Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 1
· 2026-07-12
MOUZ NXT
✓
vs
Noir Verse
74%
26%
Series win probability
MN
2–0
42%
MN
2–1
32%
NV
2–1
14%
NV
2–0
12%
Actual result
Anubis
13–9
NV
Ancient
13–8
MN
Cache
13–11
MN
Model Insights
MOUZ NXT is strongly favored at 74%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#116 vs #159), a strong ancient (75% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
40%
Mirage · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2
38%
Mirage · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3
22%
Mirage · Nuke · Cache
Mirage
MN
13
–
10
NV
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MN
NV
After First Death
MN
NV
Ranking
MN
NV
Map Player Rating
MN
NV
Overall Rating
MN
NV
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
13-8
vs TDK
May 14
14-16
vs Lavked
May 12
8-13
vs Tricked
May 10
4-13
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-5
vs AM
May 8
Noir Verse
3-13
vs Nexus
Jun 14
14-16
vs EAC
Jun 13
13-5
vs atputies
Jun 13
13-2
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-6
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Nuke
MN
13
–
11
NV
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
NV
After First Death
MN
NV
Ranking
MN
NV
Round Win Rate
MN
NV
Map Player Rating
MN
NV
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
11-13
vs Lavked
May 12
13-11
vs AM
May 8
1-13
vs Ursa
May 4
23-25
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
Noir Verse
7-13
vs FOKUS
Jun 18
13-6
vs EAC
Jun 13
13-7
vs atputies
Jun 13
13-5
vs aimclub
Jun 13
19-17
vs WROTBERRY
Jun 7
Ancient
MN
13
–
9
NV
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
MN
NV
Ranking
MN
NV
Opening Kills
MN
NV
Multi-Kills
MN
NV
Overall Rating
MN
NV
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ NXT
13-11
vs UNiTY
May 9
7-13
vs Lavked
May 7
13-9
vs UNiTY
Apr 27
20-22
vs Acend
Apr 22
7-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
Noir Verse
10-13
vs EAC
Jun 13
5-13
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-11
vs WROTBERRY
Jun 7
Mirage
MN
13
–
10
NV
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MN
NV
After First Death
MN
NV
Ranking
MN
NV
Map Player Rating
MN
NV
Overall Rating
MN
NV
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
13-8
vs TDK
May 14
14-16
vs Lavked
May 12
8-13
vs Tricked
May 10
4-13
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-5
vs AM
May 8
Noir Verse
3-13
vs Nexus
Jun 14
14-16
vs EAC
Jun 13
13-5
vs atputies
Jun 13
13-2
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-6
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Nuke
MN
13
–
11
NV
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
NV
After First Death
MN
NV
Ranking
MN
NV
Round Win Rate
MN
NV
Map Player Rating
MN
NV
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
11-13
vs Lavked
May 12
13-11
vs AM
May 8
1-13
vs Ursa
May 4
23-25
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
Noir Verse
7-13
vs FOKUS
Jun 18
13-6
vs EAC
Jun 13
13-7
vs atputies
Jun 13
13-5
vs aimclub
Jun 13
19-17
vs WROTBERRY
Jun 7
Dust2
MN
13
–
8
NV
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
MN
NV
Opening Kills
MN
NV
Round Win Rate
MN
NV
After First Death
MN
NV
Opening Score
MN
NV
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ NXT
1-13
vs TDK
May 14
13-2
vs Lavked
May 12
4-13
vs INOX Division
May 11
13-11
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-11
vs Lavked
May 7
Noir Verse
13-11
vs Entropy
Jun 13
6-13
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Mirage
MN
13
–
10
NV
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MN
NV
After First Death
MN
NV
Ranking
MN
NV
Map Player Rating
MN
NV
Overall Rating
MN
NV
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
13-8
vs TDK
May 14
14-16
vs Lavked
May 12
8-13
vs Tricked
May 10
4-13
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-5
vs AM
May 8
Noir Verse
3-13
vs Nexus
Jun 14
14-16
vs EAC
Jun 13
13-5
vs atputies
Jun 13
13-2
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-6
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Nuke
MN
13
–
11
NV
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
NV
After First Death
MN
NV
Ranking
MN
NV
Round Win Rate
MN
NV
Map Player Rating
MN
NV
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
11-13
vs Lavked
May 12
13-11
vs AM
May 8
1-13
vs Ursa
May 4
23-25
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
Noir Verse
7-13
vs FOKUS
Jun 18
13-6
vs EAC
Jun 13
13-7
vs atputies
Jun 13
13-5
vs aimclub
Jun 13
19-17
vs WROTBERRY
Jun 7
Cache
MN
13
–
10
NV
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
MN
NV
Overall Rating
MN
NV
Opening Score
MN
NV
Open Score N75 Diff
MN
NV
Sniper Score
MN
NV
Recent on Cache
MOUZ NXT
no data
Noir Verse
no data
Recent Results
last 11 matches
MOUZ NXT
Noir Verse
L
1-2
vs TDK
MirageOverpassDust2
May 14
91d ago
L
1-2
vs Lavked
NukeDust2Mirage
May 12
93d ago
L
0-2
vs INOX Division
OverpassDust2
May 11
94d ago
L
0-2
vs Tricked
MirageOverpass
May 10
95d ago
W
2-1
vs UNiTY
MirageAncientDust2
May 9
96d ago
W
2-0
vs AM
MirageNuke
May 8
97d ago
L
1-2
vs Lavked
MirageDust2Ancient
May 7
98d ago
L
1-2
vs Ursa
Dust2MirageNuke
May 4
101d ago
L
1-2
vs UNiTY
AncientMirageDust2
Apr 27
108d ago
L
0-2
vs Acend
MirageAncient
Apr 22
113d ago
L
1-2
vs CYBERSHOKE
MirageAncientNuke
Apr 20
115d ago
L
0-2
vs FOKUS
InfernoNuke
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs Nexus
MirageOverpass
Jun 14
60d ago
L
1-2
vs EAC
AncientNukeMirage
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-0
vs atputies
NukeMirage
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-1
vs Entropy
Dust2AncientMirage
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-1
vs aimclub
Dust2MirageNuke
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-0
vs WROTBERRY
NukeAncient
Jun 7
67d ago
Player Matchups
MOUZ NXT
Ratings
Noir Verse
NI
Nikodeon
EntryADR 75.7KAST 70%
XE
xeNji
AWPADR 77.6KAST 76%
OP
opdust
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 67%
SA
Santuriano
RiflerADR 75.1KAST 74%
AY
ay0k
AWPADR 64.5KAST 68%
FO
fostar
EntryADR 79.0KAST 73%
ES
eSx
Rifler
NA
Naginat
RiflerADR 74.9KAST 66%
MI
mixer
Rifler
KI
kirxttu
RiflerADR 65.4KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
MN
13
–
5
NV
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
MN
NV
After First Kill
MN
NV
Ranking
MN
NV
Map Player Rating
MN
NV
T 5v4
MN
NV
Recent on Anubis
MOUZ NXT
no data
Noir Verse
no data
Inferno
MN
8
–
13
NV
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
NV
After First Death
MN
NV
Ranking
MN
NV
Map Player Rating
MN
NV
Opening Kills
MN
NV
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ NXT
no data
Noir Verse
4-13
vs FOKUS
Jun 18
Dust2
MN
13
–
8
NV
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
MN
NV
Opening Kills
MN
NV
Round Win Rate
MN
NV
After First Death
MN
NV
Opening Score
MN
NV
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ NXT
1-13
vs TDK
May 14
13-2
vs Lavked
May 12
4-13
vs INOX Division
May 11
13-11
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-11
vs Lavked
May 7
Noir Verse
13-11
vs Entropy
Jun 13
6-13
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Cache
MN
13
–
10
NV
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MN
NV
Overall Rating
MN
NV
Opening Score
MN
NV
Open Score N75 Diff
MN
NV
Sniper Score
MN
NV
Recent on Cache
MOUZ NXT
no data
Noir Verse
no data
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 1
7 matches