Project Leggy
Back
Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 1 · 2026-07-14
QUAZAR
vs
HOTU
12%
88%
Series win probability
HOTU 2–0 65%
HOTU 2–1 23%
QUAZ 2–1 9%
QUAZ 2–0 3%
Actual result
Anubis 13–9 HOTU
Cache 13–8 HOTU
Model Insights
HOTU is strongly favored at 88%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#38 vs #123), a strong nuke (83% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 35% Nuke · Dust2 · Cache
Scenario 2 34% Nuke · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 3 31% Nuke · Dust2 · Mirage
Nuke
QUAZ 7 13 HOTU
17%
83%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
Multi-Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Nuke
QUAZAR
5-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 13
13-7 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 13
6-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 12
13-8 vs Misa Jul 12
13-8 vs Falcons Force Jun 3
HOTU
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 14
13-6 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-7 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-8 vs Rune Eaters May 29
13-16 vs Tricked May 21
Dust2
QUAZ 10 13 HOTU
32%
68%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
Map Player Rating
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Dust2
QUAZAR
4-13 vs Fire Flux Jun 21
13-11 vs ReThink Jun 20
13-6 vs ReThink Jun 5
HOTU
16-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
13-2 vs BRUTE Jul 12
4-13 vs GenOne Jun 18
19-17 vs KOLESIE Jun 14
16-12 vs Rune Eaters May 31
Cache
QUAZ 10 13 HOTU
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
Round Win Rate
QUAZ
HOTU
Map Player Rating
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Cache
QUAZAR
13-4 vs The Last Resort Jul 13
11-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 12
HOTU
26-28 vs Entropy Jul 13
13-6 vs BRUTE Jul 12
Nuke
QUAZ 7 13 HOTU
17%
83%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
Multi-Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Nuke
QUAZAR
5-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 13
13-7 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 13
6-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 12
13-8 vs Misa Jul 12
13-8 vs Falcons Force Jun 3
HOTU
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 14
13-6 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-7 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-8 vs Rune Eaters May 29
13-16 vs Tricked May 21
Dust2
QUAZ 10 13 HOTU
32%
68%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
Map Player Rating
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Dust2
QUAZAR
4-13 vs Fire Flux Jun 21
13-11 vs ReThink Jun 20
13-6 vs ReThink Jun 5
HOTU
16-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
13-2 vs BRUTE Jul 12
4-13 vs GenOne Jun 18
19-17 vs KOLESIE Jun 14
16-12 vs Rune Eaters May 31
Anubis
QUAZ 5 13 HOTU
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
Map Player Rating
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Anubis
QUAZAR
13-10 vs The Last Resort Jul 13
13-16 vs Misa Jul 12
13-11 vs Fire Flux Jun 21
13-10 vs ReThink Jun 20
13-9 vs eternal premium Jun 1
HOTU
13-3 vs PCIFIC May 29
Nuke
QUAZ 7 13 HOTU
17%
83%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
Multi-Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Nuke
QUAZAR
5-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 13
13-7 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 13
6-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 12
13-8 vs Misa Jul 12
13-8 vs Falcons Force Jun 3
HOTU
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 14
13-6 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-7 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-8 vs Rune Eaters May 29
13-16 vs Tricked May 21
Dust2
QUAZ 10 13 HOTU
32%
68%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
Map Player Rating
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Dust2
QUAZAR
4-13 vs Fire Flux Jun 21
13-11 vs ReThink Jun 20
13-6 vs ReThink Jun 5
HOTU
16-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
13-2 vs BRUTE Jul 12
4-13 vs GenOne Jun 18
19-17 vs KOLESIE Jun 14
16-12 vs Rune Eaters May 31
Mirage
QUAZ 8 13 HOTU
15%
85%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
Map Player Rating
QUAZ
HOTU
Round Win Rate
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Mirage
QUAZAR
13-7 vs Misa Jul 12
13-3 vs Fire Flux Jun 21
13-9 vs ReThink Jun 5
HOTU
13-9 vs Entropy Jul 13
13-0 vs Vexar Jul 12
Recent Results last 11 matches
QUAZAR
HOTU
W 2-1 vs The Last Resort AnubisNukeCache Jul 13 31d ago
W 2-0 vs Bushido Wildcats NukeInferno Jul 13 31d ago
L 0-2 vs The Last Resort CacheNuke Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-1 vs Misa AnubisMirageNuke Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-1 vs Fire Flux Dust2MirageAnubis Jun 21 53d ago
W 2-0 vs ReThink Dust2Anubis Jun 20 54d ago
W 2-0 vs ReThink Dust2Mirage Jun 5 69d ago
W 2-0 vs Falcons Force InfernoNuke Jun 3 71d ago
W 2-0 vs eternal premium NukeAnubis Jun 1 73d ago
W 2-1 vs Entropy CacheDust2Mirage Jul 13 31d ago
W 2-0 vs Vexar AncientMirage Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs BRUTE Dust2Cache Jul 12 32d ago
L 0-2 vs GenOne Dust2Overpass Jun 18 56d ago
L 0-2 vs TDK OverpassAncient Jun 16 58d ago
W 2-0 vs KOLESIE NukeDust2 Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-0 vs Rune Eaters Dust2Nuke May 31 74d ago
W 2-1 vs Rune Eaters Dust2NukeAncient May 31 74d ago
W 2-1 vs DEPO Dust2OverpassAncient May 30 75d ago
W 2-0 vs PCIFIC AnubisDust2 May 29 76d ago
W 2-1 vs Rune Eaters Dust2NukeAncient May 29 76d ago
Player Matchups
QUAZAR
Ratings
HOTU
NE
Ne1XXX
RiflerADR 80.2KAST 78%
1.23 vs 1.24
MI
mizu
EntryADR 82.5KAST 72%
GE
gehji
EntryADR 75.6KAST 74%
1.15 vs 1.12
DW
dwushka
RiflerADR 78.6KAST 72%
PO
Porya
RiflerADR 74.9KAST 76%
1.09 vs 1.09
FR
frontales
AWPADR 68.0KAST 73%
KA
kaiori
AWPADR 76.8KAST 73%
1.09 vs 1.08
N0
n0rb3r7
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 70%
NE
newt
RiflerADR 71.6KAST 73%
1.07 vs 1.06
KA
kade0
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
QUAZ 3 13 HOTU
2%
98%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
Ban Rate
QUAZ
HOTU
Map Player Rating
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Ancient
QUAZAR
no data
HOTU
13-3 vs Vexar Jul 12
8-13 vs TDK Jun 16
13-7 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-9 vs DEPO May 30
13-8 vs Rune Eaters May 29
Anubis
QUAZ 5 13 HOTU
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
Map Player Rating
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Anubis
QUAZAR
13-10 vs The Last Resort Jul 13
13-16 vs Misa Jul 12
13-11 vs Fire Flux Jun 21
13-10 vs ReThink Jun 20
13-9 vs eternal premium Jun 1
HOTU
13-3 vs PCIFIC May 29
Mirage
QUAZ 8 13 HOTU
15%
85%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
Map Player Rating
QUAZ
HOTU
Round Win Rate
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Mirage
QUAZAR
13-7 vs Misa Jul 12
13-3 vs Fire Flux Jun 21
13-9 vs ReThink Jun 5
HOTU
13-9 vs Entropy Jul 13
13-0 vs Vexar Jul 12
Inferno
QUAZ 13 8 HOTU
74%
26%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
QUAZ
HOTU
After First Death
QUAZ
HOTU
Ranking
QUAZ
HOTU
Round Win Rate
QUAZ
HOTU
Opening Kills
QUAZ
HOTU
Recent on Inferno
QUAZAR
13-6 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 13
16-14 vs Falcons Force Jun 3
HOTU
no data
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 1 2 matches