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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · 2026-07-26
NEW VISION
vs
ex-MANA ✓
25%
75%
Series win probability
EX-M 2–0 43%
EX-M 2–1 32%
NV 2–1 13%
NV 2–0 12%
Actual result
Dust2 13–8 EX-M
Ancient 16–14 EX-M
Model Insights
ex-MANA is strongly favored at 75%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.04 vs 1.00), a strong mirage (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 33% Ancient · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 3 28% Ancient · Mirage · Nuke
Ancient
NV 9 – 13 EX-M
33%
67%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
NV
EX-M
After First Kill
NV
EX-M
Map Player Rating
NV
EX-M
T 5v4
NV
EX-M
Opening Kills
NV
EX-M
Recent on Ancient
NEW VISION
13-4 vs benched gods Jul 25
6-13 vs los kogutos Jul 25
13-10 vs Entropy Jul 24
13-11 vs benched gods Jul 23
2-13 vs Just Players Jul 17
ex-MANA
8-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
14-16 vs BIG Academy Jul 14
13-10 vs DONSTU Jul 13
10-13 vs WBT Jul 4
Dust2
NV 10 – 13 EX-M
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
EX-M
T 5v4
NV
EX-M
After First Death
NV
EX-M
Opening Kills
NV
EX-M
Ban Rate
NV
EX-M
Recent on Dust2
NEW VISION
3-13 vs Wingman Jul 17
10-13 vs Julie&Cie Jun 27
3-13 vs Leo Jun 6
13-11 vs Fire Flux Jun 3
13-8 vs Banger Gang Jun 1
ex-MANA
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
5-13 vs Misa Jul 19
13-7 vs OlyBet Jul 18
12-16 vs benched gods Jul 17
7-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
Mirage
NV 7 – 13 EX-M
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
EX-M
Round Win Rate
NV
EX-M
After First Death
NV
EX-M
Map Player Rating
NV
EX-M
Opening Kills
NV
EX-M
Recent on Mirage
NEW VISION
4-13 vs Entropy Jul 24
10-13 vs Just Players Jul 17
13-2 vs Julie&Cie Jun 27
11-13 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 8
4-13 vs Atreides May 9
ex-MANA
13-10 vs Misa Jul 19
13-3 vs OlyBet Jul 18
16-13 vs Honvéd Jun 24
Ancient
NV 9 – 13 EX-M
33%
67%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
NV
EX-M
After First Kill
NV
EX-M
Map Player Rating
NV
EX-M
T 5v4
NV
EX-M
Opening Kills
NV
EX-M
Recent on Ancient
NEW VISION
13-4 vs benched gods Jul 25
6-13 vs los kogutos Jul 25
13-10 vs Entropy Jul 24
13-11 vs benched gods Jul 23
2-13 vs Just Players Jul 17
ex-MANA
8-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
14-16 vs BIG Academy Jul 14
13-10 vs DONSTU Jul 13
10-13 vs WBT Jul 4
Mirage
NV 7 – 13 EX-M
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
EX-M
Round Win Rate
NV
EX-M
After First Death
NV
EX-M
Map Player Rating
NV
EX-M
Opening Kills
NV
EX-M
Recent on Mirage
NEW VISION
4-13 vs Entropy Jul 24
10-13 vs Just Players Jul 17
13-2 vs Julie&Cie Jun 27
11-13 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 8
4-13 vs Atreides May 9
ex-MANA
13-10 vs Misa Jul 19
13-3 vs OlyBet Jul 18
16-13 vs Honvéd Jun 24
Anubis
NV 10 – 13 EX-M
43%
57%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
EX-M
After First Death
NV
EX-M
Map Win Rate
NV
EX-M
Round Win Rate
NV
EX-M
Ban Rate
NV
EX-M
Recent on Anubis
NEW VISION
13-8 vs benched gods Jul 25
3-13 vs Entropy Jul 24
16-12 vs benched gods Jul 23
8-13 vs Julie&Cie Jun 27
20-22 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 8
ex-MANA
10-13 vs benched gods Jul 17
10-13 vs DONSTU Jul 13
Ancient
NV 9 – 13 EX-M
33%
67%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
NV
EX-M
After First Kill
NV
EX-M
Map Player Rating
NV
EX-M
T 5v4
NV
EX-M
Opening Kills
NV
EX-M
Recent on Ancient
NEW VISION
13-4 vs benched gods Jul 25
6-13 vs los kogutos Jul 25
13-10 vs Entropy Jul 24
13-11 vs benched gods Jul 23
2-13 vs Just Players Jul 17
ex-MANA
8-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
14-16 vs BIG Academy Jul 14
13-10 vs DONSTU Jul 13
10-13 vs WBT Jul 4
Mirage
NV 7 – 13 EX-M
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
EX-M
Round Win Rate
NV
EX-M
After First Death
NV
EX-M
Map Player Rating
NV
EX-M
Opening Kills
NV
EX-M
Recent on Mirage
NEW VISION
4-13 vs Entropy Jul 24
10-13 vs Just Players Jul 17
13-2 vs Julie&Cie Jun 27
11-13 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 8
4-13 vs Atreides May 9
ex-MANA
13-10 vs Misa Jul 19
13-3 vs OlyBet Jul 18
16-13 vs Honvéd Jun 24
Nuke
NV 8 – 13 EX-M
24%
76%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
NV
EX-M
Opening Kills
NV
EX-M
T 5v4
NV
EX-M
T Side
NV
EX-M
Ranking
NV
EX-M
Recent on Nuke
NEW VISION
7-13 vs los kogutos Jul 25
5-13 vs Wingman Jul 17
11-13 vs XI Jun 10
13-9 vs Banger Gang Jun 1
13-11 vs Hashiras May 25
ex-MANA
14-16 vs OlyBet Jul 18
Recent Results last 11 matches
NEW VISION
ex-MANA
W 2-0 vs benched gods AnubisAncient Jul 25 19d ago
L 0-2 vs los kogutos NukeAncient Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs Entropy AncientMirageAnubis Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs benched gods AnubisAncient Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Wingman Dust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-2 vs Just Players AncientMirage Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-2 vs Lilmix InfernoAncient Jun 30 44d ago
L 1-2 vs Julie&Cie AnubisMirageDust2 Jun 27 47d ago
L 0-2 vs XI NukeAncient Jun 10 64d ago
L 0-2 vs HEROIC Academy AnubisMirage Jun 8 66d ago
W 2-0 vs Lilmix AnubisInferno Jun 7 67d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort Dust2Inferno Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs Misa MirageDust2Inferno Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-1 vs OlyBet MirageNukeDust2 Jul 18 26d ago
L 0-2 vs benched gods Dust2Anubis Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-2 vs Inner Circle Academy Dust2Ancient Jul 15 29d ago
L 0-2 vs BIG Academy AncientDust2 Jul 14 30d ago
W 2-1 vs DONSTU Dust2AnubisAncient Jul 13 31d ago
L 0-2 vs WBT Dust2Ancient Jul 4 40d ago
W 2-0 vs Honvéd Dust2Mirage Jun 24 50d ago
Player Matchups
NEW VISION
Ratings
ex-MANA
FE
fen2k
RiflerADR 76.1KAST 71%
1.04 vs 1.07
BL
BledarD
AWPADR 78.1KAST 70%
WO
wonimo
EntryADR 75.6KAST 74%
1.03 vs 0.98
CE
cerber
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 68%
HA
hahanz0
RiflerADR 76.3KAST 70%
1.02 vs 0.97
AM
ammar
EntryADR 70.7KAST 68%
W0
w0l33n
AWPADR 66.4KAST 70%
0.97 vs —
X1
x1nk1n
RiflerADR 64.2KAST 70%
0.96 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Nuke
NV 8 – 13 EX-M
24%
76%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
NV
EX-M
Opening Kills
NV
EX-M
T 5v4
NV
EX-M
T Side
NV
EX-M
Ranking
NV
EX-M
Recent on Nuke
NEW VISION
7-13 vs los kogutos Jul 25
5-13 vs Wingman Jul 17
11-13 vs XI Jun 10
13-9 vs Banger Gang Jun 1
13-11 vs Hashiras May 25
ex-MANA
14-16 vs OlyBet Jul 18
Inferno
NV 7 – 13 EX-M
25%
75%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
NV
EX-M
Map Win Rate
NV
EX-M
T 5v4
NV
EX-M
Multi-Kills
NV
EX-M
Round Win Rate
NV
EX-M
Recent on Inferno
NEW VISION
3-13 vs Lilmix Jun 30
13-10 vs Lilmix Jun 7
8-13 vs Vexar May 29
5-13 vs G2 Ares May 28
3-13 vs Lilmix May 24
ex-MANA
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
11-13 vs Misa Jul 19
Anubis
NV 10 – 13 EX-M
43%
57%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
NV
EX-M
After First Death
NV
EX-M
Map Win Rate
NV
EX-M
Round Win Rate
NV
EX-M
Ban Rate
NV
EX-M
Recent on Anubis
NEW VISION
13-8 vs benched gods Jul 25
3-13 vs Entropy Jul 24
16-12 vs benched gods Jul 23
8-13 vs Julie&Cie Jun 27
20-22 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 8
ex-MANA
10-13 vs benched gods Jul 17
10-13 vs DONSTU Jul 13
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 3 matches
Inner Circle Academy over Fortress 76% STATE over Lazer Cats 86% los kogutos over megoshort 79%