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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · 2026-07-29
ex-MANA
vs
los kogutos ✓
4%
96%
Series win probability
LK 2–0 87%
LK 2–1 9%
EX-M 2–1 3%
EX-M 2–0 0%
Actual result
Mirage 16–13 LK
Nuke 13–3 LK
Model Insights
los kogutos is strongly favored at 96%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#199 vs #222), a strong ancient (97% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 51% Dust2 · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2 34% Dust2 · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 3 15% Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Dust2
EX-M 7 – 13 LK
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
After First Death
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
Ranking
EX-M
LK
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
4-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
7-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 28
13-8 vs NEW VISION Jul 26
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
5-13 vs Misa Jul 19
los kogutos
13-4 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
8-13 vs Honvéd Jul 5
Ancient
EX-M 4 – 13 LK
3%
97%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
Map Player Rating
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
Ranking
EX-M
LK
Recent on Ancient
ex-MANA
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Jul 28
16-14 vs NEW VISION Jul 26
8-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
14-16 vs BIG Academy Jul 14
13-10 vs DONSTU Jul 13
los kogutos
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
13-6 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
13-7 vs DH Premium Jul 3
Mirage
EX-M 7 – 13 LK
10%
90%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
Round Win Rate
EX-M
LK
Map Win Rate
EX-M
LK
Ranking
EX-M
LK
Recent on Mirage
ex-MANA
13-10 vs Misa Jul 19
13-3 vs OlyBet Jul 18
16-13 vs Honvéd Jun 24
los kogutos
22-20 vs UNiTY Jul 28
9-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
11-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
16-19 vs Honvéd Jul 5
13-10 vs DH Premium Jul 3
Dust2
EX-M 7 – 13 LK
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
After First Death
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
Ranking
EX-M
LK
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
4-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
7-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 28
13-8 vs NEW VISION Jul 26
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
5-13 vs Misa Jul 19
los kogutos
13-4 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
8-13 vs Honvéd Jul 5
Ancient
EX-M 4 – 13 LK
3%
97%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
Map Player Rating
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
Ranking
EX-M
LK
Recent on Ancient
ex-MANA
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Jul 28
16-14 vs NEW VISION Jul 26
8-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
14-16 vs BIG Academy Jul 14
13-10 vs DONSTU Jul 13
los kogutos
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
13-6 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
13-7 vs DH Premium Jul 3
Nuke
EX-M 5 – 13 LK
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Death
EX-M
LK
Map Player Rating
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
Recent on Nuke
ex-MANA
11-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
14-16 vs OlyBet Jul 18
los kogutos
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
13-3 vs Honvéd Jul 5
5-13 vs Atreides Jun 4
Dust2
EX-M 7 – 13 LK
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
After First Death
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
Ranking
EX-M
LK
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
4-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
7-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 28
13-8 vs NEW VISION Jul 26
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
5-13 vs Misa Jul 19
los kogutos
13-4 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
8-13 vs Honvéd Jul 5
Ancient
EX-M 4 – 13 LK
3%
97%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
Map Player Rating
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
Ranking
EX-M
LK
Recent on Ancient
ex-MANA
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Jul 28
16-14 vs NEW VISION Jul 26
8-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
14-16 vs BIG Academy Jul 14
13-10 vs DONSTU Jul 13
los kogutos
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
13-6 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
13-7 vs DH Premium Jul 3
Anubis
EX-M 13 – 11 LK
57%
43%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Death
EX-M
LK
Round Win Rate
EX-M
LK
Map Win Rate
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
Recent on Anubis
ex-MANA
10-13 vs benched gods Jul 17
10-13 vs DONSTU Jul 13
los kogutos
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
Recent Results last 11 matches
ex-MANA
los kogutos
L 0-2 vs Rune Eaters Dust2Ancient Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION Dust2Ancient Jul 26 18d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort Dust2Inferno Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs Misa MirageDust2Inferno Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-1 vs OlyBet MirageNukeDust2 Jul 18 26d ago
L 0-2 vs benched gods Dust2Anubis Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-2 vs Inner Circle Academy Dust2Ancient Jul 15 29d ago
L 0-2 vs BIG Academy AncientDust2 Jul 14 30d ago
W 2-1 vs DONSTU Dust2AnubisAncient Jul 13 31d ago
L 0-2 vs WBT Dust2Ancient Jul 4 40d ago
W 2-0 vs Honvéd Dust2Mirage Jun 24 50d ago
L 1-2 vs UNiTY CacheMirageAncient Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort MirageDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 0-2 vs Entropy CacheAncient Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION NukeAncient Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2AncientMirage Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides AnubisCache Jul 21 23d ago
L 0-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Honvéd MirageNukeDust2 Jul 5 39d ago
W 2-0 vs DH Premium MirageAncient Jul 3 41d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides NukeMirage Jun 4 70d ago
L 0-2 vs TDK AncientOverpass Mar 23 143d ago
Player Matchups
ex-MANA
Ratings
los kogutos
BL
BledarD
AWPADR 77.2KAST 70%
1.05 vs 1.10
MA
Markoś
AWPADR 75.9KAST 74%
CE
cerber
RiflerADR 73.2KAST 68%
0.99 vs 1.04
TO
tomiko
RiflerADR 78.3KAST 71%
VA
vAloN
EntryADR 70.8KAST 73%
0.98 vs 1.00
MA
maaryy
EntryADR 72.2KAST 72%
AM
ammar
RiflerADR 69.2KAST 66%
0.95 vs 0.98
AD
AdrieN
RiflerADR 72.4KAST 69%
— vs 0.97
HO
hotd0g
RiflerADR 70.3KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Cache
EX-M 3 – 13 LK
1%
99%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Death
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
Ban Rate
EX-M
LK
Map Player Rating
EX-M
LK
Recent on Cache
ex-MANA
no data
los kogutos
10-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
7-13 vs Entropy Jul 25
10-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
Nuke
EX-M 5 – 13 LK
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Death
EX-M
LK
Map Player Rating
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
Recent on Nuke
ex-MANA
11-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
14-16 vs OlyBet Jul 18
los kogutos
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
13-3 vs Honvéd Jul 5
5-13 vs Atreides Jun 4
Inferno
EX-M 13 – 7 LK
86%
14%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Death
EX-M
LK
After First Kill
EX-M
LK
Ban Rate
EX-M
LK
Map Player Rating
EX-M
LK
Recent on Inferno
ex-MANA
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
11-13 vs Misa Jul 19
los kogutos
no data
Anubis
EX-M 13 – 11 LK
57%
43%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-M
LK
After First Death
EX-M
LK
Round Win Rate
EX-M
LK
Map Win Rate
EX-M
LK
Opening Kills
EX-M
LK
Recent on Anubis
ex-MANA
10-13 vs benched gods Jul 17
10-13 vs DONSTU Jul 13
los kogutos
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 2 matches
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