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Bo3  ·  BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · 2026-07-23
OG
vs
Spirit
8%
92%
Series win probability
SPIR 2–0 72%
SPIR 2–1 20%
OG 2–1 6%
OG 2–0 2%
Actual result
Cache 13–4 SPIR
Dust2 13–11 OG
Ancient 19–16 SPIR
Model Insights
Spirit is strongly favored at 92%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.17 vs 1.01), a significant ranking advantage (#1 vs #75), a strong nuke (92% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 55% Nuke · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 35% Dust2 · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 3 10% Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Nuke
OG 5 13 SPIR
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
OG
SPIR
After First Death
OG
SPIR
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Round Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Map Player Rating
OG
SPIR
Recent on Nuke
OG
10-13 vs Betclic Jun 24
6-13 vs FOKUS Jun 23
6-13 vs EAC May 29
13-6 vs Rebels May 21
Spirit
13-5 vs Aurora Jun 12
13-1 vs 9z Jun 7
13-2 vs MOUZ May 16
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 19
11-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 23
Dust2
OG 7 13 SPIR
22%
78%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
OG
SPIR
After First Kill
OG
SPIR
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Map Player Rating
OG
SPIR
Round Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
OG
13-10 vs FOKUS Jun 23
7-13 vs TDK May 31
10-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Spirit
12-16 vs Falcons Jun 20
16-14 vs G2 Jun 19
16-14 vs 9z Jun 13
9-13 vs Aurora Jun 12
13-1 vs Natus Vincere Jun 11
Mirage
OG 6 13 SPIR
14%
86%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
OG
SPIR
After First Kill
OG
SPIR
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Round Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Map Player Rating
OG
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
OG
16-19 vs Betclic Jun 24
16-14 vs Just Players May 30
6-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Spirit
13-8 vs Falcons Jun 20
25-22 vs G2 Jun 19
16-13 vs 9z Jun 13
13-3 vs 9z Jun 7
13-5 vs BetBoom Jun 6
Dust2
OG 7 13 SPIR
22%
78%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
OG
SPIR
After First Kill
OG
SPIR
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Map Player Rating
OG
SPIR
Round Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
OG
13-10 vs FOKUS Jun 23
7-13 vs TDK May 31
10-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Spirit
12-16 vs Falcons Jun 20
16-14 vs G2 Jun 19
16-14 vs 9z Jun 13
9-13 vs Aurora Jun 12
13-1 vs Natus Vincere Jun 11
Mirage
OG 6 13 SPIR
14%
86%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
OG
SPIR
After First Kill
OG
SPIR
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Round Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Map Player Rating
OG
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
OG
16-19 vs Betclic Jun 24
16-14 vs Just Players May 30
6-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Spirit
13-8 vs Falcons Jun 20
25-22 vs G2 Jun 19
16-13 vs 9z Jun 13
13-3 vs 9z Jun 7
13-5 vs BetBoom Jun 6
Cache
OG 9 13 SPIR
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Overall Rating
OG
SPIR
Side Balance
OG
SPIR
vs Top 30
OG
SPIR
Days With Lineup Diff
OG
SPIR
Recent on Cache
OG
no data
Spirit
no data
Dust2
OG 7 13 SPIR
22%
78%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
OG
SPIR
After First Kill
OG
SPIR
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Map Player Rating
OG
SPIR
Round Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
OG
13-10 vs FOKUS Jun 23
7-13 vs TDK May 31
10-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Spirit
12-16 vs Falcons Jun 20
16-14 vs G2 Jun 19
16-14 vs 9z Jun 13
9-13 vs Aurora Jun 12
13-1 vs Natus Vincere Jun 11
Mirage
OG 6 13 SPIR
14%
86%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
OG
SPIR
After First Kill
OG
SPIR
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Round Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Map Player Rating
OG
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
OG
16-19 vs Betclic Jun 24
16-14 vs Just Players May 30
6-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Spirit
13-8 vs Falcons Jun 20
25-22 vs G2 Jun 19
16-13 vs 9z Jun 13
13-3 vs 9z Jun 7
13-5 vs BetBoom Jun 6
Ancient
OG 7 13 SPIR
14%
86%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
OG
SPIR
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Round Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Map Player Rating
OG
SPIR
Map Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
OG
7-13 vs Betclic May 21
Spirit
13-10 vs Falcons May 17
13-11 vs G2 May 15
19-16 vs The MongolZ May 10
13-3 vs The Huns May 9
13-8 vs RED Canids Apr 15
Recent Results last 11 matches
OG
Spirit
L 1-2 vs Betclic OverpassNukeMirage Jun 24 50d ago
L 1-2 vs FOKUS NukeDust2Overpass Jun 23 51d ago
L 1-2 vs TDK Dust2InfernoOverpass May 31 74d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageOverpass May 30 75d ago
W 2-1 vs EAC OverpassNukeInferno May 29 76d ago
L 1-2 vs Inner Circle OverpassDust2Mirage May 22 83d ago
W 1-0 vs Metizport Overpass May 21 84d ago
L 0-1 vs Betclic Ancient May 21 84d ago
W 1-0 vs Rebels Nuke May 21 84d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons AnubisMirageDust2 Jun 20 54d ago
W 2-1 vs G2 OverpassDust2Mirage Jun 19 55d ago
W 2-1 vs 9z OverpassMirageDust2 Jun 13 61d ago
W 2-1 vs Aurora Dust2AnubisNuke Jun 12 62d ago
W 2-0 vs Natus Vincere Dust2Anubis Jun 11 63d ago
W 2-0 vs 9z MirageNuke Jun 7 67d ago
W 1-0 vs BetBoom Mirage Jun 6 68d ago
W 1-0 vs MIBR Mirage Jun 6 68d ago
W 3-0 vs Falcons Dust2MirageAncient May 17 88d ago
W 2-0 vs MOUZ Dust2Nuke May 16 89d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Dust2Ancient May 15 90d ago
Player Matchups
OG
Ratings
Spirit
AD
adamb
EntryADR 75.7KAST 71%
1.13 vs 1.52
DO
donk
EntryADR 97.1KAST 79%
SP
spooke
RiflerADR 78.2KAST 72%
1.11 vs 1.22
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 78.0KAST 79%
CA
cadiaN
AWPADR 70.6KAST 69%
0.96 vs 1.07
TN
tN1R
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 75%
BO
bodyy
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 69%
0.96 vs 1.01
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 70.4KAST 76%
PR
pr1metapz
RiflerADR 58.1KAST 72%
0.89 vs 1.01
ZO
zont1x
RiflerADR 69.1KAST 77%
Unpredicted Maps 2 maps
Ancient
OG 7 13 SPIR
14%
86%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
OG
SPIR
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Round Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Map Player Rating
OG
SPIR
Map Win Rate
OG
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
OG
7-13 vs Betclic May 21
Spirit
13-10 vs Falcons May 17
13-11 vs G2 May 15
19-16 vs The MongolZ May 10
13-3 vs The Huns May 9
13-8 vs RED Canids Apr 15
Cache
OG 9 13 SPIR
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
SPIR
Overall Rating
OG
SPIR
Side Balance
OG
SPIR
vs Top 30
OG
SPIR
Days With Lineup Diff
OG
SPIR
Recent on Cache
OG
no data
Spirit
no data
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