Bo3 · Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2
· 2026-07-08
Yawara
✓
vs
METANOIA Wolves
54%
46%
Series win probability
YAWA
2–0
36%
MW
2–1
30%
YAWA
2–1
18%
MW
2–0
16%
Actual result
Inferno
13–7
YAWA
Anubis
13–8
YAWA
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Yawara is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 1.01), a significant ranking advantage (#123 vs #223), a strong dust2 (66% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
46%
Dust2 · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 2
30%
Dust2 · Inferno · Cache
Scenario 3
24%
Dust2 · Inferno · Anubis
Dust2
YAWA
13
–
10
MW
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
After First Death
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MW
Recent on Dust2
Yawara
7-13
vs Isurus
Jul 7
13-10
vs GameHunters
Jun 30
13-4
vs Blitzkrieg
Jun 28
5-13
vs UNO MILLE
May 30
12-16
vs Bounty Hunters
May 23
METANOIA Wolves
19-22
vs MAGICOS
Jul 3
13-3
vs GUARA
Jun 28
9-13
vs Keyd Stars
May 22
13-9
vs R2
May 19
13-5
vs paiN Academy
May 17
Inferno
YAWA
16
–
14
MW
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
T 5v4
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Recent on Inferno
Yawara
8-13
vs LP
May 22
13-8
vs UNO MILLE
May 16
13-6
vs GUARA
May 13
2-13
vs Imperial
May 9
9-13
vs Imperial
Apr 27
METANOIA Wolves
13-6
vs MAGICOS
Jul 3
10-13
vs paiN Academy
May 17
9-13
vs Vasco
Apr 25
Ancient
YAWA
13
–
10
MW
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
After First Death
YAWA
MW
Multi-Kills
YAWA
MW
Recent on Ancient
Yawara
13-8
vs Red Feet
Jul 2
5-13
vs GameHunters
Jun 30
2-13
vs Keyd Stars
Jun 26
13-0
vs GameHunters
Jun 25
12-16
vs Keyd Stars
Jun 24
METANOIA Wolves
2-13
vs Keyd Stars
May 22
13-1
vs Keyd Stars
May 15
13-4
vs BESTIA Academy
May 13
4-13
vs VEXA
May 13
7-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 4
Dust2
YAWA
13
–
10
MW
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
After First Death
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MW
Recent on Dust2
Yawara
7-13
vs Isurus
Jul 7
13-10
vs GameHunters
Jun 30
13-4
vs Blitzkrieg
Jun 28
5-13
vs UNO MILLE
May 30
12-16
vs Bounty Hunters
May 23
METANOIA Wolves
19-22
vs MAGICOS
Jul 3
13-3
vs GUARA
Jun 28
9-13
vs Keyd Stars
May 22
13-9
vs R2
May 19
13-5
vs paiN Academy
May 17
Inferno
YAWA
16
–
14
MW
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
T 5v4
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Recent on Inferno
Yawara
8-13
vs LP
May 22
13-8
vs UNO MILLE
May 16
13-6
vs GUARA
May 13
2-13
vs Imperial
May 9
9-13
vs Imperial
Apr 27
METANOIA Wolves
13-6
vs MAGICOS
Jul 3
10-13
vs paiN Academy
May 17
9-13
vs Vasco
Apr 25
Cache
YAWA
6
–
13
MW
14%
86%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Recent on Cache
Yawara
no data
METANOIA Wolves
11-13
vs GUARA
Jun 28
Dust2
YAWA
13
–
10
MW
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
After First Death
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MW
Recent on Dust2
Yawara
7-13
vs Isurus
Jul 7
13-10
vs GameHunters
Jun 30
13-4
vs Blitzkrieg
Jun 28
5-13
vs UNO MILLE
May 30
12-16
vs Bounty Hunters
May 23
METANOIA Wolves
19-22
vs MAGICOS
Jul 3
13-3
vs GUARA
Jun 28
9-13
vs Keyd Stars
May 22
13-9
vs R2
May 19
13-5
vs paiN Academy
May 17
Inferno
YAWA
16
–
14
MW
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
T 5v4
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Recent on Inferno
Yawara
8-13
vs LP
May 22
13-8
vs UNO MILLE
May 16
13-6
vs GUARA
May 13
2-13
vs Imperial
May 9
9-13
vs Imperial
Apr 27
METANOIA Wolves
13-6
vs MAGICOS
Jul 3
10-13
vs paiN Academy
May 17
9-13
vs Vasco
Apr 25
Anubis
YAWA
13
–
10
MW
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
Round Win Rate
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Recent on Anubis
Yawara
11-13
vs Keyd Stars
Jun 24
13-9
vs UNO MILLE
May 30
6-13
vs VEXA
May 11
5-13
vs Imperial
Apr 27
13-6
vs Imperial
Apr 26
METANOIA Wolves
6-13
vs paiN Academy
May 17
4-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 4
13-8
vs Keyd Stars
Apr 24
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Yawara
METANOIA Wolves
L
0-2
vs Isurus
Dust2Mirage
Jul 7
37d ago
W
2-0
vs Red Feet
MirageAncient
Jul 2
42d ago
W
2-1
vs GameHunters
AncientMirageDust2
Jun 30
44d ago
W
2-0
vs Blitzkrieg
Dust2Mirage
Jun 28
46d ago
L
0-2
vs Keyd Stars
AncientMirage
Jun 26
48d ago
W
2-0
vs GameHunters
AncientMirage
Jun 25
49d ago
L
0-2
vs Keyd Stars
AncientAnubis
Jun 24
50d ago
W
3-1
vs UNO MILLE
AncientOverpassDust2Anubis
May 30
75d ago
L
0-2
vs Bounty Hunters
AncientDust2
May 23
82d ago
L
1-2
vs LP
Dust2InfernoAncient
May 22
83d ago
W
2-0
vs BESTIA Academy
AncientDust2
May 21
84d ago
L
1-2
vs MAGICOS
MirageInfernoDust2
Jul 3
41d ago
L
1-2
vs GUARA
Dust2CacheMirage
Jun 28
46d ago
L
0-2
vs Keyd Stars
Dust2Ancient
May 22
83d ago
W
2-1
vs R2
Dust2OverpassNuke
May 19
86d ago
L
1-2
vs paiN Academy
Dust2InfernoAnubis
May 17
88d ago
L
1-2
vs Keyd Stars
AncientDust2Nuke
May 15
90d ago
W
2-0
vs GUARA
Dust2Nuke
May 14
91d ago
W
2-0
vs BESTIA Academy
Dust2Ancient
May 13
92d ago
L
0-2
vs VEXA
Dust2Ancient
May 13
92d ago
L
0-2
vs Bounty Hunters
AnubisAncient
May 4
101d ago
L
0-2
vs Vasco
Dust2Inferno
Apr 25
110d ago
Player Matchups
Yawara
Ratings
METANOIA Wolves
R3
r3kt
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 76%
AL
ALENNNCAR
AWPADR 73.2KAST 71%
TE
tele
RiflerADR 81.1KAST 72%
SP
spinnie
RiflerADR 74.1KAST 68%
DE
deemO
EntryADR 72.4KAST 75%
PR
protado
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 70%
J0
j0w
RiflerADR 74.3KAST 70%
VZ
vzn
EntryADR 75.7KAST 68%
ED
edv
AWPADR 63.9KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
YAWA
6
–
13
MW
6%
94%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
After First Death
YAWA
MW
Ban Rate
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MW
Recent on Nuke
Yawara
no data
METANOIA Wolves
13-6
vs R2
May 19
11-13
vs Keyd Stars
May 15
16-13
vs GUARA
May 14
9-13
vs LP
Apr 25
13-9
vs Keyd Stars
Apr 24
Mirage
YAWA
13
–
5
MW
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
Round Win Rate
YAWA
MW
Ban Rate
YAWA
MW
Recent on Mirage
Yawara
7-13
vs Isurus
Jul 7
13-3
vs Red Feet
Jul 2
16-14
vs GameHunters
Jun 30
13-5
vs Blitzkrieg
Jun 28
5-13
vs Keyd Stars
Jun 26
METANOIA Wolves
6-13
vs MAGICOS
Jul 3
8-13
vs GUARA
Jun 28
Cache
YAWA
6
–
13
MW
14%
86%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Recent on Cache
Yawara
no data
METANOIA Wolves
11-13
vs GUARA
Jun 28
Anubis
YAWA
13
–
10
MW
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MW
After First Kill
YAWA
MW
Ranking
YAWA
MW
Round Win Rate
YAWA
MW
Opening Kills
YAWA
MW
Recent on Anubis
Yawara
11-13
vs Keyd Stars
Jun 24
13-9
vs UNO MILLE
May 30
6-13
vs VEXA
May 11
5-13
vs Imperial
Apr 27
13-6
vs Imperial
Apr 26
METANOIA Wolves
6-13
vs paiN Academy
May 17
4-13
vs Bounty Hunters
May 4
13-8
vs Keyd Stars
Apr 24
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2
3 matches