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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · 2026-07-09
METANOIA Wolves ✗
vs
MIBR Academy
67%
33%
Series win probability
MW 2–1 40%
MW 2–0 27%
MA 2–0 23%
MA 2–1 10%
Actual result
Ancient 19–17 MW
Nuke 13–6 MA
Cache 13–9 MA
Model Insights
METANOIA Wolves has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#226 vs #187), a strong cache (88% win probability). MIBR Academy's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 55% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 38% Dust2 · Nuke · Cache
Scenario 2 34% Dust2 · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 3 28% Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Dust2
MW 11 – 13 MA
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
MA
Round Win Rate
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Map Win Rate
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Recent on Dust2
METANOIA Wolves
4-13 vs paiN Jul 9
19-22 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
13-3 vs GUARA Jun 28
9-13 vs Keyd Stars May 22
13-9 vs R2 May 19
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Procyon Jun 30
16-12 vs Isurus Jun 24
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 22
9-13 vs Procyon May 19
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
Nuke
MW 14 – 16 MA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Opening Kills
MW
MA
Recent on Nuke
METANOIA Wolves
13-6 vs R2 May 19
11-13 vs Keyd Stars May 15
16-13 vs GUARA May 14
9-13 vs LP Apr 25
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-1 vs GUARA Jul 5
8-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-11 vs Procyon Jun 30
Cache
MW 13 – 7 MA
88%
12%
Win prob OT 5% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
MW
MA
After First Kill
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Opening Kills
MW
MA
Recent on Cache
METANOIA Wolves
11-13 vs GUARA Jun 28
MIBR Academy
no data
Dust2
MW 11 – 13 MA
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
MA
Round Win Rate
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Map Win Rate
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Recent on Dust2
METANOIA Wolves
4-13 vs paiN Jul 9
19-22 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
13-3 vs GUARA Jun 28
9-13 vs Keyd Stars May 22
13-9 vs R2 May 19
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Procyon Jun 30
16-12 vs Isurus Jun 24
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 22
9-13 vs Procyon May 19
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
Nuke
MW 14 – 16 MA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Opening Kills
MW
MA
Recent on Nuke
METANOIA Wolves
13-6 vs R2 May 19
11-13 vs Keyd Stars May 15
16-13 vs GUARA May 14
9-13 vs LP Apr 25
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-1 vs GUARA Jul 5
8-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-11 vs Procyon Jun 30
Ancient
MW 10 – 13 MA
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
MW
MA
After First Kill
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Multi-Kills
MW
MA
Recent on Ancient
METANOIA Wolves
2-13 vs Keyd Stars May 22
13-1 vs Keyd Stars May 15
13-4 vs BESTIA Academy May 13
4-13 vs VEXA May 13
7-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
11-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-10 vs Procyon Jun 30
8-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
8-13 vs ShindeN Jun 27
Dust2
MW 11 – 13 MA
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
MA
Round Win Rate
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Map Win Rate
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Recent on Dust2
METANOIA Wolves
4-13 vs paiN Jul 9
19-22 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
13-3 vs GUARA Jun 28
9-13 vs Keyd Stars May 22
13-9 vs R2 May 19
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Procyon Jun 30
16-12 vs Isurus Jun 24
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 22
9-13 vs Procyon May 19
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
Nuke
MW 14 – 16 MA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Opening Kills
MW
MA
Recent on Nuke
METANOIA Wolves
13-6 vs R2 May 19
11-13 vs Keyd Stars May 15
16-13 vs GUARA May 14
9-13 vs LP Apr 25
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-1 vs GUARA Jul 5
8-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-11 vs Procyon Jun 30
Inferno
MW 13 – 6 MA
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Ban Rate
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Recent on Inferno
METANOIA Wolves
4-13 vs paiN Jul 9
7-13 vs Yawara Jul 8
13-6 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
10-13 vs paiN Academy May 17
9-13 vs Vasco Apr 25
MIBR Academy
no data
Recent Results last 11 matches
METANOIA Wolves
MIBR Academy
L 0-2 vs Yawara InfernoAnubis Jul 8 36d ago
L 1-2 vs MAGICOS MirageInfernoDust2 Jul 3 41d ago
L 1-2 vs GUARA Dust2CacheMirage Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars Dust2Ancient May 22 83d ago
W 2-1 vs R2 Dust2OverpassNuke May 19 86d ago
L 1-2 vs paiN Academy Dust2InfernoAnubis May 17 88d ago
L 1-2 vs Keyd Stars AncientDust2Nuke May 15 90d ago
W 2-0 vs GUARA Dust2Nuke May 14 91d ago
W 2-0 vs BESTIA Academy Dust2Ancient May 13 92d ago
L 0-2 vs VEXA Dust2Ancient May 13 92d ago
L 0-2 vs Bounty Hunters AnubisAncient May 4 101d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars NukeAncient Jul 8 36d ago
L 1-2 vs Bounty Hunters MirageAnubisNuke Jul 7 37d ago
W 2-0 vs GUARA NukeMirage Jul 5 39d ago
L 1-2 vs VEXA AnubisNukeAncient Jul 4 40d ago
W 2-1 vs Procyon AncientDust2Nuke Jun 30 44d ago
L 1-2 vs Patins da Ferrari MirageNukeAncient Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs ShindeN OverpassAncient Jun 27 47d ago
W 2-0 vs Isurus AncientMirage Jun 26 48d ago
L 1-2 vs LP MirageAncientNuke Jun 25 49d ago
W 2-0 vs Isurus NukeDust2 Jun 24 50d ago
L 1-2 vs Bounty Hunters Dust2AncientMirage May 22 83d ago
Player Matchups
METANOIA Wolves
Ratings
MIBR Academy
AL
ALENNNCAR
AWPADR 72.0KAST 70%
1.07 vs 1.07
ST
stormzyn
EntryADR 76.6KAST 70%
SP
spinnie
RiflerADR 73.1KAST 67%
1.02 vs 1.07
LK
lkz
AWPADR 71.7KAST 73%
VZ
vzn
EntryADR 73.9KAST 67%
0.95 vs 0.95
FL
fl4sh
RiflerADR 72.0KAST 70%
NT
ntx
RiflerADR 63.4KAST 68%
0.91 vs 0.94
JE
Jerr1
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 71%
TH
Thuister
RiflerADR 66.2KAST 63%
0.84 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
MW 13 – 6 MA
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Ban Rate
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Recent on Inferno
METANOIA Wolves
4-13 vs paiN Jul 9
7-13 vs Yawara Jul 8
13-6 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
10-13 vs paiN Academy May 17
9-13 vs Vasco Apr 25
MIBR Academy
no data
Mirage
MW 7 – 13 MA
15%
85%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
MW
MA
Round Win Rate
MW
MA
Ban Rate
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
Map Win Rate
MW
MA
Recent on Mirage
METANOIA Wolves
6-13 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
8-13 vs GUARA Jun 28
MIBR Academy
13-10 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-7 vs GUARA Jul 5
10-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
13-5 vs Isurus Jun 26
13-11 vs LP Jun 25
Anubis
MW 8 – 13 MA
25%
75%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
MW
MA
Round Win Rate
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
After First Kill
MW
MA
Ranking
MW
MA
Recent on Anubis
METANOIA Wolves
8-13 vs Yawara Jul 8
6-13 vs paiN Academy May 17
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-11 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-9 vs R2 May 20
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
16-12 vs UNO MILLE Apr 16
Ancient
MW 10 – 13 MA
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MW
MA
After First Kill
MW
MA
Map Player Rating
MW
MA
After First Death
MW
MA
Multi-Kills
MW
MA
Recent on Ancient
METANOIA Wolves
2-13 vs Keyd Stars May 22
13-1 vs Keyd Stars May 15
13-4 vs BESTIA Academy May 13
4-13 vs VEXA May 13
7-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
11-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-10 vs Procyon Jun 30
8-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
8-13 vs ShindeN Jun 27
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 3 matches
Isurus over Fake do Biru 72% Keyd Stars over Yawara 85% UNO MILLE over paiN Academy 69%