Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 3 Closed Qualifier
· 2026-06-20
K27
vs
Acend
✗
46%
54%
Series win probability
ACEN
2–0
28%
ACEN
2–1
26%
K27
2–1
25%
K27
2–0
21%
Actual result
Mirage
13–11
K27
Ancient
13–11
K27
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Acend is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#58 vs #43), a strong mirage (67% win probability). K27's best shot is overpass where they hold a 79% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
46%
Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Scenario 2
31%
Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3
23%
Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Dust2
K27
11
–
13
ACEN
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
T 5v4
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
After First Death
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Round Win Rate
K27
ACEN
Recent on Dust2
K27
13-8
vs SHISHKA
Jun 19
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 16
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
4-13
vs WW
May 25
5-13
vs Falcons
May 9
Acend
14-16
vs INOX Division
Jun 19
13-9
vs BET-M
Jun 19
13-11
vs Lavked
Jun 17
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 8
6-13
vs Phantom
Jun 7
Mirage
K27
9
–
13
ACEN
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Opening Kills
K27
ACEN
Opening Score
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
Recent on Mirage
K27
9-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 19
13-9
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
8-13
vs Virtus.pro
May 28
13-5
vs Oxuji
May 27
13-4
vs WW
May 25
Acend
13-7
vs Lavked
Jun 17
6-13
vs Gentle Mates
Jun 15
13-11
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 8
13-7
vs Phantom
Jun 7
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 4
Overpass
K27
13
–
7
ACEN
79%
21%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
ACEN
Round Win Rate
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
After First Death
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Recent on Overpass
K27
13-10
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 19
7-13
vs Virtus.pro
May 28
13-5
vs PsychoFace
May 25
13-2
vs WW
May 25
19-22
vs magic
May 11
Acend
9-13
vs Lavked
Jun 17
3-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 8
11-13
vs Phantom
Jun 7
4-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 4
11-13
vs Just Players
May 28
Dust2
K27
11
–
13
ACEN
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
T 5v4
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
After First Death
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Round Win Rate
K27
ACEN
Recent on Dust2
K27
13-8
vs SHISHKA
Jun 19
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 16
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
4-13
vs WW
May 25
5-13
vs Falcons
May 9
Acend
14-16
vs INOX Division
Jun 19
13-9
vs BET-M
Jun 19
13-11
vs Lavked
Jun 17
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 8
6-13
vs Phantom
Jun 7
Mirage
K27
9
–
13
ACEN
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Opening Kills
K27
ACEN
Opening Score
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
Recent on Mirage
K27
9-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 19
13-9
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
8-13
vs Virtus.pro
May 28
13-5
vs Oxuji
May 27
13-4
vs WW
May 25
Acend
13-7
vs Lavked
Jun 17
6-13
vs Gentle Mates
Jun 15
13-11
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 8
13-7
vs Phantom
Jun 7
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 4
Ancient
K27
11
–
13
ACEN
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
ACEN
Opening Kills
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
T Side
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
Recent on Ancient
K27
13-3
vs SHISHKA
Jun 19
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 16
13-6
vs Virtus.pro
May 28
13-4
vs PsychoFace
May 25
11-13
vs Falcons
May 9
Acend
13-9
vs Gentle Mates
Jun 15
10-13
vs Inner Circle
May 23
9-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 11
14-16
vs BASEMENT BOYS
May 11
13-0
vs HAFO
May 10
Dust2
K27
11
–
13
ACEN
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
T 5v4
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
After First Death
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Round Win Rate
K27
ACEN
Recent on Dust2
K27
13-8
vs SHISHKA
Jun 19
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 16
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
4-13
vs WW
May 25
5-13
vs Falcons
May 9
Acend
14-16
vs INOX Division
Jun 19
13-9
vs BET-M
Jun 19
13-11
vs Lavked
Jun 17
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 8
6-13
vs Phantom
Jun 7
Mirage
K27
9
–
13
ACEN
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Opening Kills
K27
ACEN
Opening Score
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
Recent on Mirage
K27
9-13
vs Virtus.pro
Jun 19
13-9
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
8-13
vs Virtus.pro
May 28
13-5
vs Oxuji
May 27
13-4
vs WW
May 25
Acend
13-7
vs Lavked
Jun 17
6-13
vs Gentle Mates
Jun 15
13-11
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 8
13-7
vs Phantom
Jun 7
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 4
Anubis
K27
10
–
13
ACEN
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
K27
ACEN
After First Kill
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
Opening Kills
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Recent on Anubis
K27
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
8-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 28
6-13
vs magic
Apr 3
7-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 26
Acend
8-13
vs Betclic
May 23
Recent Results
last 11 matches
K27
Acend
L
1-2
vs Virtus.pro
NukeOverpassMirage
Jun 19
4d ago
W
2-0
vs SHISHKA
Dust2Ancient
Jun 19
4d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
MirageAnubisNuke
Jun 17
6d ago
W
2-0
vs 100 Thieves
Dust2Ancient
Jun 16
7d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
Dust2Anubis
Jun 14
9d ago
L
1-2
vs Virtus.pro
AncientMirageOverpass
May 28
26d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisNuke
May 28
26d ago
W
2-0
vs Oxuji
MirageNuke
May 27
27d ago
W
2-1
vs PsychoFace
NukeOverpassAncient
May 25
29d ago
W
2-1
vs WW
MirageDust2Overpass
May 25
29d ago
L
0-2
vs magic
MirageOverpass
May 11
43d ago
L
0-2
vs INOX Division
InfernoDust2
Jun 19
4d ago
W
2-0
vs BET-M
InfernoDust2
Jun 19
4d ago
W
2-1
vs Lavked
OverpassMirageDust2
Jun 17
6d ago
L
1-2
vs Gentle Mates
MirageAncientInferno
Jun 15
8d ago
L
1-2
vs ex-RUBY
Dust2MirageOverpass
Jun 8
15d ago
L
1-2
vs Phantom
Dust2MirageOverpass
Jun 7
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Ursa
Dust2Inferno
Jun 5
18d ago
L
1-2
vs CYBERSHOKE
OverpassDust2Mirage
Jun 4
19d ago
L
0-2
vs Just Players
Dust2Overpass
May 28
26d ago
L
0-2
vs Wildcard
InfernoDust2
May 23
31d ago
W
2-1
vs Betclic
MirageAnubisDust2
May 23
31d ago
Player Matchups
K27
Ratings
Acend
FA
fame
EntryADR 75.1KAST 73%
H4
h4rn
AWPADR 79.4KAST 75%
XE
xeedo
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 71%
RE
REDSTAR
EntryADR 78.2KAST 76%
QW
qw1nk1
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 72%
KA
KalubeR
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 73%
KA
kashl1d
AWPADR 66.3KAST 70%
SK
Skrimo
RiflerADR 69.8KAST 72%
X5
X5G7V
RiflerADR 71.6KAST 70%
SP
SPELLAN
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
K27
8
–
13
ACEN
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
ACEN
After First Death
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
Ban Rate
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Recent on Inferno
K27
no data
Acend
9-13
vs INOX Division
Jun 19
13-11
vs BET-M
Jun 19
9-13
vs Gentle Mates
Jun 15
13-10
vs Ursa
Jun 5
11-13
vs Wildcard
May 23
Ancient
K27
11
–
13
ACEN
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
K27
ACEN
Opening Kills
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
T Side
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
Recent on Ancient
K27
13-3
vs SHISHKA
Jun 19
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 16
13-6
vs Virtus.pro
May 28
13-4
vs PsychoFace
May 25
11-13
vs Falcons
May 9
Acend
13-9
vs Gentle Mates
Jun 15
10-13
vs Inner Circle
May 23
9-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 11
14-16
vs BASEMENT BOYS
May 11
13-0
vs HAFO
May 10
Anubis
K27
10
–
13
ACEN
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
K27
ACEN
After First Kill
K27
ACEN
Map Player Rating
K27
ACEN
Opening Kills
K27
ACEN
Ranking
K27
ACEN
Recent on Anubis
K27
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 17
13-6
vs Walczaki
Jun 14
8-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 28
6-13
vs magic
Apr 3
7-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 26
Acend
8-13
vs Betclic
May 23
More from Stake Ranked Episode 3 Closed Qualifier
3 matches