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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · 2026-07-08
Keyd Stars ✓
vs
MIBR Academy
92%
8%
Series win probability
KS 2–0 67%
KS 2–1 25%
MA 2–1 5%
MA 2–0 2%
Actual result
Nuke 13–9 KS
Ancient 13–11 KS
Model Insights
Keyd Stars is strongly favored at 92%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.04 vs 1.01), a significant ranking advantage (#119 vs #188), a strong ancient (92% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 61% Ancient · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2 20% Ancient · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3 19% Ancient · Nuke · Dust2
Ancient
KS 13 – 5 MA
92%
8%
Win prob OT 3% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
Round Win Rate
KS
MA
Map Win Rate
KS
MA
Recent on Ancient
Keyd Stars
14-16 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-9 vs GameHunters Jul 7
13-2 vs Yawara Jun 26
11-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
16-12 vs Yawara Jun 24
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-10 vs Procyon Jun 30
8-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
8-13 vs ShindeN Jun 27
13-6 vs Isurus Jun 26
Nuke
KS 13 – 9 MA
67%
33%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Death
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
Experience
KS
MA
Recent on Nuke
Keyd Stars
9-13 vs Fluxo Jun 27
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-1 vs GUARA Jul 5
8-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-11 vs Procyon Jun 30
13-10 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
Mirage
KS 13 – 6 MA
90%
10%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Death
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
Round Win Rate
KS
MA
T 5v4
KS
MA
Recent on Mirage
Keyd Stars
13-8 vs GameHunters Jul 7
7-13 vs Fluxo Jun 27
13-5 vs Yawara Jun 26
MIBR Academy
13-10 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-7 vs GUARA Jul 5
10-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
13-5 vs Isurus Jun 26
13-11 vs LP Jun 25
Ancient
KS 13 – 5 MA
92%
8%
Win prob OT 3% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
Round Win Rate
KS
MA
Map Win Rate
KS
MA
Recent on Ancient
Keyd Stars
14-16 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-9 vs GameHunters Jul 7
13-2 vs Yawara Jun 26
11-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
16-12 vs Yawara Jun 24
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-10 vs Procyon Jun 30
8-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
8-13 vs ShindeN Jun 27
13-6 vs Isurus Jun 26
Nuke
KS 13 – 9 MA
67%
33%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Death
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
Experience
KS
MA
Recent on Nuke
Keyd Stars
9-13 vs Fluxo Jun 27
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-1 vs GUARA Jul 5
8-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-11 vs Procyon Jun 30
13-10 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
Anubis
KS 13 – 5 MA
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Death
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
T 5v4
KS
MA
Recent on Anubis
Keyd Stars
13-11 vs Yawara Jun 24
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-11 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-9 vs R2 May 20
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
16-12 vs UNO MILLE Apr 16
Ancient
KS 13 – 5 MA
92%
8%
Win prob OT 3% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
Round Win Rate
KS
MA
Map Win Rate
KS
MA
Recent on Ancient
Keyd Stars
14-16 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-9 vs GameHunters Jul 7
13-2 vs Yawara Jun 26
11-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
16-12 vs Yawara Jun 24
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-10 vs Procyon Jun 30
8-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
8-13 vs ShindeN Jun 27
13-6 vs Isurus Jun 26
Nuke
KS 13 – 9 MA
67%
33%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Death
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
Experience
KS
MA
Recent on Nuke
Keyd Stars
9-13 vs Fluxo Jun 27
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 25
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-1 vs GUARA Jul 5
8-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-11 vs Procyon Jun 30
13-10 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
Dust2
KS 13 – 9 MA
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
After First Death
KS
MA
Map Player Rating
KS
MA
Side Balance
KS
MA
Recent on Dust2
Keyd Stars
no data
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Procyon Jun 30
16-12 vs Isurus Jun 24
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 22
9-13 vs Procyon May 19
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
Recent Results last 11 matches
Keyd Stars
MIBR Academy
W 2-1 vs GameHunters InfernoAncientMirage Jul 7 37d ago
L 0-2 vs Fluxo MirageNuke Jun 27 47d ago
W 2-0 vs Yawara AncientMirage Jun 26 48d ago
L 0-2 vs UNO MILLE AncientNuke Jun 25 49d ago
W 2-0 vs Yawara AncientAnubis Jun 24 50d ago
W 2-0 vs GUARA NukeMirage Jul 5 39d ago
L 1-2 vs VEXA AnubisNukeAncient Jul 4 40d ago
W 2-1 vs Procyon AncientDust2Nuke Jun 30 44d ago
L 1-2 vs Patins da Ferrari MirageNukeAncient Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs ShindeN OverpassAncient Jun 27 47d ago
W 2-0 vs Isurus AncientMirage Jun 26 48d ago
L 1-2 vs LP MirageAncientNuke Jun 25 49d ago
W 2-0 vs Isurus NukeDust2 Jun 24 50d ago
L 1-2 vs Bounty Hunters Dust2AncientMirage May 22 83d ago
W 2-0 vs R2 NukeAnubis May 20 85d ago
L 1-2 vs Procyon MirageDust2Overpass May 19 86d ago
Player Matchups
Keyd Stars
Ratings
MIBR Academy
CK
ckzao
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 74%
1.10 vs 1.07
ST
stormzyn
EntryADR 76.6KAST 70%
MA
matios
EntryADR 77.7KAST 71%
1.08 vs 1.07
LK
lkz
AWPADR 71.7KAST 73%
LA
lash
AWPADR 74.6KAST 74%
1.08 vs 0.95
FL
fl4sh
RiflerADR 72.0KAST 70%
ZE
zede
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 72%
1.06 vs 0.94
JE
Jerr1
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 71%
XU
xureba
RiflerADR 69.8KAST 72%
1.01 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
KS 13 – 5 MA
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Death
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
T 5v4
KS
MA
Recent on Anubis
Keyd Stars
13-11 vs Yawara Jun 24
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
13-11 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-9 vs R2 May 20
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
16-12 vs UNO MILLE Apr 16
Inferno
KS 13 – 5 MA
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
Map Player Rating
KS
MA
Opening Kills
KS
MA
Recent on Inferno
Keyd Stars
5-13 vs GameHunters Jul 7
MIBR Academy
no data
Cache
KS 13 – 7 MA
90%
10%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
After First Death
KS
MA
After First Kill
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
Map Player Rating
KS
MA
Recent on Cache
Keyd Stars
9-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 8
MIBR Academy
no data
Dust2
KS 13 – 9 MA
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
KS
MA
Ranking
KS
MA
After First Death
KS
MA
Map Player Rating
KS
MA
Side Balance
KS
MA
Recent on Dust2
Keyd Stars
no data
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Procyon Jun 30
16-12 vs Isurus Jun 24
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 22
9-13 vs Procyon May 19
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 3 matches
UNO MILLE over Isurus 84% Fake do Biru over paiN Academy 81% Yawara over METANOIA Wolves 54%