Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 1
· 2026-07-12
Bushido Wildcats
✓
vs
MOUZ NXT
57%
43%
Series win probability
BW
2–0
30%
BW
2–1
28%
MN
2–1
22%
MN
2–0
20%
Actual result
Dust2
13–3
BW
Nuke
13–11
MN
Mirage
13–5
BW
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Bushido Wildcats is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 0.96), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#151 vs #116), a strong dust2 (62% win probability). MOUZ NXT's best shot is cache where they hold a 59% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Dust2 · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 2
32%
Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 3
29%
Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Dust2
BW
13
–
8
MN
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
Round Win Rate
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
T 5v4
BW
MN
Recent on Dust2
Bushido Wildcats
10-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 5
13-8
vs Rebels
May 27
13-2
vs Dripmen
May 27
13-2
vs DONSTU
May 26
25-23
vs Hashiras
May 24
MOUZ NXT
1-13
vs TDK
May 14
13-2
vs Lavked
May 12
4-13
vs INOX Division
May 11
13-11
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-11
vs Lavked
May 7
Mirage
BW
13
–
10
MN
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Map Win Rate
BW
MN
Opening Kills
BW
MN
Recent on Mirage
Bushido Wildcats
9-13
vs Phantom
May 30
13-3
vs KOLESIE
May 26
13-11
vs Misa
May 24
13-6
vs Just Players
May 23
6-13
vs Rune Eaters
May 21
MOUZ NXT
13-8
vs TDK
May 14
14-16
vs Lavked
May 12
8-13
vs Tricked
May 10
4-13
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-5
vs AM
May 8
Cache
BW
10
–
13
MN
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BW
MN
Opening Score
BW
MN
Sniper Score
BW
MN
Overall Rating
BW
MN
Days With Lineup Diff
BW
MN
Recent on Cache
Bushido Wildcats
no data
MOUZ NXT
no data
Dust2
BW
13
–
8
MN
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
Round Win Rate
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
T 5v4
BW
MN
Recent on Dust2
Bushido Wildcats
10-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 5
13-8
vs Rebels
May 27
13-2
vs Dripmen
May 27
13-2
vs DONSTU
May 26
25-23
vs Hashiras
May 24
MOUZ NXT
1-13
vs TDK
May 14
13-2
vs Lavked
May 12
4-13
vs INOX Division
May 11
13-11
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-11
vs Lavked
May 7
Mirage
BW
13
–
10
MN
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Map Win Rate
BW
MN
Opening Kills
BW
MN
Recent on Mirage
Bushido Wildcats
9-13
vs Phantom
May 30
13-3
vs KOLESIE
May 26
13-11
vs Misa
May 24
13-6
vs Just Players
May 23
6-13
vs Rune Eaters
May 21
MOUZ NXT
13-8
vs TDK
May 14
14-16
vs Lavked
May 12
8-13
vs Tricked
May 10
4-13
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-5
vs AM
May 8
Nuke
BW
11
–
13
MN
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
Map Win Rate
BW
MN
Opening Score
BW
MN
Recent on Nuke
Bushido Wildcats
9-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 5
14-16
vs Phantom
May 30
14-16
vs KOLESIE
May 26
11-13
vs Hashiras
May 24
MOUZ NXT
11-13
vs Lavked
May 12
13-11
vs AM
May 8
1-13
vs Ursa
May 4
23-25
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
Dust2
BW
13
–
8
MN
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
Round Win Rate
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
T 5v4
BW
MN
Recent on Dust2
Bushido Wildcats
10-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 5
13-8
vs Rebels
May 27
13-2
vs Dripmen
May 27
13-2
vs DONSTU
May 26
25-23
vs Hashiras
May 24
MOUZ NXT
1-13
vs TDK
May 14
13-2
vs Lavked
May 12
4-13
vs INOX Division
May 11
13-11
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-11
vs Lavked
May 7
Mirage
BW
13
–
10
MN
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Map Win Rate
BW
MN
Opening Kills
BW
MN
Recent on Mirage
Bushido Wildcats
9-13
vs Phantom
May 30
13-3
vs KOLESIE
May 26
13-11
vs Misa
May 24
13-6
vs Just Players
May 23
6-13
vs Rune Eaters
May 21
MOUZ NXT
13-8
vs TDK
May 14
14-16
vs Lavked
May 12
8-13
vs Tricked
May 10
4-13
vs UNiTY
May 9
13-5
vs AM
May 8
Anubis
BW
13
–
9
MN
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
Opening Kills
BW
MN
T 5v4
BW
MN
Recent on Anubis
Bushido Wildcats
10-13
vs KOLESIE
May 26
13-10
vs DONSTU
May 26
14-16
vs Misa
May 24
MOUZ NXT
no data
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Bushido Wildcats
MOUZ NXT
L
0-2
vs ex-RUBY
Dust2Nuke
Jun 5
69d ago
W
2-0
vs HEROIC Academy
OverpassInferno
May 31
74d ago
L
0-2
vs Phantom
NukeMirage
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs Rebels
InfernoDust2
May 27
78d ago
L
1-2
vs Dripmen
InfernoDust2Overpass
May 27
78d ago
L
1-2
vs KOLESIE
NukeMirageAnubis
May 26
79d ago
W
2-0
vs DONSTU
Dust2Anubis
May 26
79d ago
W
2-1
vs Hashiras
Dust2NukeOverpass
May 24
81d ago
L
1-2
vs Misa
MirageAnubisDust2
May 24
81d ago
W
2-0
vs Just Players
Dust2Mirage
May 23
82d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
Dust2Overpass
May 22
83d ago
L
1-2
vs TDK
MirageOverpassDust2
May 14
91d ago
L
1-2
vs Lavked
NukeDust2Mirage
May 12
93d ago
L
0-2
vs INOX Division
OverpassDust2
May 11
94d ago
L
0-2
vs Tricked
MirageOverpass
May 10
95d ago
W
2-1
vs UNiTY
MirageAncientDust2
May 9
96d ago
W
2-0
vs AM
MirageNuke
May 8
97d ago
L
1-2
vs Lavked
MirageDust2Ancient
May 7
98d ago
L
1-2
vs Ursa
Dust2MirageNuke
May 4
101d ago
L
1-2
vs UNiTY
AncientMirageDust2
Apr 27
108d ago
L
0-2
vs Acend
MirageAncient
Apr 22
113d ago
L
1-2
vs CYBERSHOKE
MirageAncientNuke
Apr 20
115d ago
Player Matchups
Bushido Wildcats
Ratings
MOUZ NXT
DA
Darendeli
RiflerADR 81.3KAST 72%
NI
Nikodeon
EntryADR 75.7KAST 70%
VE
Vej
AWPADR 79.1KAST 72%
OP
opdust
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 67%
CA
cadnyx
EntryADR 77.4KAST 75%
AY
ay0k
AWPADR 64.5KAST 68%
MU
Muk0s
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 70%
ES
eSx
Rifler
CA
cacan
RiflerADR 62.8KAST 68%
MI
mixer
Rifler
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Ancient
BW
5
–
13
MN
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
After First Kill
BW
MN
Ban Rate
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
Recent on Ancient
Bushido Wildcats
no data
MOUZ NXT
13-11
vs UNiTY
May 9
7-13
vs Lavked
May 7
13-9
vs UNiTY
Apr 27
20-22
vs Acend
Apr 22
7-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
Inferno
BW
13
–
7
MN
80%
20%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
After First Kill
BW
MN
Ban Rate
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
Recent on Inferno
Bushido Wildcats
13-7
vs HEROIC Academy
May 31
13-4
vs Rebels
May 27
11-13
vs Dripmen
May 27
MOUZ NXT
no data
Anubis
BW
13
–
9
MN
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
Opening Kills
BW
MN
T 5v4
BW
MN
Recent on Anubis
Bushido Wildcats
10-13
vs KOLESIE
May 26
13-10
vs DONSTU
May 26
14-16
vs Misa
May 24
MOUZ NXT
no data
Nuke
BW
11
–
13
MN
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BW
MN
Map Player Rating
BW
MN
Ranking
BW
MN
Map Win Rate
BW
MN
Opening Score
BW
MN
Recent on Nuke
Bushido Wildcats
9-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 5
14-16
vs Phantom
May 30
14-16
vs KOLESIE
May 26
11-13
vs Hashiras
May 24
MOUZ NXT
11-13
vs Lavked
May 12
13-11
vs AM
May 8
1-13
vs Ursa
May 4
23-25
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 1
7 matches