Project Leggy
Back
Bo3  ·  BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · 2026-07-21
Alliance
vs
Wildcard
45%
55%
Series win probability
ALLI 2–1 30%
WILD 2–0 29%
WILD 2–1 26%
ALLI 2–0 15%
Actual result
Inferno 13–3 WILD
Dust2 13–7 WILD
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Wildcard is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.14 vs 1.09), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#36 vs #17), a strong dust2 (86% win probability). Alliance's best shot is inferno where they hold a 55% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 41% Inferno · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2 38% Inferno · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3 21% Inferno · Nuke · Cache
Inferno
ALLI 13 10 WILD
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WILD
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
Map Win Rate
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
19-17 vs 9z Jul 11
13-7 vs Nemesis Jul 9
13-7 vs 9z Jul 4
13-7 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jun 14
13-11 vs Metizport Jun 14
Wildcard
10-13 vs Gentle Mates Jul 15
13-7 vs FOKUS May 24
13-11 vs Acend May 23
13-3 vs FOKUS May 23
10-13 vs M80 May 3
Dust2
ALLI 7 13 WILD
14%
86%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
Opening Kills
ALLI
WILD
Map Win Rate
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Dust2
Alliance
16-14 vs 9z Jul 4
13-3 vs Nexus Jun 14
17-19 vs fnatic Jun 14
9-13 vs 3DMAX May 28
5-13 vs EYEBALLERS May 23
Wildcard
13-16 vs K27 Jul 16
10-13 vs FOKUS May 24
13-9 vs Acend May 23
13-8 vs FOKUS May 23
11-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Nuke
ALLI 7 13 WILD
32%
68%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WILD
Round Win Rate
ALLI
WILD
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
10-13 vs 9z Jul 11
8-13 vs Nemesis Jul 9
13-4 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jun 14
19-15 vs Metizport Jun 14
13-1 vs SAAB Jun 13
Wildcard
9-13 vs Gentle Mates Jul 15
13-6 vs FOKUS May 24
13-7 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-8 vs Passion UA Apr 26
13-7 vs Fisher College Apr 26
Inferno
ALLI 13 10 WILD
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WILD
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
Map Win Rate
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
19-17 vs 9z Jul 11
13-7 vs Nemesis Jul 9
13-7 vs 9z Jul 4
13-7 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jun 14
13-11 vs Metizport Jun 14
Wildcard
10-13 vs Gentle Mates Jul 15
13-7 vs FOKUS May 24
13-11 vs Acend May 23
13-3 vs FOKUS May 23
10-13 vs M80 May 3
Nuke
ALLI 7 13 WILD
32%
68%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WILD
Round Win Rate
ALLI
WILD
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
10-13 vs 9z Jul 11
8-13 vs Nemesis Jul 9
13-4 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jun 14
19-15 vs Metizport Jun 14
13-1 vs SAAB Jun 13
Wildcard
9-13 vs Gentle Mates Jul 15
13-6 vs FOKUS May 24
13-7 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-8 vs Passion UA Apr 26
13-7 vs Fisher College Apr 26
Anubis
ALLI 13 6 WILD
86%
14%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
Opening Kills
ALLI
WILD
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Anubis
Alliance
13-4 vs fnatic Jun 14
5-13 vs Metizport Jun 14
9-13 vs Nexus Jun 13
13-16 vs Sharks May 29
13-8 vs 3DMAX May 28
Wildcard
8-13 vs AaB Mar 23
Inferno
ALLI 13 10 WILD
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WILD
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
Map Win Rate
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
19-17 vs 9z Jul 11
13-7 vs Nemesis Jul 9
13-7 vs 9z Jul 4
13-7 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jun 14
13-11 vs Metizport Jun 14
Wildcard
10-13 vs Gentle Mates Jul 15
13-7 vs FOKUS May 24
13-11 vs Acend May 23
13-3 vs FOKUS May 23
10-13 vs M80 May 3
Nuke
ALLI 7 13 WILD
32%
68%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WILD
Round Win Rate
ALLI
WILD
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
10-13 vs 9z Jul 11
8-13 vs Nemesis Jul 9
13-4 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jun 14
19-15 vs Metizport Jun 14
13-1 vs SAAB Jun 13
Wildcard
9-13 vs Gentle Mates Jul 15
13-6 vs FOKUS May 24
13-7 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-8 vs Passion UA Apr 26
13-7 vs Fisher College Apr 26
Cache
ALLI 16 14 WILD
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
Open Score N75 Diff
ALLI
WILD
Overall Rating
ALLI
WILD
Days With Lineup Diff
ALLI
WILD
Elo Diff
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Cache
Alliance
no data
Wildcard
no data
Recent Results last 11 matches
Alliance
Wildcard
L 1-2 vs 9z NukeInfernoAncient Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-1 vs Nemesis NukeInfernoAncient Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-0 vs 9z Dust2Inferno Jul 4 40d ago
W 1-0 vs B8 Ancient Jul 3 41d ago
W 1-0 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Ancient Jul 2 42d ago
L 0-1 vs PARIVISION Ancient Jul 1 43d ago
W 2-0 vs BASEMENT BOYS NukeInferno Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-1 vs Nexus OverpassDust2Ancient Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-1 vs fnatic AnubisDust2Ancient Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-1 vs Metizport NukeAnubisInferno Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-0 vs SAAB InfernoNuke Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-2 vs K27 MirageDust2 Jul 16 28d ago
L 0-2 vs Gentle Mates InfernoNuke Jul 15 29d ago
W 2-1 vs FOKUS InfernoDust2Nuke May 24 81d ago
W 2-0 vs Acend InfernoDust2 May 23 82d ago
W 2-0 vs FOKUS InfernoDust2 May 23 82d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle Dust2MirageNuke May 22 83d ago
L 0-2 vs Voca Dust2Overpass May 3 102d ago
L 0-2 vs M80 Dust2Inferno May 3 102d ago
W 2-0 vs Voca Dust2Overpass May 1 104d ago
W 2-0 vs FarmVille Dust2Mirage Apr 29 106d ago
W 2-1 vs Passion UA InfernoNukeDust2 Apr 26 109d ago
Player Matchups
Alliance
Ratings
Wildcard
ER
eraa
AWPADR 77.6KAST 75%
1.14 vs 1.22
NE
nEMANHA
RiflerADR 86.9KAST 76%
AV
avid
EntryADR 76.3KAST 74%
1.12 vs 1.19
MH
mhL
AWPADR 80.9KAST 77%
BO
bobeksde
RiflerADR 81.6KAST 70%
1.10 vs 1.17
HE
HexT
EntryADR 72.2KAST 77%
TW
twist
RiflerADR 75.3KAST 74%
1.05 vs 1.13
RE
reck
RiflerADR 71.0KAST 77%
UP
upE
RiflerADR 67.7KAST 72%
1.02 vs 1.00
CX
Cxzi
RiflerADR 69.0KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Anubis
ALLI 13 6 WILD
86%
14%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
Opening Kills
ALLI
WILD
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Anubis
Alliance
13-4 vs fnatic Jun 14
5-13 vs Metizport Jun 14
9-13 vs Nexus Jun 13
13-16 vs Sharks May 29
13-8 vs 3DMAX May 28
Wildcard
8-13 vs AaB Mar 23
Mirage
ALLI 9 13 WILD
38%
62%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ban Rate
ALLI
WILD
Round Win Rate
ALLI
WILD
After First Death
ALLI
WILD
Map Player Rating
ALLI
WILD
Map Win Rate
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Mirage
Alliance
5-13 vs ENCE Feb 11
10-13 vs SINNERS Feb 10
Wildcard
8-13 vs K27 Jul 16
13-10 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-7 vs FarmVille Apr 29
13-8 vs Fisher College Apr 26
13-6 vs FRZ Apr 25
Cache
ALLI 16 14 WILD
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WILD
Open Score N75 Diff
ALLI
WILD
Overall Rating
ALLI
WILD
Days With Lineup Diff
ALLI
WILD
Elo Diff
ALLI
WILD
Recent on Cache
Alliance
no data
Wildcard
no data
More from BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 3 matches