Bo1 · Esports World Cup 2026
· 2026-08-12
MIBR
✗
vs
Astralis
55%
45%
Series win probability
Actual result
Inferno
13–6
ASTR
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — MIBR is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 0.99). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Ancient
Ancient
MIBR
16
–
14
ASTR
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MIBR
ASTR
After First Kill
MIBR
ASTR
Round Win Rate
MIBR
ASTR
T 5v4
MIBR
ASTR
Ranking
MIBR
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
MIBR
7-13
vs LP
Jul 29
4-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 4
13-6
vs FaZe
Jul 2
13-16
vs B8
Jul 1
8-13
vs B8
Jun 8
Astralis
13-6
vs MOUZ
Aug 1
13-10
vs HOTU
Jul 25
10-13
vs HEROIC
Jul 24
13-16
vs HOTU
Jul 22
13-10
vs Nemesis
Jul 21
Recent Results
last 11 matches
MIBR
Astralis
W
2-0
vs BESTIA
CacheInferno
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-0
vs ShindeN
NukeMirage
Aug 1
12d ago
W
2-1
vs LP
AncientMirageNuke
Jul 29
15d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
NukeInferno
Jul 28
16d ago
L
0-2
vs 9z
NukeMirage
Jul 5
39d ago
L
1-2
vs PARIVISION
AnubisAncientMirage
Jul 4
40d ago
W
1-0
vs BIG
Mirage
Jul 3
41d ago
W
1-0
vs FaZe
Ancient
Jul 2
42d ago
L
0-1
vs B8
Ancient
Jul 1
43d ago
L
1-2
vs B8
MirageNukeAncient
Jun 8
66d ago
L
0-1
vs BIG
Inferno
Jun 7
67d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
AncientMirageDust2
Aug 1
12d ago
W
2-1
vs paiN
NukeInfernoMirage
Jul 31
13d ago
W
2-1
vs HOTU
CacheNukeAncient
Jul 25
19d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
Dust2Ancient
Jul 24
20d ago
L
0-2
vs HOTU
CacheAncient
Jul 22
22d ago
W
2-1
vs Nemesis
NukeAncientCache
Jul 21
23d ago
W
2-1
vs FOKUS
Dust2AncientNuke
Jul 21
23d ago
L
0-2
vs paiN
NukeOverpass
Jun 8
66d ago
L
0-1
vs TYLOO
Nuke
Jun 7
67d ago
W
1-0
vs GamerLegion
Ancient
Jun 6
68d ago
L
0-1
vs 9z
Nuke
Jun 6
68d ago
Player Matchups
MIBR
Ratings
Astralis
IN
insani
EntryADR 91.3KAST 74%
ST
Staehr
EntryADR 82.0KAST 72%
VE
venomzera
RiflerADR 75.4KAST 73%
JA
jabbi
RiflerADR 74.4KAST 69%
LN
LNZ
RiflerADR 68.6KAST 72%
RY
ryu
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 73%
NQ
nqz
AWPADR 66.1KAST 75%
PH
phzy
AWPADR 66.8KAST 69%
BR
brnz4n
RiflerADR 64.0KAST 70%
HO
HooXi
RiflerADR 58.8KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
5 maps
Anubis
MIBR
13
–
9
ASTR
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
MIBR
ASTR
After First Death
MIBR
ASTR
Ban Rate
MIBR
ASTR
Round Win Rate
MIBR
ASTR
Overall Rating
MIBR
ASTR
Recent on Anubis
MIBR
16-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 4
13-5
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 4
13-9
vs 3DMAX
May 19
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 7
13-10
vs BC.Game
Apr 5
Astralis
no data
Inferno
MIBR
13
–
10
ASTR
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
T 5v4
MIBR
ASTR
Overall Rating
MIBR
ASTR
After First Death
MIBR
ASTR
After First Kill
MIBR
ASTR
Opening Kills
MIBR
ASTR
Recent on Inferno
MIBR
13-8
vs BESTIA
Aug 2
13-8
vs Fluxo
Jul 28
8-13
vs BIG
Jun 7
13-2
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 4
6-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 2
Astralis
19-17
vs paiN
Jul 31
13-8
vs SINNERS
May 13
14-16
vs GamerLegion
May 1
13-2
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
10-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
Cache
MIBR
16
–
14
ASTR
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MIBR
ASTR
Round Win Rate
MIBR
ASTR
After First Kill
MIBR
ASTR
Overall Rating
MIBR
ASTR
Map Win Rate
MIBR
ASTR
Recent on Cache
MIBR
13-9
vs BESTIA
Aug 2
Astralis
13-1
vs HOTU
Jul 25
14-16
vs HOTU
Jul 22
13-7
vs Nemesis
Jul 21
Mirage
MIBR
16
–
14
ASTR
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
MIBR
ASTR
Round Win Rate
MIBR
ASTR
After First Kill
MIBR
ASTR
Overall Rating
MIBR
ASTR
Opening Kills
MIBR
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
MIBR
13-6
vs ShindeN
Aug 1
19-17
vs LP
Jul 29
13-16
vs 9z
Jul 5
5-13
vs PARIVISION
Jul 4
13-2
vs BIG
Jul 3
Astralis
9-13
vs MOUZ
Aug 1
16-14
vs paiN
Jul 31
13-11
vs SINNERS
May 13
3-13
vs GamerLegion
May 13
13-5
vs FUT
Apr 30
Nuke
MIBR
13
–
10
ASTR
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
MIBR
ASTR
Map Player Rating
MIBR
ASTR
Overall Rating
MIBR
ASTR
T 5v4
MIBR
ASTR
After First Kill
MIBR
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
MIBR
16-14
vs ShindeN
Aug 1
13-2
vs LP
Jul 29
13-10
vs Fluxo
Jul 28
10-13
vs 9z
Jul 5
10-13
vs B8
Jun 8
Astralis
10-13
vs paiN
Jul 31
7-13
vs HOTU
Jul 25
11-13
vs Nemesis
Jul 21
13-1
vs FOKUS
Jul 21
11-13
vs paiN
Jun 8
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