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Bo3  ·  BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · 2026-07-23
Gentle Mates ✗
vs
paiN
63%
37%
Series win probability
GM 2–0 35%
GM 2–1 27%
PAIN 2–1 22%
PAIN 2–0 15%
Actual result
Inferno 13–11 PAIN
Nuke 13–6 PAIN
Model Insights
Gentle Mates has a moderate edge at 63%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#40 vs #29), a strong nuke (73% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 38% Inferno · Nuke · Cache
Scenario 2 32% Inferno · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 3 30% Inferno · Nuke · Anubis
Inferno
GM 16 – 14 PAIN
50%
50%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
After First Death
GM
PAIN
Round Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Ranking
GM
PAIN
Opening Kills
GM
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
8-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 21
13-10 vs Wildcard Jul 15
13-9 vs Acend Jun 15
8-13 vs Nemesis May 31
13-4 vs GenOne May 30
paiN
4-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 16
13-2 vs LP Jul 10
13-4 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 9
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 4
Nuke
GM 13 – 10 PAIN
73%
27%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
T 5v4
GM
PAIN
Opening Kills
GM
PAIN
Map Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Round Win Rate
GM
PAIN
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
Gentle Mates
13-7 vs 3DMAX Jul 21
6-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 16
13-9 vs Wildcard Jul 15
6-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 20
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 18
paiN
5-13 vs Phantom Jul 15
7-13 vs Sharks Jul 11
13-9 vs LP Jul 10
5-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-11 vs Astralis Jun 8
Cache
GM 16 – 14 PAIN
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
After First Death
GM
PAIN
Round Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Ranking
GM
PAIN
Map Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Recent on Cache
Gentle Mates
13-4 vs 3DMAX Jul 21
17-19 vs magic Jul 21
7-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 17
paiN
10-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 16
11-13 vs Sharks Jul 11
Inferno
GM 16 – 14 PAIN
50%
50%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
After First Death
GM
PAIN
Round Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Ranking
GM
PAIN
Opening Kills
GM
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
8-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 21
13-10 vs Wildcard Jul 15
13-9 vs Acend Jun 15
8-13 vs Nemesis May 31
13-4 vs GenOne May 30
paiN
4-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 16
13-2 vs LP Jul 10
13-4 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 9
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 4
Nuke
GM 13 – 10 PAIN
73%
27%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
T 5v4
GM
PAIN
Opening Kills
GM
PAIN
Map Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Round Win Rate
GM
PAIN
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
Gentle Mates
13-7 vs 3DMAX Jul 21
6-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 16
13-9 vs Wildcard Jul 15
6-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 20
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 18
paiN
5-13 vs Phantom Jul 15
7-13 vs Sharks Jul 11
13-9 vs LP Jul 10
5-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-11 vs Astralis Jun 8
Mirage
GM 13 – 10 PAIN
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
PAIN
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
Round Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Map Player Rating
GM
PAIN
Pistol Rounds
GM
PAIN
Recent on Mirage
Gentle Mates
4-13 vs magic Jul 21
8-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 20
13-6 vs Acend Jun 15
13-6 vs WW May 30
13-8 vs Eternal Fire May 30
paiN
9-13 vs TYLOO Jun 6
13-5 vs TYLOO May 21
8-13 vs M80 May 19
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-5 vs Fluxo Apr 4
Inferno
GM 16 – 14 PAIN
50%
50%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
After First Death
GM
PAIN
Round Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Ranking
GM
PAIN
Opening Kills
GM
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
8-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 21
13-10 vs Wildcard Jul 15
13-9 vs Acend Jun 15
8-13 vs Nemesis May 31
13-4 vs GenOne May 30
paiN
4-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 16
13-2 vs LP Jul 10
13-4 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 9
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 4
Nuke
GM 13 – 10 PAIN
73%
27%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
T 5v4
GM
PAIN
Opening Kills
GM
PAIN
Map Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Round Win Rate
GM
PAIN
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
Gentle Mates
13-7 vs 3DMAX Jul 21
6-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 16
13-9 vs Wildcard Jul 15
6-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 20
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 18
paiN
5-13 vs Phantom Jul 15
7-13 vs Sharks Jul 11
13-9 vs LP Jul 10
5-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-11 vs Astralis Jun 8
Anubis
GM 16 – 14 PAIN
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
After First Death
GM
PAIN
T 5v4
GM
PAIN
Opening Kills
GM
PAIN
Ranking
GM
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
Gentle Mates
11-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 16
13-9 vs Eternal Fire May 29
10-13 vs GenOne May 28
13-8 vs ALGO May 27
13-9 vs 9INE Apr 2
paiN
5-13 vs Phantom Jul 15
13-10 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
13-4 vs BC.Game May 20
5-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
Recent Results last 11 matches
Gentle Mates
paiN
W 2-1 vs 3DMAX InfernoCacheNuke Jul 21 23d ago
L 0-2 vs magic MirageCache Jul 21 23d ago
L 0-2 vs 3DMAX AncientCache Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-2 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas AncientNuke Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-0 vs Wildcard InfernoNuke Jul 15 29d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY AncientMirageNuke Jun 20 54d ago
W 2-0 vs KOLESIE AncientNuke Jun 18 56d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AnubisNuke Jun 16 58d ago
W 2-1 vs Acend MirageAncientInferno Jun 15 59d ago
L 0-2 vs Nemesis NukeInferno May 31 74d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne InfernoNuke May 30 75d ago
L 0-2 vs 3DMAX CacheInferno Jul 16 28d ago
L 1-2 vs Phantom Dust2AnubisNuke Jul 15 29d ago
L 0-2 vs Sharks CacheNuke Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-1 vs LP InfernoDust2Nuke Jul 10 34d ago
W 2-0 vs METANOIA Wolves InfernoDust2 Jul 9 35d ago
L 0-2 vs Monte NukeDust2 Jun 9 65d ago
W 2-0 vs Astralis NukeOverpass Jun 8 66d ago
W 2-0 vs FlyQuest NukeAnubis Jun 7 67d ago
L 0-1 vs TYLOO Mirage Jun 6 68d ago
L 0-1 vs BIG Overpass Jun 6 68d ago
W 2-1 vs TYLOO MirageNukeOverpass May 21 84d ago
Player Matchups
Gentle Mates
Ratings
paiN
MO
mopoz
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 72%
1.09 vs 1.08
SN
snow
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 71%
AL
alex
EntryADR 74.2KAST 74%
1.04 vs 1.06
PI
piriajr
EntryADR 76.2KAST 71%
SA
sausol
AWPADR 73.5KAST 72%
1.03 vs 0.99
SA
saffee
AWPADR 67.5KAST 69%
DA
dav1g
RiflerADR 69.5KAST 71%
0.95 vs 0.98
BI
biguzera
RiflerADR 70.3KAST 70%
— vs 0.94
VS
vsm
RiflerADR 67.2KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Ancient
GM 13 – 5 PAIN
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
After First Death
GM
PAIN
Map Player Rating
GM
PAIN
Ban Rate
GM
PAIN
Opening Kills
GM
PAIN
Recent on Ancient
Gentle Mates
2-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 17
9-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 16
25-21 vs ex-RUBY Jun 20
16-14 vs KOLESIE Jun 18
9-13 vs Acend Jun 15
paiN
no data
Mirage
GM 13 – 10 PAIN
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
PAIN
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
Round Win Rate
GM
PAIN
Map Player Rating
GM
PAIN
Pistol Rounds
GM
PAIN
Recent on Mirage
Gentle Mates
4-13 vs magic Jul 21
8-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 20
13-6 vs Acend Jun 15
13-6 vs WW May 30
13-8 vs Eternal Fire May 30
paiN
9-13 vs TYLOO Jun 6
13-5 vs TYLOO May 21
8-13 vs M80 May 19
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-5 vs Fluxo Apr 4
Anubis
GM 16 – 14 PAIN
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
PAIN
After First Death
GM
PAIN
T 5v4
GM
PAIN
Opening Kills
GM
PAIN
Ranking
GM
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
Gentle Mates
11-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 16
13-9 vs Eternal Fire May 29
10-13 vs GenOne May 28
13-8 vs ALGO May 27
13-9 vs 9INE Apr 2
paiN
5-13 vs Phantom Jul 15
13-10 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
13-4 vs BC.Game May 20
5-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
More from BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 2 matches
FUT over SINNERS 70% Spirit over OG 92%