Bo3 · Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2
· 2026-07-26
STATE
✗
vs
Lazer Cats
86%
14%
Series win probability
STAT
2–1
46%
STAT
2–0
40%
LC
2–0
9%
LC
2–1
5%
Actual result
Inferno
22–19
LC
Ancient
13–9
LC
Model Insights
STATE is strongly favored at 86%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.23 vs 0.99), a significant ranking advantage (#65 vs #181), a strong mirage (92% win probability). Lazer Cats's best shot is ancient where they hold a 67% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
40%
Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2
34%
Ancient · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 3
26%
Ancient · Mirage · Cache
Nuke
STAT
13
–
7
LC
78%
22%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
Round Win Rate
STAT
LC
Ban Rate
STAT
LC
After First Death
STAT
LC
Recent on Nuke
STATE
13-5
vs Fortress
Jul 25
13-11
vs MASONIC
Jun 13
10-13
vs MASQ
Jun 13
13-3
vs Washed
Jun 12
Lazer Cats
13-10
vs TNC
May 26
7-13
vs HAVU
Mar 30
Ancient
STAT
8
–
13
LC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
T 5v4
STAT
LC
Multi-Kills
STAT
LC
Opening Score
STAT
LC
Recent on Ancient
STATE
10-13
vs MASONIC
Jun 13
13-7
vs Sashi Academy
Jun 12
Lazer Cats
13-8
vs GenOne
Jun 11
5-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 7
13-5
vs AM
May 26
1-13
vs TNC
May 26
13-9
vs Just Players
May 25
Mirage
STAT
13
–
5
LC
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
STAT
LC
After First Death
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
Map Player Rating
STAT
LC
Round Win Rate
STAT
LC
Recent on Mirage
STATE
13-4
vs MASQ
Jun 13
13-5
vs Washed
Jun 12
Lazer Cats
4-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 7
8-13
vs TNC
May 26
8-13
vs Just Players
May 25
13-10
vs Ursa
May 18
7-13
vs HAVU
Mar 30
Ancient
STAT
8
–
13
LC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
T 5v4
STAT
LC
Multi-Kills
STAT
LC
Opening Score
STAT
LC
Recent on Ancient
STATE
10-13
vs MASONIC
Jun 13
13-7
vs Sashi Academy
Jun 12
Lazer Cats
13-8
vs GenOne
Jun 11
5-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 7
13-5
vs AM
May 26
1-13
vs TNC
May 26
13-9
vs Just Players
May 25
Mirage
STAT
13
–
5
LC
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
STAT
LC
After First Death
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
Map Player Rating
STAT
LC
Round Win Rate
STAT
LC
Recent on Mirage
STATE
13-4
vs MASQ
Jun 13
13-5
vs Washed
Jun 12
Lazer Cats
4-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 7
8-13
vs TNC
May 26
8-13
vs Just Players
May 25
13-10
vs Ursa
May 18
7-13
vs HAVU
Mar 30
Anubis
STAT
13
–
6
LC
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
Map Player Rating
STAT
LC
After First Death
STAT
LC
T Side
STAT
LC
Recent on Anubis
STATE
13-16
vs Washed
Jun 12
Lazer Cats
5-13
vs GenOne
Jun 11
10-13
vs Leo
May 23
16-13
vs ALGO
May 21
Ancient
STAT
8
–
13
LC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
T 5v4
STAT
LC
Multi-Kills
STAT
LC
Opening Score
STAT
LC
Recent on Ancient
STATE
10-13
vs MASONIC
Jun 13
13-7
vs Sashi Academy
Jun 12
Lazer Cats
13-8
vs GenOne
Jun 11
5-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 7
13-5
vs AM
May 26
1-13
vs TNC
May 26
13-9
vs Just Players
May 25
Mirage
STAT
13
–
5
LC
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
STAT
LC
After First Death
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
Map Player Rating
STAT
LC
Round Win Rate
STAT
LC
Recent on Mirage
STATE
13-4
vs MASQ
Jun 13
13-5
vs Washed
Jun 12
Lazer Cats
4-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 7
8-13
vs TNC
May 26
8-13
vs Just Players
May 25
13-10
vs Ursa
May 18
7-13
vs HAVU
Mar 30
Cache
STAT
13
–
5
LC
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
STAT
LC
After First Death
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
Map Player Rating
STAT
LC
Opening Kills
STAT
LC
Recent on Cache
STATE
13-7
vs Fortress
Jul 25
Lazer Cats
no data
Recent Results
last 11 matches
STATE
Lazer Cats
W
2-0
vs Fortress
CacheNuke
Jul 25
19d ago
L
1-2
vs MASONIC
NukeAncientOverpass
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-1
vs MASQ
MirageNukeInferno
Jun 13
61d ago
W
1-0
vs Sashi Academy
Ancient
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-1
vs Washed
AnubisNukeMirage
Jun 12
62d ago
L
1-2
vs GenOne
Dust2AncientAnubis
Jun 11
63d ago
L
1-2
vs KOLESIE
Dust2AncientMirage
Jun 7
67d ago
L
1-2
vs AM
Dust2AncientInferno
May 26
79d ago
L
1-2
vs TNC
AncientNukeMirage
May 26
79d ago
L
1-2
vs Just Players
AncientDust2Mirage
May 25
80d ago
W
2-1
vs SPARTA
AncientDust2Inferno
May 24
81d ago
L
1-2
vs Leo
AncientAnubisDust2
May 23
82d ago
L
1-2
vs ALGO
AncientAnubisInferno
May 21
84d ago
W
2-1
vs Ursa
InfernoDust2Mirage
May 18
87d ago
L
0-2
vs Alliance
Dust2Inferno
Mar 30
136d ago
L
0-2
vs HAVU
NukeMirage
Mar 30
136d ago
Player Matchups
STATE
Ratings
Lazer Cats
SL
sL1m3
AWPADR 78.6KAST 74%
NI
nikitea
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 75%
ZA
Zanto
RiflerADR 71.7KAST 76%
MA
Magic
AWPADR 74.1KAST 69%
KW
kwezz
EntryADR 78.9KAST 73%
KI
Kiy0o
EntryADR 74.4KAST 68%
PA
Patti
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 72%
YA
yab0ku
RiflerADR 59.2KAST 67%
QU
Queenix
RiflerADR 66.0KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Cache
STAT
13
–
5
LC
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
STAT
LC
After First Death
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
Map Player Rating
STAT
LC
Opening Kills
STAT
LC
Recent on Cache
STATE
13-7
vs Fortress
Jul 25
Lazer Cats
no data
Inferno
STAT
13
–
5
LC
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
STAT
LC
After First Death
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
Opening Kills
STAT
LC
Overall Rating
STAT
LC
Recent on Inferno
STATE
13-8
vs MASQ
Jun 13
Lazer Cats
8-13
vs AM
May 26
13-11
vs SPARTA
May 24
8-13
vs ALGO
May 21
13-10
vs Ursa
May 18
8-13
vs Alliance
Mar 30
Anubis
STAT
13
–
6
LC
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
STAT
LC
Ranking
STAT
LC
Map Player Rating
STAT
LC
After First Death
STAT
LC
T Side
STAT
LC
Recent on Anubis
STATE
13-16
vs Washed
Jun 12
Lazer Cats
5-13
vs GenOne
Jun 11
10-13
vs Leo
May 23
16-13
vs ALGO
May 21
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2
3 matches