Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-19
Falcons
✓
vs
Vitality
71%
29%
Series win probability
FALC
2–1
36%
FALC
2–0
35%
VIT
2–0
16%
VIT
2–1
13%
Actual result
Anubis
13–11
FALC
Inferno
13–11
VIT
Dust2
13–11
FALC
Model Insights
Falcons is strongly favored at 71%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#3 vs #2), a strong dust2 (68% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Mirage · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 2
37%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3
22%
Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Mirage
FALC
16
–
14
VIT
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Player Rating
FALC
VIT
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
VIT
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
7-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 13
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
Vitality
13-9
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
9-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-5
vs B8
May 13
13-7
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-1
vs GamerLegion
May 2
Dust2
FALC
13
–
10
VIT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
Round Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
VIT
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-3
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 13
13-8
vs G2
Jun 11
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-7
vs MOUZ
May 22
Vitality
7-13
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
11-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
13-8
vs B8
May 13
Inferno
FALC
13
–
11
VIT
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Round Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Map Player Rating
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Recent on Inferno
Falcons
13-9
vs Monte
Jun 13
10-13
vs G2
Jun 11
19-15
vs M80
May 20
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
Vitality
13-4
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
13-4
vs 9z
Jun 12
3-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
16-13
vs G2
Apr 14
13-7
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
Mirage
FALC
16
–
14
VIT
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Player Rating
FALC
VIT
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
VIT
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
7-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 13
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
Vitality
13-9
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
9-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-5
vs B8
May 13
13-7
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-1
vs GamerLegion
May 2
Dust2
FALC
13
–
10
VIT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
Round Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
VIT
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-3
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 13
13-8
vs G2
Jun 11
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-7
vs MOUZ
May 22
Vitality
7-13
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
11-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
13-8
vs B8
May 13
Nuke
FALC
13
–
10
VIT
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Round Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
VIT
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
May 23
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 22
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
Vitality
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 14
13-8
vs FUT
Jun 11
16-14
vs FaZe
May 13
8-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-12
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
Mirage
FALC
16
–
14
VIT
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Player Rating
FALC
VIT
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
VIT
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
7-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 13
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
Vitality
13-9
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
9-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-5
vs B8
May 13
13-7
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-1
vs GamerLegion
May 2
Dust2
FALC
13
–
10
VIT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
Round Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
VIT
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-3
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 13
13-8
vs G2
Jun 11
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-7
vs MOUZ
May 22
Vitality
7-13
vs MOUZ
Jun 13
11-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
13-8
vs B8
May 13
Anubis
FALC
13
–
6
VIT
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 5%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Round Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Map Player Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
19-16
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
Vitality
5-13
vs FUT
Jun 11
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
10-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-10
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Falcons
Vitality
W
2-1
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2MirageAnubis
Jun 14
9d ago
W
2-1
vs Monte
InfernoDust2Mirage
Jun 13
10d ago
L
0-2
vs BetBoom
NukeAncient
Jun 12
11d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
InfernoDust2Ancient
Jun 11
12d ago
L
1-3
vs Legacy
NukeAncientMirageDust2
May 23
31d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
32d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Ancient
May 21
33d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
InfernoAncient
May 20
34d ago
W
1-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2
May 19
35d ago
L
0-3
vs Spirit
Dust2MirageAncient
May 17
37d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 16
38d ago
W
2-0
vs BetBoom
OverpassNuke
Jun 14
9d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2Inferno
Jun 13
10d ago
L
1-2
vs 9z
InfernoMirageDust2
Jun 12
11d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
AnubisOverpassNuke
Jun 11
12d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2AnubisInferno
May 15
39d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
NukeDust2
May 13
41d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageDust2
May 13
41d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
AnubisOverpassNuke
May 12
42d ago
W
2-0
vs BC.Game
MirageDust2
May 11
43d ago
W
3-0
vs Natus Vincere
NukeAnubisDust2
May 3
51d ago
W
2-0
vs GamerLegion
MirageOverpass
May 2
52d ago
Player Matchups
Falcons
Ratings
Vitality
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 80.2KAST 76%
ZY
ZywOo
AWPADR 87.0KAST 78%
KY
kyousuke
RiflerADR 81.2KAST 73%
RO
ropz
EntryADR 77.2KAST 76%
NI
NiKo
EntryADR 74.5KAST 72%
FL
flameZ
RiflerADR 77.0KAST 76%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 72%
ME
mezii
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 76%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 56.7KAST 67%
AP
apEX
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
FALC
13
–
6
VIT
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Round Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Map Player Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
19-16
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
Vitality
5-13
vs FUT
Jun 11
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
10-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-10
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
Overpass
FALC
7
–
13
VIT
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Ban Rate
FALC
VIT
Map Player Rating
FALC
VIT
Round Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Recent on Overpass
Falcons
no data
Vitality
13-8
vs BetBoom
Jun 14
13-2
vs FUT
Jun 11
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-14
vs GamerLegion
May 2
11-13
vs G2
Apr 30
Nuke
FALC
13
–
10
VIT
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Round Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
VIT
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
May 23
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 22
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
Vitality
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 14
13-8
vs FUT
Jun 11
16-14
vs FaZe
May 13
8-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-12
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
Ancient
FALC
13
–
8
VIT
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
VIT
After First Death
FALC
VIT
Ban Rate
FALC
VIT
Overall Rating
FALC
VIT
Map Win Rate
FALC
VIT
Recent on Ancient
Falcons
10-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
16-13
vs G2
Jun 11
9-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20
Vitality
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
25-22
vs Aurora
Feb 3
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
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