Project Leggy
Back
Bo1  ·  Esports World Cup 2026 · 2026-08-12
9z
vs
paiN
48%
52%
Series win probability
Actual result
Cache 13–3 9Z
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — paiN is slightly favored at 52% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#35 vs #4). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 100% Nuke
Nuke
9Z 16 14 PAIN
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
9Z
PAIN
After First Death
9Z
PAIN
T 5v4
9Z
PAIN
Opening Kills
9Z
PAIN
After First Kill
9Z
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
9z
13-10 vs Alliance Jul 11
13-9 vs TYLOO Jul 9
13-10 vs MIBR Jul 5
1-13 vs Aurora Jun 14
1-13 vs Spirit Jun 7
paiN
13-10 vs Astralis Jul 31
13-6 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 26
13-6 vs Gentle Mates Jul 23
5-13 vs Phantom Jul 15
7-13 vs Sharks Jul 11
Recent Results last 11 matches
9z
paiN
W 3-0 vs PARIVISION MirageInfernoDust2 Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-1 vs Alliance NukeInfernoAncient Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-1 vs TYLOO NukeMirageInferno Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-0 vs MIBR NukeMirage Jul 5 39d ago
L 0-2 vs Alliance Dust2Inferno Jul 4 40d ago
W 1-0 vs 3DMAX Dust2 Jul 3 41d ago
W 1-0 vs SINNERS Dust2 Jul 2 42d ago
L 0-1 vs EYEBALLERS Ancient Jul 1 43d ago
L 1-2 vs FURIA Dust2MirageOverpass Jun 18 56d ago
W 2-0 vs The MongolZ InfernoOverpass Jun 15 59d ago
L 0-2 vs Aurora NukeDust2 Jun 14 60d ago
L 1-2 vs Astralis NukeInfernoMirage Jul 31 13d ago
W 2-0 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas NukeMirage Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-0 vs Gentle Mates InfernoNuke Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs 3DMAX CacheInferno Jul 16 28d ago
L 1-2 vs Phantom Dust2AnubisNuke Jul 15 29d ago
L 0-2 vs Sharks CacheNuke Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-1 vs LP InfernoDust2Nuke Jul 10 34d ago
W 2-0 vs METANOIA Wolves InfernoDust2 Jul 9 35d ago
L 0-2 vs Monte NukeDust2 Jun 9 65d ago
W 2-0 vs Astralis NukeOverpass Jun 8 66d ago
W 2-0 vs FlyQuest NukeAnubis Jun 7 67d ago
Player Matchups
9z
Ratings
paiN
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 81.9KAST 71%
1.13 vs 1.06
PI
piriajr
EntryADR 73.9KAST 72%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 74.0KAST 73%
1.08 vs 1.06
SN
snow
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 71%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 77.5KAST 73%
1.07 vs 1.04
VS
vsm
RiflerADR 71.6KAST 72%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 62.1KAST 72%
0.97 vs 1.00
SA
saffee
AWPADR 67.9KAST 69%
MA
max
RiflerADR 62.6KAST 71%
0.90 vs 0.98
BI
biguzera
RiflerADR 72.0KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 6 maps
Cache
9Z 10 13 PAIN
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
PAIN
After First Death
9Z
PAIN
Ranking
9Z
PAIN
Opening Kills
9Z
PAIN
Map Win Rate
9Z
PAIN
Recent on Cache
9z
no data
paiN
10-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 16
11-13 vs Sharks Jul 11
Ancient
9Z 13 9 PAIN
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
PAIN
After First Death
9Z
PAIN
Ban Rate
9Z
PAIN
Ranking
9Z
PAIN
Opening Kills
9Z
PAIN
Recent on Ancient
9z
13-7 vs Alliance Jul 11
10-13 vs EYEBALLERS Jul 1
9-13 vs FaZe May 29
11-13 vs magic May 15
13-9 vs MOUZ May 11
paiN
no data
Anubis
9Z 14 16 PAIN
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
PAIN
Ranking
9Z
PAIN
After First Kill
9Z
PAIN
Ban Rate
9Z
PAIN
Opening Kills
9Z
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
9z
11-13 vs Legacy Apr 26
13-11 vs Legacy Mar 30
paiN
5-13 vs Phantom Jul 15
13-10 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
13-4 vs BC.Game May 20
5-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
Mirage
9Z 16 14 PAIN
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
9Z
PAIN
After First Death
9Z
PAIN
Round Win Rate
9Z
PAIN
Pistol Rounds
9Z
PAIN
Opening Kills
9Z
PAIN
Recent on Mirage
9z
13-9 vs PARIVISION Jul 12
7-13 vs TYLOO Jul 9
16-13 vs MIBR Jul 5
9-13 vs FURIA Jun 18
13-16 vs Spirit Jun 13
paiN
14-16 vs Astralis Jul 31
16-14 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 26
9-13 vs TYLOO Jun 6
13-5 vs TYLOO May 21
8-13 vs M80 May 19
Dust2
9Z 11 13 PAIN
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
PAIN
After First Kill
9Z
PAIN
Round Win Rate
9Z
PAIN
Ranking
9Z
PAIN
T 5v4
9Z
PAIN
Recent on Dust2
9z
13-4 vs PARIVISION Jul 12
14-16 vs Alliance Jul 4
13-9 vs 3DMAX Jul 3
13-5 vs SINNERS Jul 2
13-8 vs FURIA Jun 18
paiN
13-8 vs Phantom Jul 15
6-13 vs LP Jul 10
13-4 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 9
11-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-8 vs BC.Game May 20
Inferno
9Z 11 13 PAIN
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
9Z
PAIN
Round Win Rate
9Z
PAIN
Opening Kills
9Z
PAIN
Map Win Rate
9Z
PAIN
After First Death
9Z
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
9z
13-10 vs PARIVISION Jul 12
17-19 vs Alliance Jul 11
13-5 vs TYLOO Jul 9
7-13 vs Alliance Jul 4
13-8 vs The MongolZ Jun 15
paiN
17-19 vs Astralis Jul 31
13-11 vs Gentle Mates Jul 23
4-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 16
13-2 vs LP Jul 10
13-4 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 9
More from Esports World Cup 2026 10 matches