Bo3 · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier
· 2026-07-24
Gentle Mates
vs
Walczaki
✗
49%
51%
Series win probability
WALC
2–0
32%
GM
2–1
31%
GM
2–0
19%
WALC
2–1
19%
Actual result
Nuke
13–7
GM
Inferno
13–3
GM
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Walczaki is slightly favored at 51% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 1.02), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#48 vs #42), a strong inferno (62% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
37%
Inferno · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 2
36%
Inferno · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 3
27%
Inferno · Nuke · Cache
Inferno
GM
10
–
13
WALC
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
GM
WALC
After First Kill
GM
WALC
Opening Kills
GM
WALC
Map Player Rating
GM
WALC
Ranking
GM
WALC
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
11-13
vs paiN
Jul 23
8-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 21
13-10
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
13-9
vs Acend
Jun 15
8-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
Walczaki
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Jul 23
13-7
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-3
vs Oxuji
Jun 19
13-7
vs TDK
Jun 18
13-8
vs G2 Ares
Jun 15
Nuke
GM
10
–
13
WALC
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
GM
WALC
Map Player Rating
GM
WALC
Ranking
GM
WALC
Map Win Rate
GM
WALC
Round Win Rate
GM
WALC
Recent on Nuke
Gentle Mates
6-13
vs paiN
Jul 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Jul 21
6-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 16
13-9
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
6-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
Walczaki
13-8
vs 3DMAX
Jul 23
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 20
7-13
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-10
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-2
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
Anubis
GM
13
–
11
WALC
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
WALC
Opening Kills
GM
WALC
Map Player Rating
GM
WALC
T 5v4
GM
WALC
Multi-Kills
GM
WALC
Recent on Anubis
Gentle Mates
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
13-9
vs Eternal Fire
May 29
10-13
vs GenOne
May 28
13-8
vs ALGO
May 27
13-9
vs 9INE
Apr 2
Walczaki
3-13
vs magic
Jul 21
9-13
vs Inner Circle
Jun 26
13-10
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-8
vs EAC
Jun 24
16-19
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
Inferno
GM
10
–
13
WALC
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
GM
WALC
After First Kill
GM
WALC
Opening Kills
GM
WALC
Map Player Rating
GM
WALC
Ranking
GM
WALC
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
11-13
vs paiN
Jul 23
8-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 21
13-10
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
13-9
vs Acend
Jun 15
8-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
Walczaki
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Jul 23
13-7
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-3
vs Oxuji
Jun 19
13-7
vs TDK
Jun 18
13-8
vs G2 Ares
Jun 15
Nuke
GM
10
–
13
WALC
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
GM
WALC
Map Player Rating
GM
WALC
Ranking
GM
WALC
Map Win Rate
GM
WALC
Round Win Rate
GM
WALC
Recent on Nuke
Gentle Mates
6-13
vs paiN
Jul 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Jul 21
6-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 16
13-9
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
6-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
Walczaki
13-8
vs 3DMAX
Jul 23
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 20
7-13
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-10
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-2
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
Ancient
GM
16
–
14
WALC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
WALC
T 5v4
GM
WALC
Round Win Rate
GM
WALC
Multi-Kills
GM
WALC
Ranking
GM
WALC
Recent on Ancient
Gentle Mates
2-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 17
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 16
25-21
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
16-14
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
9-13
vs Acend
Jun 15
Walczaki
10-13
vs magic
Jul 21
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-11
vs EAC
Jun 24
16-12
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-10
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
Inferno
GM
10
–
13
WALC
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
GM
WALC
After First Kill
GM
WALC
Opening Kills
GM
WALC
Map Player Rating
GM
WALC
Ranking
GM
WALC
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
11-13
vs paiN
Jul 23
8-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 21
13-10
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
13-9
vs Acend
Jun 15
8-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
Walczaki
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Jul 23
13-7
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-3
vs Oxuji
Jun 19
13-7
vs TDK
Jun 18
13-8
vs G2 Ares
Jun 15
Nuke
GM
10
–
13
WALC
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
GM
WALC
Map Player Rating
GM
WALC
Ranking
GM
WALC
Map Win Rate
GM
WALC
Round Win Rate
GM
WALC
Recent on Nuke
Gentle Mates
6-13
vs paiN
Jul 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Jul 21
6-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 16
13-9
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
6-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
Walczaki
13-8
vs 3DMAX
Jul 23
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 20
7-13
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-10
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-2
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
Cache
GM
13
–
8
WALC
72%
28%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
WALC
After First Death
GM
WALC
Round Win Rate
GM
WALC
Opening Kills
GM
WALC
Map Win Rate
GM
WALC
Recent on Cache
Gentle Mates
13-4
vs 3DMAX
Jul 21
17-19
vs magic
Jul 21
7-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 17
Walczaki
7-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 23
14-16
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Gentle Mates
Walczaki
L
0-2
vs paiN
InfernoNuke
Jul 23
21d ago
W
2-1
vs 3DMAX
InfernoCacheNuke
Jul 21
23d ago
L
0-2
vs magic
MirageCache
Jul 21
23d ago
L
0-2
vs 3DMAX
AncientCache
Jul 17
27d ago
L
0-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientNuke
Jul 16
28d ago
W
2-0
vs Wildcard
InfernoNuke
Jul 15
29d ago
L
1-2
vs ex-RUBY
AncientMirageNuke
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-0
vs KOLESIE
AncientNuke
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisNuke
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-1
vs Acend
MirageAncientInferno
Jun 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemesis
NukeInferno
May 31
74d ago
W
2-1
vs 3DMAX
NukeCacheInferno
Jul 23
21d ago
L
0-2
vs magic
AncientAnubis
Jul 21
23d ago
L
0-2
vs Just Players
NukeMirage
Jul 20
24d ago
W
2-1
vs SPARTA
AncientCacheInferno
Jul 16
28d ago
L
0-2
vs Inner Circle
AnubisDust2
Jun 26
48d ago
L
1-2
vs Echo
AnubisNukeMirage
Jun 25
49d ago
W
2-0
vs EAC
AnubisAncient
Jun 24
50d ago
W
3-2
vs KOLESIE
AnubisDust2NukeMirageAncient
Jun 22
52d ago
W
2-0
vs INFINITE
NukeDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
L
0-2
vs Phantom
AnubisDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-0
vs Oxuji
InfernoNuke
Jun 19
55d ago
Player Matchups
Gentle Mates
Ratings
Walczaki
MO
mopoz
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 72%
OL
olimp
RiflerADR 82.1KAST 71%
AL
alex
EntryADR 74.1KAST 74%
SA
SaMey
AWPADR 68.3KAST 74%
SA
sausol
AWPADR 73.5KAST 72%
BA
bajmi
RiflerADR 73.1KAST 73%
DA
dav1g
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 71%
MO
moonwalk
EntryADR 74.8KAST 71%
SK
sk1tt
RiflerADR 70.6KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Cache
GM
13
–
8
WALC
72%
28%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
WALC
After First Death
GM
WALC
Round Win Rate
GM
WALC
Opening Kills
GM
WALC
Map Win Rate
GM
WALC
Recent on Cache
Gentle Mates
13-4
vs 3DMAX
Jul 21
17-19
vs magic
Jul 21
7-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 17
Walczaki
7-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 23
14-16
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
Mirage
GM
14
–
16
WALC
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
WALC
Round Win Rate
GM
WALC
After First Death
GM
WALC
Map Win Rate
GM
WALC
T 5v4
GM
WALC
Recent on Mirage
Gentle Mates
4-13
vs magic
Jul 21
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-6
vs Acend
Jun 15
13-6
vs WW
May 30
13-8
vs Eternal Fire
May 30
Walczaki
10-13
vs Just Players
Jul 20
10-13
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-5
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-8
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
13-10
vs Nemesis
May 18
Ancient
GM
16
–
14
WALC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
WALC
T 5v4
GM
WALC
Round Win Rate
GM
WALC
Multi-Kills
GM
WALC
Ranking
GM
WALC
Recent on Ancient
Gentle Mates
2-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 17
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 16
25-21
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
16-14
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
9-13
vs Acend
Jun 15
Walczaki
10-13
vs magic
Jul 21
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-11
vs EAC
Jun 24
16-12
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-10
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
More from StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier
3 matches