Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 3
· 2026-07-16
Ninjas in Pyjamas
vs
Gentle Mates
✗
47%
53%
Series win probability
GM
2–0
30%
NIP
2–1
29%
GM
2–1
23%
NIP
2–0
18%
Actual result
Ancient
13–9
NIP
Nuke
13–6
NIP
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Gentle Mates is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#37 vs #29), a strong ancient (74% win probability). Ninjas in Pyjamas's best shot is nuke where they hold a 68% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Nuke · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 2
35%
Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 3
24%
Nuke · Ancient · Anubis
Nuke
NIP
13
–
10
GM
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
GM
After First Death
NIP
GM
Map Player Rating
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Opening Kills
NIP
GM
Recent on Nuke
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-8
vs K27
Jul 15
15-19
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
7-13
vs Luminosity
Jul 3
Gentle Mates
13-9
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
6-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
Inferno
NIP
8
–
13
GM
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
NIP
GM
After First Kill
NIP
GM
Opening Kills
NIP
GM
Map Win Rate
NIP
GM
Ranking
NIP
GM
Recent on Inferno
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-9
vs BIG
Jul 4
13-10
vs Luminosity
Jul 3
Gentle Mates
13-10
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
13-9
vs Acend
Jun 15
8-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
13-4
vs GenOne
May 30
13-9
vs WW
May 30
Ancient
NIP
8
–
13
GM
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
GM
After First Death
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Map Win Rate
NIP
GM
Ranking
NIP
GM
Recent on Ancient
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-8
vs K27
Jul 15
11-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
6-13
vs BIG
Jul 4
3-13
vs Alliance
Jul 2
Gentle Mates
25-21
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
16-14
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
9-13
vs Acend
Jun 15
34-32
vs Eternal Fire
May 30
13-7
vs GenOne
May 28
Nuke
NIP
13
–
10
GM
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
GM
After First Death
NIP
GM
Map Player Rating
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Opening Kills
NIP
GM
Recent on Nuke
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-8
vs K27
Jul 15
15-19
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
7-13
vs Luminosity
Jul 3
Gentle Mates
13-9
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
6-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
Ancient
NIP
8
–
13
GM
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
GM
After First Death
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Map Win Rate
NIP
GM
Ranking
NIP
GM
Recent on Ancient
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-8
vs K27
Jul 15
11-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
6-13
vs BIG
Jul 4
3-13
vs Alliance
Jul 2
Gentle Mates
25-21
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
16-14
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
9-13
vs Acend
Jun 15
34-32
vs Eternal Fire
May 30
13-7
vs GenOne
May 28
Mirage
NIP
13
–
8
GM
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
NIP
GM
After First Kill
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Map Win Rate
NIP
GM
T 5v4
NIP
GM
Recent on Mirage
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-3
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
13-7
vs Luminosity
Jul 3
Gentle Mates
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-6
vs Acend
Jun 15
13-6
vs WW
May 30
13-8
vs Eternal Fire
May 30
5-13
vs magic
May 12
Nuke
NIP
13
–
10
GM
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
GM
After First Death
NIP
GM
Map Player Rating
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Opening Kills
NIP
GM
Recent on Nuke
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-8
vs K27
Jul 15
15-19
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
7-13
vs Luminosity
Jul 3
Gentle Mates
13-9
vs Wildcard
Jul 15
6-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
Ancient
NIP
8
–
13
GM
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
GM
After First Death
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Map Win Rate
NIP
GM
Ranking
NIP
GM
Recent on Ancient
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-8
vs K27
Jul 15
11-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
6-13
vs BIG
Jul 4
3-13
vs Alliance
Jul 2
Gentle Mates
25-21
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
16-14
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
9-13
vs Acend
Jun 15
34-32
vs Eternal Fire
May 30
13-7
vs GenOne
May 28
Anubis
NIP
9
–
13
GM
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Map Player Rating
NIP
GM
Map Win Rate
NIP
GM
After First Death
NIP
GM
Recent on Anubis
Ninjas in Pyjamas
11-13
vs BIG
Jul 4
14-16
vs 3DMAX
Jul 1
Gentle Mates
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
13-9
vs Eternal Fire
May 29
10-13
vs GenOne
May 28
13-8
vs ALGO
May 27
13-9
vs 9INE
Apr 2
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Gentle Mates
W
2-0
vs K27
AncientNuke
Jul 15
29d ago
L
1-2
vs Virtus.pro
MirageNukeAncient
Jul 9
35d ago
L
1-2
vs BIG
AnubisInfernoAncient
Jul 4
40d ago
W
2-1
vs Luminosity
NukeInfernoMirage
Jul 3
41d ago
L
0-1
vs Alliance
Ancient
Jul 2
42d ago
L
0-1
vs 3DMAX
Anubis
Jul 1
43d ago
W
2-0
vs Wildcard
InfernoNuke
Jul 15
29d ago
L
1-2
vs ex-RUBY
AncientMirageNuke
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-0
vs KOLESIE
AncientNuke
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisNuke
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-1
vs Acend
MirageAncientInferno
Jun 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemesis
NukeInferno
May 31
74d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
InfernoNuke
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs WW
InfernoMirage
May 30
75d ago
W
2-1
vs Eternal Fire
MirageNukeAncient
May 30
75d ago
W
2-1
vs Eternal Fire
OverpassNukeAnubis
May 29
76d ago
W
2-1
vs GenOne
AnubisAncientInferno
May 28
77d ago
Player Matchups
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Ratings
Gentle Mates
N0
n0te
EntryADR 81.4KAST 72%
MO
mopoz
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 72%
ST
stavn
AWPADR 76.3KAST 73%
SA
sausol
AWPADR 74.3KAST 73%
SJ
sjuush
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 70%
AL
alex
EntryADR 73.5KAST 74%
XK
xKacpersky
RiflerADR 80.3KAST 72%
DA
dav1g
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 71%
SN
Snappi
RiflerADR 63.5KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Mirage
NIP
13
–
8
GM
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
NIP
GM
After First Kill
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Map Win Rate
NIP
GM
T 5v4
NIP
GM
Recent on Mirage
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-3
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
13-7
vs Luminosity
Jul 3
Gentle Mates
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-6
vs Acend
Jun 15
13-6
vs WW
May 30
13-8
vs Eternal Fire
May 30
5-13
vs magic
May 12
Anubis
NIP
9
–
13
GM
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
GM
Round Win Rate
NIP
GM
Map Player Rating
NIP
GM
Map Win Rate
NIP
GM
After First Death
NIP
GM
Recent on Anubis
Ninjas in Pyjamas
11-13
vs BIG
Jul 4
14-16
vs 3DMAX
Jul 1
Gentle Mates
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
13-9
vs Eternal Fire
May 29
10-13
vs GenOne
May 28
13-8
vs ALGO
May 27
13-9
vs 9INE
Apr 2
Cache
NIP
13
–
11
GM
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NIP
GM
Opening Score
NIP
GM
Sniper Score
NIP
GM
Elo Diff
NIP
GM
Overall Rating
NIP
GM
Recent on Cache
Ninjas in Pyjamas
no data
Gentle Mates
no data
More from Stake Ranked Episode 3
2 matches