20%
Actual result
Dust2
13–9
AURO
Inferno
13–9
AURO
Model Insights
Aurora has a moderate edge at 58%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.04), a significant ranking advantage (#15 vs #48).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
43%
Anubis · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 2
33%
Anubis · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3
24%
Anubis · Mirage · Dust2
Anubis
AURO
13
–
11
M80
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
M80
Round Win Rate
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
T 5v4
AURO
M80
Map Player Rating
AURO
M80
Recent on Anubis
Aurora
9-13
vs HOTU
Jul 26
13-4
vs Echo
Jul 25
13-8
vs K27
Jul 22
M80
16-14
vs Voca
May 28
8-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 31
3-13
vs Liquid
Mar 4
Mirage
AURO
13
–
10
M80
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
M80
After First Death
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
Opening Kills
AURO
M80
Map Player Rating
AURO
M80
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-9
vs HOTU
Jul 26
11-13
vs K27
Jul 22
13-6
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
M80
11-13
vs G2
Aug 12
8-13
vs G2
Jun 6
13-10
vs B8
Jun 6
13-6
vs Sharks
Jun 2
13-11
vs Voca
May 28
Cache
AURO
13
–
11
M80
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
AURO
M80
Round Win Rate
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
Map Player Rating
AURO
M80
Map Win Rate
AURO
M80
Recent on Cache
Aurora
9-13
vs BIG
Aug 12
13-11
vs HOTU
Jul 26
11-13
vs FOKUS
Jul 23
M80
13-9
vs Voca
Jul 11
13-6
vs WINNERS
Jul 9
Anubis
AURO
13
–
11
M80
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
M80
Round Win Rate
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
T 5v4
AURO
M80
Map Player Rating
AURO
M80
Recent on Anubis
Aurora
9-13
vs HOTU
Jul 26
13-4
vs Echo
Jul 25
13-8
vs K27
Jul 22
M80
16-14
vs Voca
May 28
8-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 31
3-13
vs Liquid
Mar 4
Mirage
AURO
13
–
10
M80
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
M80
After First Death
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
Opening Kills
AURO
M80
Map Player Rating
AURO
M80
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-9
vs HOTU
Jul 26
11-13
vs K27
Jul 22
13-6
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
M80
11-13
vs G2
Aug 12
8-13
vs G2
Jun 6
13-10
vs B8
Jun 6
13-6
vs Sharks
Jun 2
13-11
vs Voca
May 28
Inferno
AURO
13
–
11
M80
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
AURO
M80
After First Kill
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
Experience
AURO
M80
Map Player Rating
AURO
M80
Recent on Inferno
Aurora
13-10
vs Echo
Jul 25
M80
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 21
13-6
vs LAG
Jul 10
13-9
vs WINNERS
Jul 9
13-16
vs Legacy
Jun 8
13-10
vs NRG
Jun 4
Anubis
AURO
13
–
11
M80
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
M80
Round Win Rate
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
T 5v4
AURO
M80
Map Player Rating
AURO
M80
Recent on Anubis
Aurora
9-13
vs HOTU
Jul 26
13-4
vs Echo
Jul 25
13-8
vs K27
Jul 22
M80
16-14
vs Voca
May 28
8-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 31
3-13
vs Liquid
Mar 4
Mirage
AURO
13
–
10
M80
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
M80
After First Death
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
Opening Kills
AURO
M80
Map Player Rating
AURO
M80
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-9
vs HOTU
Jul 26
11-13
vs K27
Jul 22
13-6
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
M80
11-13
vs G2
Aug 12
8-13
vs G2
Jun 6
13-10
vs B8
Jun 6
13-6
vs Sharks
Jun 2
13-11
vs Voca
May 28
Dust2
AURO
13
–
11
M80
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
M80
After First Death
AURO
M80
Round Win Rate
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
Map Win Rate
AURO
M80
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
4-13
vs FOKUS
Jul 23
14-16
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
M80
8-13
vs Legacy
Jun 8
2-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 7
13-5
vs Voca
May 28
13-4
vs Liquid
May 12
16-14
vs Wildcard
May 3
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Aurora
M80
L
0-1
vs BIG
Cache
Aug 12
1d ago
W
2-1
vs HOTU
CacheAnubisMirage
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-0
vs Echo
InfernoAnubis
Jul 25
19d ago
L
1-2
vs FOKUS
CacheNukeDust2
Jul 23
21d ago
W
2-1
vs K27
MirageAnubisNuke
Jul 22
22d ago
W
2-1
vs Nemesis
NukeDust2Mirage
Jul 22
22d ago
L
0-1
vs G2
Mirage
Aug 12
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
InfernoAncient
Jul 21
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Voca
AncientCache
Jul 11
33d ago
W
2-0
vs LAG
AncientInferno
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs WINNERS
CacheInferno
Jul 9
35d ago
L
0-2
vs Legacy
Dust2Inferno
Jun 8
66d ago
L
0-1
vs BetBoom
Dust2
Jun 7
67d ago
L
0-1
vs G2
Mirage
Jun 6
68d ago
W
1-0
vs B8
Mirage
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-0
vs NRG
AncientInferno
Jun 4
70d ago
L
0-2
vs B8
AncientInferno
Jun 3
71d ago
Player Matchups
Aurora
Ratings
M80
JI
Jimpphat
EntryADR 81.7KAST 76%
SL
slaxz-
AWPADR 73.7KAST 74%
WI
Wicadia
RiflerADR 81.9KAST 73%
LA
Lake
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 72%
XA
XANTARES
RiflerADR 82.2KAST 76%
JB
JBa
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 73%
WO
woxic
AWPADR 70.2KAST 74%
SW
Swisher
RiflerADR 73.8KAST 72%
KY
kyxsan
RiflerADR 62.7KAST 74%
S1
s1n
EntryADR 61.6KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Nuke
AURO
13
–
8
M80
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
M80
After First Death
AURO
M80
Ban Rate
AURO
M80
Round Win Rate
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
13-7
vs FOKUS
Jul 23
13-3
vs K27
Jul 22
13-2
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
M80
no data
Inferno
AURO
13
–
11
M80
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
AURO
M80
After First Kill
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
Experience
AURO
M80
Map Player Rating
AURO
M80
Recent on Inferno
Aurora
13-10
vs Echo
Jul 25
M80
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 21
13-6
vs LAG
Jul 10
13-9
vs WINNERS
Jul 9
13-16
vs Legacy
Jun 8
13-10
vs NRG
Jun 4
Dust2
AURO
13
–
11
M80
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
M80
After First Death
AURO
M80
Round Win Rate
AURO
M80
Ranking
AURO
M80
Map Win Rate
AURO
M80
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
4-13
vs FOKUS
Jul 23
14-16
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
M80
8-13
vs Legacy
Jun 8
2-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 7
13-5
vs Voca
May 28
13-4
vs Liquid
May 12
16-14
vs Wildcard
May 3
More from Esports World Cup 2026
2 matches