Bo3 · Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
· 2026-08-08
FOKUS
✓
vs
Sashi
54%
46%
Series win probability
FOKU
2–0
27%
FOKU
2–1
26%
SASH
2–1
25%
SASH
2–0
22%
Actual result
Cache
13–11
FOKU
Mirage
13–11
FOKU
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — FOKUS is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (64% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
35%
Dust2 · Cache · Ancient
Scenario 2
35%
Dust2 · Cache · Inferno
Scenario 3
31%
Dust2 · Cache · Nuke
Dust2
FOKU
13
–
9
SASH
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Ban Rate
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Dust2
FOKUS
10-13
vs MOUZ
Jul 25
13-4
vs Aurora
Jul 23
13-10
vs Astralis
Jul 21
Sashi
13-8
vs Orion Wanderers
Aug 7
2-13
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
9-13
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
11-13
vs Just Players
Aug 1
13-6
vs AM
Jun 25
Cache
FOKU
16
–
14
SASH
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Map Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Cache
FOKUS
13-11
vs Aurora
Jul 23
Sashi
13-6
vs Phantom
Aug 4
13-6
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
13-11
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
13-5
vs Just Players
Aug 1
Ancient
FOKU
13
–
11
SASH
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
Opening Kills
FOKU
SASH
Map Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Open Score N75 Diff
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Ancient
FOKUS
13-1
vs Partizan
Aug 7
6-13
vs HEROIC
Jul 23
11-13
vs Astralis
Jul 21
Sashi
8-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
16-14
vs Just Players
Aug 1
14-16
vs AM
Jun 25
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 24
13-6
vs 9INE
Jun 23
Dust2
FOKU
13
–
9
SASH
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Ban Rate
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Dust2
FOKUS
10-13
vs MOUZ
Jul 25
13-4
vs Aurora
Jul 23
13-10
vs Astralis
Jul 21
Sashi
13-8
vs Orion Wanderers
Aug 7
2-13
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
9-13
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
11-13
vs Just Players
Aug 1
13-6
vs AM
Jun 25
Cache
FOKU
16
–
14
SASH
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Map Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Cache
FOKUS
13-11
vs Aurora
Jul 23
Sashi
13-6
vs Phantom
Aug 4
13-6
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
13-11
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
13-5
vs Just Players
Aug 1
Inferno
FOKU
10
–
13
SASH
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Ranking
FOKU
SASH
Ban Rate
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Inferno
FOKUS
16-12
vs Partizan
Aug 7
10-13
vs HEROIC
Jul 23
Sashi
13-8
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-11
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
13-9
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 16
11-13
vs Walczaki
May 23
13-7
vs Oxuji
May 15
Dust2
FOKU
13
–
9
SASH
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Ban Rate
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Dust2
FOKUS
10-13
vs MOUZ
Jul 25
13-4
vs Aurora
Jul 23
13-10
vs Astralis
Jul 21
Sashi
13-8
vs Orion Wanderers
Aug 7
2-13
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
9-13
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
11-13
vs Just Players
Aug 1
13-6
vs AM
Jun 25
Cache
FOKU
16
–
14
SASH
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Map Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Cache
FOKUS
13-11
vs Aurora
Jul 23
Sashi
13-6
vs Phantom
Aug 4
13-6
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
13-11
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
13-5
vs Just Players
Aug 1
Nuke
FOKU
8
–
13
SASH
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Experience
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Nuke
FOKUS
7-13
vs Aurora
Jul 23
1-13
vs Astralis
Jul 21
Sashi
13-7
vs Orion Wanderers
Aug 7
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
13-4
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-8
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
13-6
vs AM
Jun 25
Recent Results
last 11 matches
FOKUS
Sashi
W
2-0
vs Partizan
InfernoAncient
Aug 7
6d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Mirage
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-1
vs Aurora
CacheNukeDust2
Jul 23
21d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
AncientInferno
Jul 23
21d ago
L
1-2
vs Astralis
Dust2AncientNuke
Jul 21
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Orion Wanderers
Dust2Nuke
Aug 7
6d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
NukeAnubisAncient
Aug 6
7d ago
W
2-1
vs GenOne
InfernoAnubisNuke
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-0
vs Phantom
AnubisCache
Aug 4
9d ago
W
2-1
vs Black Phoenix
CacheDust2Nuke
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-1
vs SINNERS
Dust2CacheInferno
Aug 2
11d ago
W
2-1
vs Just Players
CacheDust2Ancient
Aug 1
12d ago
W
2-1
vs AM
Dust2AncientNuke
Jun 25
49d ago
L
1-2
vs Inner Circle
OverpassDust2Nuke
Jun 25
49d ago
L
0-2
vs Acend
Dust2Ancient
Jun 24
50d ago
W
2-1
vs 9INE
Dust2NukeAncient
Jun 23
51d ago
Player Matchups
FOKUS
Ratings
Sashi
JO
jocab
EntryADR 78.4KAST 74%
ZY
Zyphon
EntryADR 78.6KAST 76%
BA
Banjo
RiflerADR 73.4KAST 72%
MI
MistR
RiflerADR 72.9KAST 74%
MA
Matheos
RiflerADR 77.0KAST 71%
AC
acoR
AWPADR 72.6KAST 73%
PO
podi
AWPADR 63.3KAST 70%
CA
Cabbi
RiflerADR 72.7KAST 71%
ZT
ztr
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 72%
AN
Anlelele
RiflerADR 66.0KAST 76%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
FOKU
10
–
13
SASH
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
Opening Kills
FOKU
SASH
Map Firepower
FOKU
SASH
Ranking
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Anubis
FOKUS
no data
Sashi
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
11-13
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-4
vs Phantom
Aug 4
13-6
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 16
16-19
vs Walczaki
May 23
Nuke
FOKU
8
–
13
SASH
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Experience
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Nuke
FOKUS
7-13
vs Aurora
Jul 23
1-13
vs Astralis
Jul 21
Sashi
13-7
vs Orion Wanderers
Aug 7
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6
13-4
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-8
vs Black Phoenix
Aug 2
13-6
vs AM
Jun 25
Mirage
FOKU
11
–
13
SASH
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
Map Player Rating
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Opening Kills
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Mirage
FOKUS
8-13
vs MOUZ
Jul 25
Sashi
9-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 1
13-11
vs Prestige
Mar 14
13-11
vs MASONIC
Mar 14
9-13
vs K27
Mar 9
3-13
vs ence
Mar 4
Inferno
FOKU
10
–
13
SASH
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FOKU
SASH
After First Death
FOKU
SASH
Round Win Rate
FOKU
SASH
Ranking
FOKU
SASH
Ban Rate
FOKU
SASH
Recent on Inferno
FOKUS
16-12
vs Partizan
Aug 7
10-13
vs HEROIC
Jul 23
Sashi
13-8
vs GenOne
Aug 5
13-11
vs SINNERS
Aug 2
13-9
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 16
11-13
vs Walczaki
May 23
13-7
vs Oxuji
May 15
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5 matches