Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 3 Closed Qualifier
· 2026-06-20
Phantom
vs
Walczaki
23%
77%
Series win probability
WALC
2–0
47%
WALC
2–1
31%
PHAN
2–1
13%
PHAN
2–0
10%
Model Insights
Walczaki is strongly favored at 77%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#40 vs #85), a strong ancient (70% win probability). Phantom's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 58% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
38%
Ancient · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 2
34%
Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 3
28%
Ancient · Dust2 · Anubis
Ancient
PHAN
8
–
13
WALC
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Player Rating
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Ancient
Phantom
16-14
vs JiJieHao
Jun 18
7-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 5
13-9
vs ex-Tricked
Jun 3
8-13
vs Leo
May 21
13-6
vs TNC
May 6
Walczaki
13-10
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 6
13-16
vs KOLESIE
Jun 4
13-8
vs Tricked
May 20
9-13
vs Nemiga
May 15
Nuke
PHAN
9
–
13
WALC
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
After First Death
PHAN
WALC
Multi-Kills
PHAN
WALC
T Side
PHAN
WALC
Map Player Rating
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Nuke
Phantom
16-14
vs Bushido Wildcats
May 30
14-16
vs Young Ninjas
May 29
11-13
vs TNC
May 28
9-13
vs Atreides
May 28
13-8
vs BRUTE
May 25
Walczaki
13-2
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
13-5
vs Oxuji
Jun 19
13-8
vs INOX Division
Jun 10
13-7
vs KOLESIE
Jun 4
9-13
vs Alliance
May 24
Dust2
PHAN
13
–
10
WALC
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Player Rating
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Dust2
Phantom
13-6
vs Acend
Jun 7
9-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 5
13-11
vs DragonClaw
Jun 1
13-4
vs TNC
May 28
10-13
vs Johnny Speeds
May 27
Walczaki
13-4
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 18
6-13
vs K27
Jun 14
11-13
vs INOX Division
Jun 10
8-13
vs TDK
Jun 6
Ancient
PHAN
8
–
13
WALC
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Player Rating
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Ancient
Phantom
16-14
vs JiJieHao
Jun 18
7-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 5
13-9
vs ex-Tricked
Jun 3
8-13
vs Leo
May 21
13-6
vs TNC
May 6
Walczaki
13-10
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 6
13-16
vs KOLESIE
Jun 4
13-8
vs Tricked
May 20
9-13
vs Nemiga
May 15
Dust2
PHAN
13
–
10
WALC
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Player Rating
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Dust2
Phantom
13-6
vs Acend
Jun 7
9-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 5
13-11
vs DragonClaw
Jun 1
13-4
vs TNC
May 28
10-13
vs Johnny Speeds
May 27
Walczaki
13-4
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 18
6-13
vs K27
Jun 14
11-13
vs INOX Division
Jun 10
8-13
vs TDK
Jun 6
Mirage
PHAN
7
–
13
WALC
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
PHAN
WALC
After First Death
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Mirage
Phantom
7-13
vs Acend
Jun 7
10-13
vs DragonClaw
Jun 1
13-9
vs Bushido Wildcats
May 30
8-13
vs Young Ninjas
May 29
2-13
vs TNC
May 28
Walczaki
13-8
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
13-10
vs Nemesis
May 18
13-3
vs SPARTA
May 16
13-8
vs BET-M
May 9
13-4
vs ex-RUBY
May 8
Ancient
PHAN
8
–
13
WALC
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Player Rating
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Ancient
Phantom
16-14
vs JiJieHao
Jun 18
7-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 5
13-9
vs ex-Tricked
Jun 3
8-13
vs Leo
May 21
13-6
vs TNC
May 6
Walczaki
13-10
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 6
13-16
vs KOLESIE
Jun 4
13-8
vs Tricked
May 20
9-13
vs Nemiga
May 15
Dust2
PHAN
13
–
10
WALC
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Player Rating
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Dust2
Phantom
13-6
vs Acend
Jun 7
9-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 5
13-11
vs DragonClaw
Jun 1
13-4
vs TNC
May 28
10-13
vs Johnny Speeds
May 27
Walczaki
13-4
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 18
6-13
vs K27
Jun 14
11-13
vs INOX Division
Jun 10
8-13
vs TDK
Jun 6
Anubis
PHAN
7
–
13
WALC
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Ban Rate
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Opening Kills
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Anubis
Phantom
13-16
vs fnatic
Apr 30
Walczaki
13-4
vs TDK
Jun 18
13-6
vs G2 Ares
Jun 15
6-13
vs K27
Jun 14
19-17
vs INOX Division
Jun 10
19-16
vs Sashi
May 23
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Phantom
Walczaki
W
2-0
vs JiJieHao
OverpassAncient
Jun 18
5d ago
W
2-1
vs Acend
Dust2MirageOverpass
Jun 7
16d ago
L
0-2
vs 100 Thieves
AncientDust2
Jun 5
18d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-Tricked
AncientOverpass
Jun 3
20d ago
W
2-1
vs DragonClaw
MirageDust2Overpass
Jun 1
22d ago
W
2-0
vs Bushido Wildcats
NukeMirage
May 30
24d ago
L
1-2
vs Young Ninjas
OverpassNukeMirage
May 29
25d ago
L
1-2
vs TNC
Dust2MirageNuke
May 28
26d ago
L
0-2
vs Atreides
MirageNuke
May 28
26d ago
L
0-2
vs Johnny Speeds
Dust2Overpass
May 27
27d ago
W
2-0
vs BRUTE
NukeMirage
May 25
29d ago
W
2-0
vs Oxuji
InfernoNuke
Jun 19
4d ago
W
2-1
vs TDK
InfernoDust2Anubis
Jun 18
5d ago
W
2-0
vs G2 Ares
AnubisInferno
Jun 15
8d ago
L
0-2
vs K27
Dust2Anubis
Jun 14
9d ago
W
2-1
vs INOX Division
AnubisDust2Nuke
Jun 10
13d ago
W
2-0
vs ARCRED
AncientMirage
Jun 7
16d ago
L
0-2
vs TDK
AncientDust2
Jun 6
17d ago
W
2-1
vs KOLESIE
Dust2AncientNuke
Jun 4
19d ago
L
0-2
vs Alliance
NukeInferno
May 24
30d ago
W
2-0
vs Sashi
AnubisInferno
May 23
31d ago
L
0-2
vs Alliance
NukeDust2
May 22
32d ago
Player Matchups
Phantom
Ratings
Walczaki
KY
Kylar
EntryADR 72.6KAST 73%
OL
olimp
RiflerADR 80.1KAST 72%
KE
KEi
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 73%
SA
SaMey
AWPADR 69.4KAST 74%
MW
mwlky
AWPADR 70.9KAST 70%
BA
bajmi
EntryADR 72.0KAST 73%
KU
Kunai
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 70%
MO
moonwalk
RiflerADR 72.7KAST 71%
TM
TMB
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 70%
SK
sk1tt
RiflerADR 73.2KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
PHAN
5
–
13
WALC
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
PHAN
WALC
After First Death
PHAN
WALC
Ban Rate
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Inferno
Phantom
no data
Walczaki
13-3
vs Oxuji
Jun 19
13-7
vs TDK
Jun 18
13-8
vs G2 Ares
Jun 15
7-13
vs Alliance
May 24
13-11
vs Sashi
May 23
Mirage
PHAN
7
–
13
WALC
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
PHAN
WALC
After First Death
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Mirage
Phantom
7-13
vs Acend
Jun 7
10-13
vs DragonClaw
Jun 1
13-9
vs Bushido Wildcats
May 30
8-13
vs Young Ninjas
May 29
2-13
vs TNC
May 28
Walczaki
13-8
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
13-10
vs Nemesis
May 18
13-3
vs SPARTA
May 16
13-8
vs BET-M
May 9
13-4
vs ex-RUBY
May 8
Anubis
PHAN
7
–
13
WALC
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Ban Rate
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Opening Kills
PHAN
WALC
Map Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Anubis
Phantom
13-16
vs fnatic
Apr 30
Walczaki
13-4
vs TDK
Jun 18
13-6
vs G2 Ares
Jun 15
6-13
vs K27
Jun 14
19-17
vs INOX Division
Jun 10
19-16
vs Sashi
May 23
Overpass
PHAN
11
–
13
WALC
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
PHAN
WALC
After First Kill
PHAN
WALC
Ranking
PHAN
WALC
Round Win Rate
PHAN
WALC
Map Player Rating
PHAN
WALC
Recent on Overpass
Phantom
13-11
vs JiJieHao
Jun 18
13-11
vs Acend
Jun 7
13-11
vs ex-Tricked
Jun 3
13-10
vs DragonClaw
Jun 1
16-12
vs Young Ninjas
May 29
Walczaki
9-13
vs Rebels
May 6
10-13
vs KOLESIE
Apr 29
More from Stake Ranked Episode 3 Closed Qualifier
3 matches