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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · 2026-07-26
los kogutos
vs
megoshort
79%
21%
Series win probability
LK 2–0 55%
LK 2–1 23%
MEGO 2–1 16%
MEGO 2–0 6%
Model Insights
los kogutos is strongly favored at 79%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (0.99 vs 0.86), a significant ranking advantage (#182 vs #248), a strong cache (93% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 40% Ancient · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 2 36% Ancient · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 3 24% Ancient · Mirage · Anubis
Ancient
LK 13 – 8 MEGO
76%
24%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LK
MEGO
Opening Kills
LK
MEGO
Recent on Ancient
los kogutos
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
13-6 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
13-7 vs DH Premium Jul 3
7-13 vs TDK Mar 23
megoshort
9-13 vs ROUNDS Jul 24
8-13 vs Privateer Jul 23
8-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 19
13-6 vs Julie&Cie Jul 15
Mirage
LK 13 – 7 MEGO
79%
21%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Opening Kills
LK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LK
MEGO
T 5v4
LK
MEGO
Recent on Mirage
los kogutos
11-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
16-19 vs Honvéd Jul 5
13-10 vs DH Premium Jul 3
11-13 vs Atreides Jun 4
megoshort
13-4 vs ROUNDS Jul 24
16-14 vs Privateer Jul 23
11-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 19
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 15
7-13 vs Honvéd Jul 14
Cache
LK 13 – 6 MEGO
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LK
MEGO
Recent on Cache
los kogutos
7-13 vs Entropy Jul 25
10-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
megoshort
no data
Ancient
LK 13 – 8 MEGO
76%
24%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LK
MEGO
Opening Kills
LK
MEGO
Recent on Ancient
los kogutos
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
13-6 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
13-7 vs DH Premium Jul 3
7-13 vs TDK Mar 23
megoshort
9-13 vs ROUNDS Jul 24
8-13 vs Privateer Jul 23
8-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 19
13-6 vs Julie&Cie Jul 15
Mirage
LK 13 – 7 MEGO
79%
21%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Opening Kills
LK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LK
MEGO
T 5v4
LK
MEGO
Recent on Mirage
los kogutos
11-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
16-19 vs Honvéd Jul 5
13-10 vs DH Premium Jul 3
11-13 vs Atreides Jun 4
megoshort
13-4 vs ROUNDS Jul 24
16-14 vs Privateer Jul 23
11-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 19
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 15
7-13 vs Honvéd Jul 14
Dust2
LK 13 – 10 MEGO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
MEGO
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LK
MEGO
Map Win Rate
LK
MEGO
Recent on Dust2
los kogutos
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
8-13 vs Honvéd Jul 5
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Mar 22
megoshort
13-10 vs ex-MANA Jul 25
13-6 vs Julie&Cie Jul 15
10-13 vs Honvéd Jul 14
Ancient
LK 13 – 8 MEGO
76%
24%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LK
MEGO
Opening Kills
LK
MEGO
Recent on Ancient
los kogutos
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
13-6 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
13-7 vs DH Premium Jul 3
7-13 vs TDK Mar 23
megoshort
9-13 vs ROUNDS Jul 24
8-13 vs Privateer Jul 23
8-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 19
13-6 vs Julie&Cie Jul 15
Mirage
LK 13 – 7 MEGO
79%
21%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Opening Kills
LK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LK
MEGO
T 5v4
LK
MEGO
Recent on Mirage
los kogutos
11-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
16-19 vs Honvéd Jul 5
13-10 vs DH Premium Jul 3
11-13 vs Atreides Jun 4
megoshort
13-4 vs ROUNDS Jul 24
16-14 vs Privateer Jul 23
11-13 vs G2 Ares Jul 19
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 15
7-13 vs Honvéd Jul 14
Anubis
LK 6 – 13 MEGO
10%
90%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Opening Kills
LK
MEGO
Recent on Anubis
los kogutos
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
megoshort
no data
Recent Results last 10 matches
los kogutos
megoshort
L 0-2 vs Entropy CacheAncient Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION NukeAncient Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2AncientMirage Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides AnubisCache Jul 21 23d ago
L 0-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Honvéd MirageNukeDust2 Jul 5 39d ago
W 2-0 vs DH Premium MirageAncient Jul 3 41d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides NukeMirage Jun 4 70d ago
L 0-2 vs TDK AncientOverpass Mar 23 143d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUBY Dust2NukeAncient Mar 22 144d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-MANA Dust2Inferno Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs ROUNDS MirageInfernoAncient Jul 24 20d ago
L 1-2 vs Privateer InfernoMirageAncient Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs G2 Ares AncientMirage Jul 19 25d ago
L 0-2 vs SAW Youngsters MirageInferno Jul 15 29d ago
W 2-0 vs Julie&Cie Dust2Ancient Jul 15 29d ago
L 0-2 vs Honvéd MirageDust2 Jul 14 30d ago
Player Matchups
los kogutos
Ratings
megoshort
MA
Markoś
AWPADR 75.7KAST 74%
1.09 vs 1.03
MO
mogv
EntryADR 79.0KAST 64%
TO
tomiko
RiflerADR 78.4KAST 71%
1.05 vs 0.98
ZE
zen
AWPADR 73.1KAST 68%
MA
maaryy
EntryADR 72.2KAST 72%
0.99 vs 0.91
TW
Twinkey
RiflerADR 68.1KAST 67%
AD
AdrieN
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 69%
0.97 vs —
HO
hotd0g
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 67%
0.91 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
LK 13 – 6 MEGO
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Ban Rate
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LK
MEGO
Recent on Nuke
los kogutos
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
13-3 vs Honvéd Jul 5
5-13 vs Atreides Jun 4
3-13 vs ex-RUBY Mar 22
megoshort
no data
Inferno
LK 6 – 13 MEGO
7%
93%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
MEGO
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
Ban Rate
LK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Recent on Inferno
los kogutos
no data
megoshort
13-10 vs ex-MANA Jul 25
5-13 vs ROUNDS Jul 24
9-13 vs Privateer Jul 23
5-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 15
Anubis
LK 6 – 13 MEGO
10%
90%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
After First Death
LK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Opening Kills
LK
MEGO
Recent on Anubis
los kogutos
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
megoshort
no data
Dust2
LK 13 – 10 MEGO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LK
MEGO
After First Kill
LK
MEGO
Ranking
LK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LK
MEGO
Map Win Rate
LK
MEGO
Recent on Dust2
los kogutos
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
8-13 vs Honvéd Jul 5
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Mar 22
megoshort
13-10 vs ex-MANA Jul 25
13-6 vs Julie&Cie Jul 15
10-13 vs Honvéd Jul 14
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 3 matches
Inner Circle Academy over Fortress 76% ex-MANA over NEW VISION 75% STATE over Lazer Cats 86%