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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · 2026-07-09
Yawara
vs
Keyd Stars ✓
15%
85%
Series win probability
KS 2–0 47%
KS 2–1 38%
YAWA 2–1 8%
YAWA 2–0 8%
Actual result
Mirage 13–7 KS
Ancient 13–4 YAWA
Anubis 13–9 KS
Model Insights
Keyd Stars is strongly favored at 85%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong ancient (86% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 57% Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 2 24% Mirage · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 3 19% Mirage · Ancient · Cache
Mirage
YAWA 14 – 16 KS
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
Map Player Rating
YAWA
KS
Opening Kills
YAWA
KS
Recent on Mirage
Yawara
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-3 vs Red Feet Jul 2
16-14 vs GameHunters Jun 30
13-5 vs Blitzkrieg Jun 28
5-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 26
Keyd Stars
13-8 vs GameHunters Jul 7
7-13 vs Fluxo Jun 27
13-5 vs Yawara Jun 26
Ancient
YAWA 6 – 13 KS
14%
86%
Win prob OT 5% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Round Win Rate
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
T 5v4
YAWA
KS
Recent on Ancient
Yawara
13-8 vs Red Feet Jul 2
5-13 vs GameHunters Jun 30
2-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 26
13-0 vs GameHunters Jun 25
12-16 vs Keyd Stars Jun 24
Keyd Stars
13-11 vs MIBR Academy Jul 9
14-16 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-9 vs GameHunters Jul 7
13-2 vs Yawara Jun 26
11-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
Dust2
YAWA 11 – 13 KS
37%
63%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Round Win Rate
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
Map Win Rate
YAWA
KS
Recent on Dust2
Yawara
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-10 vs GameHunters Jun 30
13-4 vs Blitzkrieg Jun 28
5-13 vs UNO MILLE May 30
12-16 vs Bounty Hunters May 23
Keyd Stars
no data
Mirage
YAWA 14 – 16 KS
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
Map Player Rating
YAWA
KS
Opening Kills
YAWA
KS
Recent on Mirage
Yawara
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-3 vs Red Feet Jul 2
16-14 vs GameHunters Jun 30
13-5 vs Blitzkrieg Jun 28
5-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 26
Keyd Stars
13-8 vs GameHunters Jul 7
7-13 vs Fluxo Jun 27
13-5 vs Yawara Jun 26
Ancient
YAWA 6 – 13 KS
14%
86%
Win prob OT 5% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Round Win Rate
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
T 5v4
YAWA
KS
Recent on Ancient
Yawara
13-8 vs Red Feet Jul 2
5-13 vs GameHunters Jun 30
2-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 26
13-0 vs GameHunters Jun 25
12-16 vs Keyd Stars Jun 24
Keyd Stars
13-11 vs MIBR Academy Jul 9
14-16 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-9 vs GameHunters Jul 7
13-2 vs Yawara Jun 26
11-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
Anubis
YAWA 5 – 13 KS
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Opening Kills
YAWA
KS
Map Player Rating
YAWA
KS
Recent on Anubis
Yawara
13-8 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 8
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 24
13-9 vs UNO MILLE May 30
6-13 vs VEXA May 11
5-13 vs Imperial Apr 27
Keyd Stars
13-11 vs Yawara Jun 24
Mirage
YAWA 14 – 16 KS
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
Map Player Rating
YAWA
KS
Opening Kills
YAWA
KS
Recent on Mirage
Yawara
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-3 vs Red Feet Jul 2
16-14 vs GameHunters Jun 30
13-5 vs Blitzkrieg Jun 28
5-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 26
Keyd Stars
13-8 vs GameHunters Jul 7
7-13 vs Fluxo Jun 27
13-5 vs Yawara Jun 26
Ancient
YAWA 6 – 13 KS
14%
86%
Win prob OT 5% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Round Win Rate
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
T 5v4
YAWA
KS
Recent on Ancient
Yawara
13-8 vs Red Feet Jul 2
5-13 vs GameHunters Jun 30
2-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 26
13-0 vs GameHunters Jun 25
12-16 vs Keyd Stars Jun 24
Keyd Stars
13-11 vs MIBR Academy Jul 9
14-16 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-9 vs GameHunters Jul 7
13-2 vs Yawara Jun 26
11-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
Cache
YAWA 5 – 13 KS
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Map Player Rating
YAWA
KS
Opening Kills
YAWA
KS
Recent on Cache
Yawara
no data
Keyd Stars
9-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
Recent Results last 11 matches
Yawara
Keyd Stars
W 2-0 vs METANOIA Wolves InfernoAnubis Jul 8 36d ago
L 0-2 vs Isurus Dust2Mirage Jul 7 37d ago
W 2-0 vs Red Feet MirageAncient Jul 2 42d ago
W 2-1 vs GameHunters AncientMirageDust2 Jun 30 44d ago
W 2-0 vs Blitzkrieg Dust2Mirage Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars AncientMirage Jun 26 48d ago
W 2-0 vs GameHunters AncientMirage Jun 25 49d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars AncientAnubis Jun 24 50d ago
W 3-1 vs UNO MILLE AncientOverpassDust2Anubis May 30 75d ago
L 0-2 vs Bounty Hunters AncientDust2 May 23 82d ago
L 1-2 vs LP Dust2InfernoAncient May 22 83d ago
L 0-2 vs Bounty Hunters AncientCache Jul 8 36d ago
W 2-1 vs GameHunters InfernoAncientMirage Jul 7 37d ago
L 0-2 vs Fluxo MirageNuke Jun 27 47d ago
W 2-0 vs Yawara AncientMirage Jun 26 48d ago
L 0-2 vs UNO MILLE AncientNuke Jun 25 49d ago
W 2-0 vs Yawara AncientAnubis Jun 24 50d ago
Player Matchups
Yawara
Ratings
Keyd Stars
R3
r3kt
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 76%
1.16 vs 1.10
CK
ckzao
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 74%
TE
tele
RiflerADR 81.6KAST 72%
1.14 vs 1.10
LA
lash
AWPADR 75.1KAST 74%
DE
deemO
EntryADR 72.6KAST 75%
1.07 vs 1.07
MA
matios
RiflerADR 77.4KAST 71%
J0
j0w
RiflerADR 74.4KAST 71%
1.01 vs 1.07
ZE
zede
EntryADR 75.0KAST 72%
ED
edv
AWPADR 63.7KAST 72%
0.99 vs 1.01
XU
xureba
RiflerADR 69.7KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
YAWA 11 – 13 KS
0%
100%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Ban Rate
YAWA
KS
Opening Kills
YAWA
KS
Map Player Rating
YAWA
KS
Recent on Nuke
Yawara
no data
Keyd Stars
13-9 vs MIBR Academy Jul 9
9-13 vs Fluxo Jun 27
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
Cache
YAWA 5 – 13 KS
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Map Player Rating
YAWA
KS
Opening Kills
YAWA
KS
Recent on Cache
Yawara
no data
Keyd Stars
9-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
Anubis
YAWA 5 – 13 KS
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Opening Kills
YAWA
KS
Map Player Rating
YAWA
KS
Recent on Anubis
Yawara
13-8 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 8
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 24
13-9 vs UNO MILLE May 30
6-13 vs VEXA May 11
5-13 vs Imperial Apr 27
Keyd Stars
13-11 vs Yawara Jun 24
Inferno
YAWA 13 – 6 KS
88%
12%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
YAWA
KS
After First Death
YAWA
KS
After First Kill
YAWA
KS
Map Player Rating
YAWA
KS
Opening Kills
YAWA
KS
Recent on Inferno
Yawara
13-7 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 8
8-13 vs LP May 22
13-8 vs UNO MILLE May 16
13-6 vs GUARA May 13
2-13 vs Imperial May 9
Keyd Stars
5-13 vs GameHunters Jul 7
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 3 matches
Isurus over Fake do Biru 72% UNO MILLE over paiN Academy 69% METANOIA Wolves over MIBR Academy 67%