Project Leggy
‹ Back
Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 2 · 2026-08-13
METANOIA Wolves
vs
paiN Academy
39%
61%
Series win probability
PA 2–0 34%
PA 2–1 28%
MW 2–1 21%
MW 2–0 17%
Model Insights
paiN Academy has a moderate edge at 61%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#236 vs #275), a strong mirage (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 41% Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 2 33% Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3 27% Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Dust2
MW 11 – 13 PA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MW
PA
T 5v4
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Opening Score
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
Recent on Dust2
METANOIA Wolves
11-13 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 9
13-6 vs Procyon Aug 6
8-13 vs BESTIA Aug 4
5-13 vs Grêmio Jul 20
13-8 vs GUARA Jul 16
paiN Academy
9-13 vs Grêmio Jul 22
8-13 vs Procyon Jul 18
5-13 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
11-13 vs Fluxo Jul 6
13-10 vs Red Feet Jul 5
Mirage
MW 8 – 13 PA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
PA
After First Death
MW
PA
Round Win Rate
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Recent on Mirage
METANOIA Wolves
6-13 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 9
5-13 vs BESTIA Aug 4
6-13 vs GUARA Jul 16
1-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jul 14
paiN Academy
13-3 vs Keyd Stars Aug 10
16-19 vs ALKA Aug 8
13-8 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 6
13-7 vs Grêmio Aug 3
7-13 vs Procyon Jul 18
Anubis
MW 9 – 13 PA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
T 5v4
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
After First Kill
MW
PA
Recent on Anubis
METANOIA Wolves
no data
paiN Academy
6-13 vs Keyd Stars Aug 10
16-14 vs UNO MILLE Aug 9
5-13 vs ODDIK Jul 14
11-13 vs UNO MILLE Jul 9
13-9 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
Dust2
MW 11 – 13 PA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MW
PA
T 5v4
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Opening Score
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
Recent on Dust2
METANOIA Wolves
11-13 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 9
13-6 vs Procyon Aug 6
8-13 vs BESTIA Aug 4
5-13 vs Grêmio Jul 20
13-8 vs GUARA Jul 16
paiN Academy
9-13 vs Grêmio Jul 22
8-13 vs Procyon Jul 18
5-13 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
11-13 vs Fluxo Jul 6
13-10 vs Red Feet Jul 5
Mirage
MW 8 – 13 PA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
PA
After First Death
MW
PA
Round Win Rate
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Recent on Mirage
METANOIA Wolves
6-13 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 9
5-13 vs BESTIA Aug 4
6-13 vs GUARA Jul 16
1-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jul 14
paiN Academy
13-3 vs Keyd Stars Aug 10
16-19 vs ALKA Aug 8
13-8 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 6
13-7 vs Grêmio Aug 3
7-13 vs Procyon Jul 18
Ancient
MW 13 – 8 PA
56%
44%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
PA
After First Death
MW
PA
Ban Rate
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Recent on Ancient
METANOIA Wolves
13-8 vs Procyon Aug 6
13-7 vs GUARA Jul 16
9-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jul 14
paiN Academy
5-13 vs UNO MILLE Jul 9
0-13 vs LP Mar 2
7-13 vs GameHunters Feb 22
Dust2
MW 11 – 13 PA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MW
PA
T 5v4
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Opening Score
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
Recent on Dust2
METANOIA Wolves
11-13 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 9
13-6 vs Procyon Aug 6
8-13 vs BESTIA Aug 4
5-13 vs Grêmio Jul 20
13-8 vs GUARA Jul 16
paiN Academy
9-13 vs Grêmio Jul 22
8-13 vs Procyon Jul 18
5-13 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
11-13 vs Fluxo Jul 6
13-10 vs Red Feet Jul 5
Mirage
MW 8 – 13 PA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
PA
After First Death
MW
PA
Round Win Rate
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Recent on Mirage
METANOIA Wolves
6-13 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 9
5-13 vs BESTIA Aug 4
6-13 vs GUARA Jul 16
1-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jul 14
paiN Academy
13-3 vs Keyd Stars Aug 10
16-19 vs ALKA Aug 8
13-8 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 6
13-7 vs Grêmio Aug 3
7-13 vs Procyon Jul 18
Inferno
MW 10 – 13 PA
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
PA
After First Death
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Opening Score
MW
PA
Opening Kills
MW
PA
Recent on Inferno
METANOIA Wolves
9-13 vs Procyon Aug 6
paiN Academy
2-13 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 6
18-22 vs Grêmio Aug 3
19-16 vs Red Feet Jul 5
7-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 4
13-8 vs ex-KRÜ May 19
Recent Results last 11 matches
METANOIA Wolves
paiN Academy
L 0-2 vs MEIA NOITE MirageDust2 Aug 9 4d ago
W 2-1 vs Procyon InfernoAncientDust2 Aug 6 7d ago
L 0-2 vs BESTIA Dust2Mirage Aug 4 9d ago
L 0-2 vs Grêmio Dust2Nuke Jul 20 24d ago
W 2-1 vs GUARA MirageAncientDust2 Jul 16 28d ago
L 0-2 vs Patins da Ferrari MirageAncient Jul 14 30d ago
L 1-2 vs Keyd Stars AnubisMirageNuke Aug 10 3d ago
W 2-0 vs UNO MILLE AnubisNuke Aug 9 4d ago
L 0-2 vs ALKA NukeMirage Aug 8 5d ago
W 2-1 vs MEIA NOITE MirageInfernoCache Aug 6 7d ago
L 1-2 vs Grêmio InfernoMirageCache Aug 3 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Fluxo CacheNuke Jul 23 21d ago
W 2-1 vs Grêmio NukeDust2Cache Jul 22 22d ago
L 0-2 vs Procyon Dust2Mirage Jul 18 26d ago
L 0-2 vs ODDIK AnubisCache Jul 14 30d ago
L 0-2 vs UNO MILLE AnubisAncient Jul 9 35d ago
L 1-2 vs Fake do Biru NukeAnubisDust2 Jul 8 36d ago
Player Matchups
METANOIA Wolves
Ratings
paiN Academy
AL
ALENNNCAR
AWPADR 75.0KAST 68%
1.05 vs 1.14
RK
Rkzinho
EntryADR 78.3KAST 72%
SP
spinnie
RiflerADR 76.3KAST 66%
1.02 vs 1.00
TA
Tatu
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 71%
VZ
vzn
EntryADR 68.4KAST 65%
0.88 vs 0.96
MA
Markz
AWPADR 64.9KAST 69%
— vs 0.96
K9
k9izer
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 71%
— vs 0.89
TS
tsug
RiflerADR 65.3KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
MW 11 – 13 PA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MW
PA
After First Kill
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
T 5v4
MW
PA
Round Win Rate
MW
PA
Recent on Nuke
METANOIA Wolves
3-13 vs Grêmio Jul 20
paiN Academy
4-13 vs Keyd Stars Aug 10
13-10 vs UNO MILLE Aug 9
13-16 vs ALKA Aug 8
6-13 vs Fluxo Jul 23
16-13 vs Grêmio Jul 22
Cache
MW 10 – 13 PA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
MW
PA
After First Kill
MW
PA
Ban Rate
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Recent on Cache
METANOIA Wolves
no data
paiN Academy
13-11 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 6
10-13 vs Grêmio Aug 3
3-13 vs Fluxo Jul 23
13-4 vs Grêmio Jul 22
11-13 vs ODDIK Jul 14
Inferno
MW 10 – 13 PA
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
PA
After First Death
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Opening Score
MW
PA
Opening Kills
MW
PA
Recent on Inferno
METANOIA Wolves
9-13 vs Procyon Aug 6
paiN Academy
2-13 vs MEIA NOITE Aug 6
18-22 vs Grêmio Aug 3
19-16 vs Red Feet Jul 5
7-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 4
13-8 vs ex-KRÜ May 19
Ancient
MW 13 – 8 PA
56%
44%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
MW
PA
After First Death
MW
PA
Ban Rate
MW
PA
Map Player Rating
MW
PA
Ranking
MW
PA
Recent on Ancient
METANOIA Wolves
13-8 vs Procyon Aug 6
13-7 vs GUARA Jul 16
9-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jul 14
paiN Academy
5-13 vs UNO MILLE Jul 9
0-13 vs LP Mar 2
7-13 vs GameHunters Feb 22