Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 3
· 2026-07-16
K27
vs
Wildcard
✗
18%
82%
Series win probability
WILD
2–0
64%
WILD
2–1
18%
K27
2–1
15%
K27
2–0
4%
Actual result
Mirage
13–8
K27
Dust2
16–13
K27
Model Insights
Wildcard is strongly favored at 81%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.16 vs 1.05), a strong nuke (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
51%
Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 2
28%
Dust2 · Nuke · Cache
Scenario 3
21%
Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Dust2
K27
8
–
13
WILD
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Map Player Rating
K27
WILD
Experience
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
Recent on Dust2
K27
13-8
vs SHISHKA
Jun 19
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 16
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
4-13
vs WW
May 25
5-13
vs Falcons
May 9
Wildcard
10-13
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-9
vs Acend
May 23
13-8
vs FOKUS
May 23
11-13
vs Inner Circle
May 22
8-13
vs Voca
May 3
Mirage
K27
7
–
13
WILD
12%
88%
Win prob
OT 5%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Map Player Rating
K27
WILD
T 5v4
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
Recent on Mirage
K27
13-9
vs Echo
Jun 21
13-11
vs Acend
Jun 20
9-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 19
13-9
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
8-13
vs Virtus.pro
May 28
Wildcard
13-10
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-7
vs FarmVille
Apr 29
13-8
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
13-6
vs FRZ
Apr 25
26-28
vs PARIVISION
Apr 8
Nuke
K27
5
–
13
WILD
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
Map Player Rating
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Opening Kills
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
Recent on Nuke
K27
8-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 15
17-19
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 19
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 28
16-13
vs Oxuji
May 27
Wildcard
9-13
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 15
13-6
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-7
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-8
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
13-7
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
Dust2
K27
8
–
13
WILD
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Map Player Rating
K27
WILD
Experience
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
Recent on Dust2
K27
13-8
vs SHISHKA
Jun 19
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 16
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
4-13
vs WW
May 25
5-13
vs Falcons
May 9
Wildcard
10-13
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-9
vs Acend
May 23
13-8
vs FOKUS
May 23
11-13
vs Inner Circle
May 22
8-13
vs Voca
May 3
Nuke
K27
5
–
13
WILD
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
Map Player Rating
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Opening Kills
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
Recent on Nuke
K27
8-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 15
17-19
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 19
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 28
16-13
vs Oxuji
May 27
Wildcard
9-13
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 15
13-6
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-7
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-8
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
13-7
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
Cache
K27
16
–
14
WILD
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
K27
WILD
Overall Rating
K27
WILD
Opening Score
K27
WILD
Side Balance
K27
WILD
Days With Lineup Diff
K27
WILD
Recent on Cache
K27
no data
Wildcard
no data
Dust2
K27
8
–
13
WILD
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Map Player Rating
K27
WILD
Experience
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
Recent on Dust2
K27
13-8
vs SHISHKA
Jun 19
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 16
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
4-13
vs WW
May 25
5-13
vs Falcons
May 9
Wildcard
10-13
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-9
vs Acend
May 23
13-8
vs FOKUS
May 23
11-13
vs Inner Circle
May 22
8-13
vs Voca
May 3
Nuke
K27
5
–
13
WILD
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
Map Player Rating
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Opening Kills
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
Recent on Nuke
K27
8-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 15
17-19
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 19
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 28
16-13
vs Oxuji
May 27
Wildcard
9-13
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 15
13-6
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-7
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-8
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
13-7
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
Anubis
K27
13
–
10
WILD
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
Map Player Rating
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Overall Rating
K27
WILD
Recent on Anubis
K27
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
8-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 28
6-13
vs magic
Apr 3
7-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 26
Wildcard
8-13
vs AaB
Mar 23
Recent Results
last 11 matches
K27
Wildcard
L
0-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientNuke
Jul 15
29d ago
W
2-0
vs Echo
OverpassMirage
Jun 21
53d ago
W
2-0
vs Acend
MirageAncient
Jun 20
54d ago
L
1-2
vs Virtus.pro
NukeOverpassMirage
Jun 19
55d ago
W
2-0
vs SHISHKA
Dust2Ancient
Jun 19
55d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
MirageAnubisNuke
Jun 17
57d ago
W
2-0
vs 100 Thieves
Dust2Ancient
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
Dust2Anubis
Jun 14
60d ago
L
1-2
vs Virtus.pro
AncientMirageOverpass
May 28
77d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisNuke
May 28
77d ago
W
2-0
vs Oxuji
MirageNuke
May 27
78d ago
L
0-2
vs Gentle Mates
InfernoNuke
Jul 15
29d ago
W
2-1
vs FOKUS
InfernoDust2Nuke
May 24
81d ago
W
2-0
vs Acend
InfernoDust2
May 23
82d ago
W
2-0
vs FOKUS
InfernoDust2
May 23
82d ago
W
2-1
vs Inner Circle
Dust2MirageNuke
May 22
83d ago
L
0-2
vs Voca
Dust2Overpass
May 3
102d ago
L
0-2
vs M80
Dust2Inferno
May 3
102d ago
W
2-0
vs Voca
Dust2Overpass
May 1
104d ago
W
2-0
vs FarmVille
Dust2Mirage
Apr 29
106d ago
W
2-1
vs Passion UA
InfernoNukeDust2
Apr 26
109d ago
W
3-0
vs Fisher College
NukeMirageInferno
Apr 26
109d ago
Player Matchups
K27
Ratings
Wildcard
KA
kashl1d
AWPADR 66.4KAST 70%
NE
nEMANHA
RiflerADR 87.5KAST 76%
XE
xeedo
EntryADR 77.8KAST 73%
MH
mhL
AWPADR 80.6KAST 77%
QW
qw1nk1
RiflerADR 74.4KAST 74%
HE
HexT
EntryADR 73.8KAST 78%
X5
X5G7V
RiflerADR 70.6KAST 69%
RE
reck
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 78%
CL
clax
Rifler
CX
Cxzi
RiflerADR 69.8KAST 75%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
K27
6
–
13
WILD
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Ban Rate
K27
WILD
Opening Kills
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
Recent on Inferno
K27
no data
Wildcard
10-13
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 15
13-7
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-11
vs Acend
May 23
13-3
vs FOKUS
May 23
10-13
vs M80
May 3
Anubis
K27
13
–
10
WILD
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
WILD
Map Player Rating
K27
WILD
Ranking
K27
WILD
After First Death
K27
WILD
Overall Rating
K27
WILD
Recent on Anubis
K27
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
8-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 28
6-13
vs magic
Apr 3
7-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 26
Wildcard
8-13
vs AaB
Mar 23
Cache
K27
16
–
14
WILD
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
K27
WILD
Overall Rating
K27
WILD
Opening Score
K27
WILD
Side Balance
K27
WILD
Days With Lineup Diff
K27
WILD
Recent on Cache
K27
no data
Wildcard
no data
More from Stake Ranked Episode 3
2 matches