Bo1 · Esports World Cup 2026
· 2026-08-12
Vitality
vs
100 Thieves
✗
47%
53%
Series win probability
Actual result
Nuke
13–4
VIT
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — 100 Thieves is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.11 vs 1.03), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#31 vs #5), a strong dust2 (60% win probability). Vitality's best shot is inferno where they hold a 56% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Inferno
Inferno
VIT
13
–
11
100T
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
100T
Ranking
VIT
100T
Opening Kills
VIT
100T
Overall Rating
VIT
100T
Map Win Rate
VIT
100T
Recent on Inferno
Vitality
13-11
vs Falcons
Jun 19
13-4
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
13-4
vs 9z
Jun 12
3-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
16-13
vs G2
Apr 14
100 Thieves
7-13
vs BC.Game
Aug 9
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
13-10
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
14-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
13-6
vs GenOne
Jun 20
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Vitality
100 Thieves
L
0-2
vs Liquid
AnubisNuke
Jul 24
20d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
AnubisInfernoDust2
Jun 19
55d ago
W
2-0
vs BetBoom
OverpassNuke
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2Inferno
Jun 13
61d ago
L
1-2
vs 9z
InfernoMirageDust2
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
AnubisOverpassNuke
Jun 11
63d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2AnubisInferno
May 15
90d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
NukeDust2
May 13
92d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageDust2
May 13
92d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
AnubisOverpassNuke
May 12
93d ago
W
2-0
vs BC.Game
MirageDust2
May 11
94d ago
W
2-0
vs INFINITE
NukeDust2
Aug 9
4d ago
W
2-1
vs BC.Game
InfernoNukeAnubis
Aug 9
4d ago
W
2-0
vs 1win
AncientAnubis
Aug 9
4d ago
W
2-0
vs NADE
MirageDust2
Aug 8
5d ago
W
2-0
vs SadFamous
NukeDust2
Aug 7
6d ago
L
1-2
vs Spirit
AnubisMirageDust2
Jul 26
18d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AncientMirageInferno
Jul 23
21d ago
W
2-1
vs Falcons
NukeDust2Anubis
Jul 22
22d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
InfernoNukeAnubis
Jul 22
22d ago
L
0-2
vs TDK
AnubisInferno
Jun 21
53d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
InfernoDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
Player Matchups
Vitality
Ratings
100 Thieves
ZY
ZywOo
AWPADR 83.9KAST 76%
DE
device
AWPADR 81.4KAST 75%
FL
flameZ
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 72%
PO
poiii
RiflerADR 77.6KAST 76%
RO
ropz
EntryADR 71.9KAST 74%
RA
rain
EntryADR 74.3KAST 75%
AP
apEX
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 67%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 72%
ME
mezii
RiflerADR 61.4KAST 71%
SI
sirah
RiflerADR 71.6KAST 75%
Unpredicted Maps
6 maps
Anubis
VIT
10
–
13
100T
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
100T
Ranking
VIT
100T
After First Death
VIT
100T
T 5v4
VIT
100T
Overall Rating
VIT
100T
Recent on Anubis
Vitality
10-13
vs Liquid
Jul 24
11-13
vs Falcons
Jun 19
5-13
vs FUT
Jun 11
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
10-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
100 Thieves
13-11
vs BC.Game
Aug 9
13-6
vs 1win
Aug 9
11-13
vs Spirit
Jul 26
13-11
vs Falcons
Jul 22
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
Cache
VIT
13
–
11
100T
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
VIT
100T
Overall Rating
VIT
100T
Side Balance
VIT
100T
Opening Score
VIT
100T
Days With Lineup Diff
VIT
100T
Recent on Cache
Vitality
no data
100 Thieves
no data
Ancient
VIT
13
–
11
100T
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
VIT
100T
After First Kill
VIT
100T
Ranking
VIT
100T
Ban Rate
VIT
100T
Overall Rating
VIT
100T
Recent on Ancient
Vitality
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
25-22
vs Aurora
Feb 3
100 Thieves
16-14
vs 1win
Aug 9
15-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
Mirage
VIT
16
–
14
100T
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
VIT
100T
Ranking
VIT
100T
Overall Rating
VIT
100T
Opening Kills
VIT
100T
Round Win Rate
VIT
100T
Recent on Mirage
Vitality
13-9
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
9-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-5
vs B8
May 13
13-7
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-1
vs GamerLegion
May 2
100 Thieves
13-2
vs NADE
Aug 8
13-4
vs Spirit
Jul 26
13-8
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
13-10
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
4-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
Dust2
VIT
11
–
13
100T
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
VIT
100T
Ranking
VIT
100T
After First Kill
VIT
100T
Round Win Rate
VIT
100T
Overall Rating
VIT
100T
Recent on Dust2
Vitality
11-13
vs Falcons
Jun 19
7-13
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
11-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
100 Thieves
13-8
vs INFINITE
Aug 9
13-6
vs NADE
Aug 8
13-2
vs SadFamous
Aug 7
0-13
vs Spirit
Jul 26
13-7
vs Falcons
Jul 22
Nuke
VIT
14
–
16
100T
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
VIT
100T
After First Death
VIT
100T
Overall Rating
VIT
100T
Round Win Rate
VIT
100T
Map Win Rate
VIT
100T
Recent on Nuke
Vitality
9-13
vs Liquid
Jul 24
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 14
13-8
vs FUT
Jun 11
16-14
vs FaZe
May 13
8-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
100 Thieves
13-5
vs INFINITE
Aug 9
16-12
vs BC.Game
Aug 9
13-3
vs SadFamous
Aug 7
4-13
vs Falcons
Jul 22
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
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