Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-08
Acend
vs
NRG
✓
42%
58%
Series win probability
NRG
2–0
32%
NRG
2–1
26%
ACEN
2–1
23%
ACEN
2–0
19%
Actual result
Cache
13–2
NRG
Inferno
13–11
ACEN
Mirage
13–9
NRG
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — NRG is slightly favored at 58% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.15 vs 1.04), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#51 vs #44).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
43%
Mirage · Cache · Dust2
Scenario 2
43%
Mirage · Cache · Inferno
Scenario 3
14%
Mirage · Cache · Ancient
Mirage
ACEN
14
–
16
NRG
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
Round Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
Overall Rating
ACEN
NRG
After First Kill
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Mirage
Acend
7-13
vs Betclic
Aug 4
5-13
vs BRUTE
Aug 2
13-11
vs Inner Circle
Jun 28
11-13
vs Echo
Jun 27
13-8
vs INFINITE
Jun 26
NRG
13-4
vs Spirit HU
Aug 7
13-1
vs Eh
Jul 12
9-13
vs SportsBetExpert
Jul 12
Cache
ACEN
8
–
13
NRG
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 7%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
After First Kill
ACEN
NRG
Round Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
Opening Kills
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Cache
Acend
13-0
vs Vandulken
Aug 7
5-13
vs Betclic
Aug 4
NRG
13-0
vs Spirit HU
Aug 7
13-5
vs SportsBetExpert
Aug 2
13-7
vs Voca
Aug 2
13-1
vs Voca
Aug 1
13-3
vs Eh
Jul 12
Dust2
ACEN
11
–
13
NRG
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ACEN
NRG
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
Round Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Opening Kills
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Dust2
Acend
13-5
vs BRUTE
Aug 2
10-13
vs Inner Circle
Jun 28
13-11
vs Sashi
Jun 24
14-16
vs INOX Division
Jun 19
13-9
vs BET-M
Jun 19
NRG
13-2
vs Marsborne
Jul 29
16-14
vs SportsBetExpert
Jul 12
Mirage
ACEN
14
–
16
NRG
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
Round Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
Overall Rating
ACEN
NRG
After First Kill
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Mirage
Acend
7-13
vs Betclic
Aug 4
5-13
vs BRUTE
Aug 2
13-11
vs Inner Circle
Jun 28
11-13
vs Echo
Jun 27
13-8
vs INFINITE
Jun 26
NRG
13-4
vs Spirit HU
Aug 7
13-1
vs Eh
Jul 12
9-13
vs SportsBetExpert
Jul 12
Cache
ACEN
8
–
13
NRG
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 7%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
After First Kill
ACEN
NRG
Round Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
Opening Kills
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Cache
Acend
13-0
vs Vandulken
Aug 7
5-13
vs Betclic
Aug 4
NRG
13-0
vs Spirit HU
Aug 7
13-5
vs SportsBetExpert
Aug 2
13-7
vs Voca
Aug 2
13-1
vs Voca
Aug 1
13-3
vs Eh
Jul 12
Inferno
ACEN
11
–
13
NRG
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
Round Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
T 5v4
ACEN
NRG
Map Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Inferno
Acend
13-2
vs Vandulken
Aug 7
13-8
vs 6666
Aug 2
13-7
vs Echo
Jun 27
13-10
vs GamerLegion
Jun 23
9-13
vs INOX Division
Jun 19
NRG
13-8
vs Marsborne
Jul 29
13-6
vs Iowa Stormboar
Jul 28
13-2
vs SportsBetExpert
Jul 12
Mirage
ACEN
14
–
16
NRG
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
Round Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
Overall Rating
ACEN
NRG
After First Kill
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Mirage
Acend
7-13
vs Betclic
Aug 4
5-13
vs BRUTE
Aug 2
13-11
vs Inner Circle
Jun 28
11-13
vs Echo
Jun 27
13-8
vs INFINITE
Jun 26
NRG
13-4
vs Spirit HU
Aug 7
13-1
vs Eh
Jul 12
9-13
vs SportsBetExpert
Jul 12
Cache
ACEN
8
–
13
NRG
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 7%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
After First Kill
ACEN
NRG
Round Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
Opening Kills
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Cache
Acend
13-0
vs Vandulken
Aug 7
5-13
vs Betclic
Aug 4
NRG
13-0
vs Spirit HU
Aug 7
13-5
vs SportsBetExpert
Aug 2
13-7
vs Voca
Aug 2
13-1
vs Voca
Aug 1
13-3
vs Eh
Jul 12
Ancient
ACEN
16
–
14
NRG
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ACEN
NRG
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
Overall Rating
ACEN
NRG
Ranking
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Ancient
Acend
13-3
vs 6666
Aug 2
8-13
vs Inner Circle
Jun 28
13-5
vs INFINITE
Jun 26
5-13
vs Sharks
Jun 25
13-11
vs Sashi
Jun 24
NRG
16-13
vs Voca
Aug 2
8-13
vs Voca
Aug 1
6-13
vs Marsborne
Jul 29
16-13
vs NuTorious
Jul 12
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Acend
NRG
W
2-0
vs Vandulken
CacheInferno
Aug 7
6d ago
L
0-2
vs Betclic
CacheMirage
Aug 4
9d ago
W
2-0
vs 6666
AncientInferno
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-1
vs BRUTE
Dust2MirageAnubis
Aug 2
11d ago
L
1-3
vs Inner Circle
MirageDust2OverpassAncient
Jun 28
46d ago
W
2-1
vs Echo
MirageOverpassInferno
Jun 27
47d ago
W
2-0
vs INFINITE
AncientMirage
Jun 26
48d ago
L
1-2
vs Sharks
MirageAnubisAncient
Jun 25
49d ago
W
2-0
vs Sashi
Dust2Ancient
Jun 24
50d ago
W
2-1
vs GamerLegion
MirageAncientInferno
Jun 23
51d ago
L
0-2
vs K27
MirageAncient
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-0
vs Spirit HU
MirageCache
Aug 7
6d ago
W
2-0
vs SportsBetExpert
NukeCache
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-0
vs Voca
CacheAncient
Aug 2
11d ago
L
1-2
vs Voca
CacheNukeAncient
Aug 1
12d ago
W
2-1
vs Marsborne
AncientDust2Inferno
Jul 29
15d ago
W
2-0
vs Iowa Stormboar
NukeInferno
Jul 28
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Eh
MirageCache
Jul 12
32d ago
W
2-0
vs NuTorious
AncientNuke
Jul 12
32d ago
W
3-1
vs SportsBetExpert
Dust2MirageInfernoCache
Jul 12
32d ago
Player Matchups
Acend
Ratings
NRG
H4
h4rn
AWPADR 77.5KAST 75%
SO
Sonic
EntryADR 83.5KAST 74%
RE
REDSTAR
EntryADR 77.1KAST 76%
HA
hallzerk
AWPADR 77.8KAST 79%
KA
KalubeR
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 72%
GR
Grim
RiflerADR 79.0KAST 73%
SK
Skrimo
RiflerADR 69.8KAST 73%
JE
Jeorge
RiflerADR 76.3KAST 76%
SP
SPELLAN
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 70%
NI
nitr0
RiflerADR 67.9KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Inferno
ACEN
11
–
13
NRG
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
Round Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
T 5v4
ACEN
NRG
Map Win Rate
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Inferno
Acend
13-2
vs Vandulken
Aug 7
13-8
vs 6666
Aug 2
13-7
vs Echo
Jun 27
13-10
vs GamerLegion
Jun 23
9-13
vs INOX Division
Jun 19
NRG
13-8
vs Marsborne
Jul 29
13-6
vs Iowa Stormboar
Jul 28
13-2
vs SportsBetExpert
Jul 12
Ancient
ACEN
16
–
14
NRG
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ACEN
NRG
After First Death
ACEN
NRG
Map Player Rating
ACEN
NRG
Overall Rating
ACEN
NRG
Ranking
ACEN
NRG
Recent on Ancient
Acend
13-3
vs 6666
Aug 2
8-13
vs Inner Circle
Jun 28
13-5
vs INFINITE
Jun 26
5-13
vs Sharks
Jun 25
13-11
vs Sashi
Jun 24
NRG
16-13
vs Voca
Aug 2
8-13
vs Voca
Aug 1
6-13
vs Marsborne
Jul 29
16-13
vs NuTorious
Jul 12
More from Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
5 matches