Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 1
· 2026-07-14
HOTU
✗
vs
fnatic
92%
8%
Series win probability
HOTU
2–0
62%
HOTU
2–1
30%
FNAT
2–1
4%
FNAT
2–0
4%
Actual result
Ancient
13–0
FNAT
Dust2
13–3
FNAT
Model Insights
HOTU is strongly favored at 92%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#36 vs #58), a strong dust2 (88% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
38%
Dust2 · Cache · Ancient
Scenario 2
34%
Dust2 · Cache · Anubis
Scenario 3
27%
Dust2 · Cache · Mirage
Dust2
HOTU
13
–
7
FNAT
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 6%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
Map Win Rate
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
T 5v4
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Dust2
HOTU
16-13
vs Entropy
Jul 13
13-2
vs BRUTE
Jul 12
4-13
vs GenOne
Jun 18
19-17
vs KOLESIE
Jun 14
16-12
vs Rune Eaters
May 31
fnatic
5-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-11
vs Misa
Jul 12
19-17
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-10
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Cache
HOTU
13
–
10
FNAT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
T 5v4
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
After First Death
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Cache
HOTU
13-8
vs QUAZAR
Jul 14
26-28
vs Entropy
Jul 13
13-6
vs BRUTE
Jul 12
fnatic
13-9
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
16-19
vs Misa
Jul 12
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
Ancient
HOTU
13
–
8
FNAT
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
HOTU
FNAT
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
Opening Kills
HOTU
FNAT
Multi-Kills
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Ancient
HOTU
13-3
vs Vexar
Jul 12
8-13
vs TDK
Jun 16
13-7
vs Rune Eaters
May 31
13-9
vs DEPO
May 30
13-8
vs Rune Eaters
May 29
fnatic
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-4
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
6-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
Dust2
HOTU
13
–
7
FNAT
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 6%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
Map Win Rate
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
T 5v4
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Dust2
HOTU
16-13
vs Entropy
Jul 13
13-2
vs BRUTE
Jul 12
4-13
vs GenOne
Jun 18
19-17
vs KOLESIE
Jun 14
16-12
vs Rune Eaters
May 31
fnatic
5-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-11
vs Misa
Jul 12
19-17
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-10
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Cache
HOTU
13
–
10
FNAT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
T 5v4
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
After First Death
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Cache
HOTU
13-8
vs QUAZAR
Jul 14
26-28
vs Entropy
Jul 13
13-6
vs BRUTE
Jul 12
fnatic
13-9
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
16-19
vs Misa
Jul 12
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
Anubis
HOTU
13
–
6
FNAT
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
After First Death
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Round Win Rate
HOTU
FNAT
Opening Kills
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Anubis
HOTU
13-9
vs QUAZAR
Jul 14
13-3
vs PCIFIC
May 29
fnatic
13-11
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-8
vs Misa
Jul 12
4-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-2
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
13-5
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 13
Dust2
HOTU
13
–
7
FNAT
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 6%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
Map Win Rate
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
T 5v4
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Dust2
HOTU
16-13
vs Entropy
Jul 13
13-2
vs BRUTE
Jul 12
4-13
vs GenOne
Jun 18
19-17
vs KOLESIE
Jun 14
16-12
vs Rune Eaters
May 31
fnatic
5-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-11
vs Misa
Jul 12
19-17
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-10
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Cache
HOTU
13
–
10
FNAT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
T 5v4
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
After First Death
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Cache
HOTU
13-8
vs QUAZAR
Jul 14
26-28
vs Entropy
Jul 13
13-6
vs BRUTE
Jul 12
fnatic
13-9
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
16-19
vs Misa
Jul 12
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
Mirage
HOTU
13
–
5
FNAT
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
After First Death
HOTU
FNAT
Round Win Rate
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Mirage
HOTU
13-9
vs Entropy
Jul 13
13-0
vs Vexar
Jul 12
fnatic
6-13
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-3
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
13-11
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Recent Results
last 11 matches
HOTU
fnatic
W
2-1
vs Entropy
CacheDust2Mirage
Jul 13
31d ago
W
2-0
vs Vexar
AncientMirage
Jul 12
32d ago
W
2-0
vs BRUTE
Dust2Cache
Jul 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs GenOne
Dust2Overpass
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs TDK
OverpassAncient
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-0
vs KOLESIE
NukeDust2
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs Rune Eaters
Dust2Nuke
May 31
74d ago
W
2-1
vs Rune Eaters
Dust2NukeAncient
May 31
74d ago
W
2-1
vs DEPO
Dust2OverpassAncient
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs PCIFIC
AnubisDust2
May 29
76d ago
W
2-1
vs Rune Eaters
Dust2NukeAncient
May 29
76d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
Dust2Ancient
Jul 13
31d ago
W
2-1
vs Misa
Dust2CacheAnubis
Jul 12
32d ago
W
2-0
vs The Last Resort
AncientCache
Jul 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs Metizport
OverpassMirage
Jun 14
60d ago
L
1-2
vs Alliance
AnubisDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs Minkens finest
MirageAnubis
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-0
vs aimclub
Dust2Mirage
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-0
vs BASEMENT BOYS
AnubisInferno
Jun 13
61d ago
Player Matchups
HOTU
Ratings
fnatic
MI
mizu
EntryADR 82.8KAST 72%
JA
jambo
AWPADR 79.2KAST 75%
DW
dwushka
RiflerADR 79.1KAST 72%
JA
jackasmo
RiflerADR 82.2KAST 75%
N0
n0rb3r7
RiflerADR 78.5KAST 70%
CA
cairne
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 73%
FR
frontales
AWPADR 68.1KAST 73%
MA
mazay
EntryADR 78.3KAST 70%
KA
kade0
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 71%
FE
fEAR
RiflerADR 70.7KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
HOTU
13
–
6
FNAT
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
After First Death
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Round Win Rate
HOTU
FNAT
Opening Kills
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Anubis
HOTU
13-9
vs QUAZAR
Jul 14
13-3
vs PCIFIC
May 29
fnatic
13-11
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-8
vs Misa
Jul 12
4-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-2
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
13-5
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 13
Inferno
HOTU
5
–
13
FNAT
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
After First Death
HOTU
FNAT
Ban Rate
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
Opening Kills
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Inferno
HOTU
no data
fnatic
13-5
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 13
Mirage
HOTU
13
–
5
FNAT
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
FNAT
After First Death
HOTU
FNAT
Round Win Rate
HOTU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
HOTU
FNAT
Ranking
HOTU
FNAT
Recent on Mirage
HOTU
13-9
vs Entropy
Jul 13
13-0
vs Vexar
Jul 12
fnatic
6-13
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-3
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
13-11
vs aimclub
Jun 13
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 1
2 matches