Bo3 · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier
· 2026-07-24
Nemesis
✗
vs
INFINITE
86%
14%
Series win probability
NEME
2–0
54%
NEME
2–1
32%
INFI
2–1
8%
INFI
2–0
6%
Actual result
Mirage
13–3
INFI
Ancient
13–5
NEME
Inferno
13–10
INFI
Model Insights
Nemesis is strongly favored at 86%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong nuke (86% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
43%
Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2
36%
Nuke · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 3
22%
Nuke · Ancient · Inferno
Nuke
NEME
13
–
6
INFI
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Round Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Map Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Recent on Nuke
Nemesis
2-13
vs Aurora
Jul 22
13-11
vs Astralis
Jul 21
13-8
vs Alliance
Jul 9
13-10
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-7
vs INFINITE
Jun 16
INFINITE
16-14
vs K27
Jul 23
13-4
vs FOKUS
Jun 25
13-8
vs Betclic
Jun 25
5-13
vs EAC
Jun 23
2-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 20
Ancient
NEME
13
–
10
INFI
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Round Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Side Balance
NEME
INFI
CT Opening Kills
NEME
INFI
Recent on Ancient
Nemesis
10-13
vs INFINITE
Jul 22
10-13
vs Astralis
Jul 21
7-13
vs Alliance
Jul 9
13-10
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
13-16
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
INFINITE
13-10
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
5-13
vs Acend
Jun 26
13-6
vs INOX Division
Jun 21
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 19
13-11
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 15
Mirage
NEME
13
–
7
INFI
79%
21%
Win prob
OT 7%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
Map Player Rating
NEME
INFI
T 5v4
NEME
INFI
Recent on Mirage
Nemesis
13-6
vs INFINITE
Jul 22
6-13
vs Aurora
Jul 22
13-10
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
13-11
vs TDK
Jun 20
13-10
vs TDK
Jun 17
INFINITE
13-11
vs K27
Jul 23
6-13
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
8-13
vs Acend
Jun 26
13-5
vs FOKUS
Jun 25
8-13
vs EAC
Jun 23
Nuke
NEME
13
–
6
INFI
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Round Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Map Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Recent on Nuke
Nemesis
2-13
vs Aurora
Jul 22
13-11
vs Astralis
Jul 21
13-8
vs Alliance
Jul 9
13-10
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-7
vs INFINITE
Jun 16
INFINITE
16-14
vs K27
Jul 23
13-4
vs FOKUS
Jun 25
13-8
vs Betclic
Jun 25
5-13
vs EAC
Jun 23
2-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 20
Ancient
NEME
13
–
10
INFI
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Round Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Side Balance
NEME
INFI
CT Opening Kills
NEME
INFI
Recent on Ancient
Nemesis
10-13
vs INFINITE
Jul 22
10-13
vs Astralis
Jul 21
7-13
vs Alliance
Jul 9
13-10
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
13-16
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
INFINITE
13-10
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
5-13
vs Acend
Jun 26
13-6
vs INOX Division
Jun 21
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 19
13-11
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 15
Dust2
NEME
13
–
10
INFI
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
Round Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Map Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Recent on Dust2
Nemesis
16-14
vs Aurora
Jul 22
22-19
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 20
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
INFINITE
13-11
vs Betclic
Jun 25
4-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 20
13-11
vs Oxuji
Jun 18
13-5
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 14
13-8
vs Lilmix
May 2
Nuke
NEME
13
–
6
INFI
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Round Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Map Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Recent on Nuke
Nemesis
2-13
vs Aurora
Jul 22
13-11
vs Astralis
Jul 21
13-8
vs Alliance
Jul 9
13-10
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-7
vs INFINITE
Jun 16
INFINITE
16-14
vs K27
Jul 23
13-4
vs FOKUS
Jun 25
13-8
vs Betclic
Jun 25
5-13
vs EAC
Jun 23
2-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 20
Ancient
NEME
13
–
10
INFI
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Round Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Side Balance
NEME
INFI
CT Opening Kills
NEME
INFI
Recent on Ancient
Nemesis
10-13
vs INFINITE
Jul 22
10-13
vs Astralis
Jul 21
7-13
vs Alliance
Jul 9
13-10
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
13-16
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
INFINITE
13-10
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
5-13
vs Acend
Jun 26
13-6
vs INOX Division
Jun 21
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 19
13-11
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 15
Inferno
NEME
13
–
7
INFI
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Map Player Rating
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
CT Opening Kills
NEME
INFI
Recent on Inferno
Nemesis
13-8
vs INFINITE
Jul 22
7-13
vs Alliance
Jul 9
9-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
13-10
vs Luminosity
Jul 1
6-13
vs TDK
Jun 17
INFINITE
8-13
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
13-11
vs INOX Division
Jun 21
13-11
vs HAVU
May 21
10-13
vs Lilmix
May 2
13-11
vs Sashi Academy
Apr 19
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Nemesis
INFINITE
W
2-1
vs INFINITE
MirageAncientInferno
Jul 22
22d ago
L
1-2
vs Aurora
NukeDust2Mirage
Jul 22
22d ago
L
1-2
vs Astralis
NukeAncientCache
Jul 21
23d ago
L
1-2
vs Alliance
NukeInfernoAncient
Jul 9
35d ago
W
2-1
vs EYEBALLERS
AncientInfernoDust2
Jul 4
40d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
MirageDust2Ancient
Jul 3
41d ago
W
1-0
vs B8
Ancient
Jul 2
42d ago
W
1-0
vs Luminosity
Inferno
Jul 1
43d ago
L
1-2
vs TDK
MirageOverpassDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-1
vs TDK
OverpassInfernoMirage
Jun 17
57d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 17
57d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
NukeMirage
Jul 23
21d ago
L
1-2
vs Nemesis
MirageAncientInferno
Jul 22
22d ago
L
0-2
vs Acend
AncientMirage
Jun 26
48d ago
W
2-0
vs FOKUS
NukeMirage
Jun 25
49d ago
W
2-0
vs Betclic
Dust2Nuke
Jun 25
49d ago
L
0-2
vs EAC
NukeMirage
Jun 23
51d ago
W
2-0
vs INOX Division
InfernoAncient
Jun 21
53d ago
L
0-2
vs Walczaki
NukeDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
L
0-2
vs ex-RUBY
AncientMirage
Jun 19
55d ago
W
2-1
vs Oxuji
NukeMirageDust2
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemesis
MirageNuke
Jun 16
58d ago
Player Matchups
Nemesis
Ratings
INFINITE
SD
Sdaim
EntryADR 79.6KAST 73%
SL
sl3nd
AWPADR 85.9KAST 75%
R3
r3salt
RiflerADR 82.0KAST 73%
KR
kreaz
EntryADR 82.8KAST 69%
TE
tex1y
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 74%
BL
Blytz
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 74%
MA
mag1k3Y
AWPADR 65.4KAST 73%
DY
Dytor
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 72%
SE
SELLTER
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 72%
VO
volt
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
NEME
5
–
13
INFI
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
Map Player Rating
NEME
INFI
Opening Kills
NEME
INFI
Recent on Anubis
Nemesis
no data
INFINITE
13-11
vs Johnny Speeds
May 2
Inferno
NEME
13
–
7
INFI
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Map Player Rating
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
CT Opening Kills
NEME
INFI
Recent on Inferno
Nemesis
13-8
vs INFINITE
Jul 22
7-13
vs Alliance
Jul 9
9-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
13-10
vs Luminosity
Jul 1
6-13
vs TDK
Jun 17
INFINITE
8-13
vs Nemesis
Jul 22
13-11
vs INOX Division
Jun 21
13-11
vs HAVU
May 21
10-13
vs Lilmix
May 2
13-11
vs Sashi Academy
Apr 19
Cache
NEME
13
–
7
INFI
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Death
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
Opening Kills
NEME
INFI
Map Player Rating
NEME
INFI
Recent on Cache
Nemesis
7-13
vs Astralis
Jul 21
INFINITE
no data
Dust2
NEME
13
–
10
INFI
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NEME
INFI
Opponent-Rating Diff
NEME
INFI
After First Kill
NEME
INFI
Round Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Map Win Rate
NEME
INFI
Recent on Dust2
Nemesis
16-14
vs Aurora
Jul 22
22-19
vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jul 3
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 20
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
INFINITE
13-11
vs Betclic
Jun 25
4-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 20
13-11
vs Oxuji
Jun 18
13-5
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 14
13-8
vs Lilmix
May 2
More from StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier
3 matches